State,EV,Kerry,Bush,Nader,Last poll,,,Vote - poll,, Alabama,9,37,63,,39,57,,6,-2,0 Alaska,3,34,62,2,30,57,5,5,4,-3 Arizona,10,44,55,1,41,56,,-1,3, Arkansas,6,45,54,1,46,51,,3,-1,1 California,55,54,45,,54,43,,2,0, Colorado,9,46,53,1,47,50,,3,-1,1 Connecticut,7,54,44,1,52,42,3,2,2,-2 Delaware,3,53,46,1,45,38,1,8,8,0 D.C.,3,90,9,1,78,11,6,-2,12,-5 Florida,27,47,52,1,49,44,1,8,-2,0 Georgia,15,41,59,0,41,55,1,4,0, Hawaii,4,55,44,1,45,46,,-2,10, Idaho,4,29,69,,30,59,3,10,-1, Illinois,21,55,44,1,53,43,,1,2, Indiana,11,39,60,,39,58,,2,0, Iowa,7,49,50,1,50,47,,3,-1,1 Kansas,6,36,63,1,37,60,,3,-1,1 Kentucky,8,40,60,0,38,59,,1,2,0 Louisiana,9,42,57,0,32,58,1,-1,10,-1 Maine,4,53,45,1,52,44,,1,1,1 Maryland,10,56,43,1,54,43,,0,2,1 Massachusetts,12,62,37,,50,36,2,1,12, Michigan,17,51,48,1,52,46,,2,-1,1 Minnesota,10,52,47,1,51,45,,2,1,1 Mississippi,6,40,60,0,42,51,1,9,-2,-1 Missouri,11,46,54,,47,52,,2,-1, Montana,3,39,59,1,36,57,1,2,3,0 Nebraska,5,32,67,0,32,61,,6,0,0 Nevada,5,48,51,1,45,53,,-2,3,1 New Hampshire,4,50,49,1,49,48,,1,1,1 New Jersey,15,53,46,1,42,42,1,4,11,0 New Mexico,5,49,50,1,51,48,,2,-2,1 New York,31,58,40,2,57,39,,1,1,2 North Carolina,15,43,57,,45,53,,4,-2, North Dakota,3,36,63,1,35,55,,8,1,1 Ohio,20,49,51,,47,50,,1,2, Oklahoma,7,34,66,,34,64,,2,0, Oregon,7,53,47,,50,44,,3,3, Pennsylvania,21,51,49,,49,48,,1,2, Rhode Island,4,60,39,1,54,41,,-2,6,1 South Carolina,8,41,58,1,43,54,,4,-2,1 South Dakota,3,38,61,1,33,55,2,6,5,-1 Tennessee,11,43,57,0,40,58,,-1,3,0 Texas,34,38,61,,37,59,,2,1, Utah,5,26,72,1,24,69,1,3,2,0 Vermont,3,59,39,2,53,40,3,-1,6,-1 Virginia,13,46,54,,47,51,,3,-1, Washington,11,53,46,1,51,46,1,0,2,0,, West Virginia,5,43,56,1,43,51,,5,0,1,, Wisconsin,10,50,49,1,45,48,1,1,5,0,, Wyoming,3,29,69,1,29,65,2,4,0,-1,, ,,,,,,,,,,,, C-E: vote,,,,,,,,,,,, F-H: last poll,,,,,,,,,,,, "I-K: + is better than poll, - is worse",,,,,,,,,,,,