State-by-State Margins Aug. 21


The numbers in the table below give the margins between the candidates. For example, if a state poll gives Kerry 51% and Bush 48%, the margin will be shown as 3%. The margin of error in most polls is about 3%, so when the margin is 3% or less, the race is essentially a tie.

Strong Kerry (≥10%)
D.C.* 77%
Massachusetts 26%
Rhode Island 24%
New York 18%
Vermont 15%
Illinois 15%
Maryland 13%
Delaware* 13%
Weak Kerry (5-9%)
New Jersey 9%
Washington 8%
New Mexico 7%
New Hampshire 7%
Hawaii 7%
Connecticut 7%
Barely Kerry (<5%)
West Virginia 4%
Pennsylvania 4%
Oregon 4%
Maine 4%
Minnesota 3%
Michigan 3%
California 3%
Iowa 1%
Florida 1%
Strong Bush (≥10%)
Utah 45%
Wyoming* 40%
Mississippi 31%
Idaho 30%
Nebraska* 29%
North Dakota* 28%
Alaska 23%
Montana 20%
Kansas 20%
Oklahoma 19%
Indiana 19%
Texas 18%
Kentucky 17%
Alabama 17%
South Dakota 16%
Louisiana 16%
Georgia 16%
South Carolina 11%
Weak Bush (5-9%)
North Carolina 6%
Barely Bush (<5%)
Virginia 3%
Nevada 3%
Arizona 3%
Tennessee 2%
Arkansas 2%
Ohio 1%
Missouri 1%
States that are exactly tied: Colorado Wisconsin

* No state polls have been conducted in DC, DE, ND, NE, and WY, so the 2000 results are used. DC and DE are solid Democratic; the rest are solid Republican.

Back to the main page Previous report

If you like this website, please link to it to improve its Google PageRank and tell your friends about it.


www.overseasvoter.com