overseas voter, absentee ballot

Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 273   Bush 233

Data in Excel format
Battleground states
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electoral college strong kerry Strong Kerry (147)
electoral college weak kerry Weak Kerry (47)
electoral college barely kerry Barely Kerry (79)
electoral college tied Exactly tied (32)
electoral college barely bush Barely Bush (65)
electoral college weak bush Weak Bush (16)
electoral college strong bush Strong Bush (152)
Needed to win: 270
Sept. 12 New polls: LA MI SC SD UT RSS

News from the Votemaster

Five new polls to report today. Not bad, since polls are rarely released on weekends. Four of them are in states that are not competitive: Louisiana, South Carolina, South Dakota, and Utah. Bush was way ahead in all of them, still is, and will win them all handily. For the fifth one, Michigan, see below.

Rasmussen is now reporting 7-day rolling averages in some key states. I prefer the standard 3-day snapshot polls, but if a 7-day rolling average poll is more recent than the newest snapshot, it will go in the spreadsheet marked as Rasmussen-7. Here are the results. Michigan: Kerry ahead by 2%; North Carolina: Bush ahead by 13%; Ohio: Kerry ahead by 2%; Pennsylvania: Kerry ahead by 1%. This Michigan poll is newer than the current Zogby poll, so it goes into the spreadsheet.

Senate news: A new poll in South Dakota puts John Thune ahead of Tom Daschle there. By switching one seat to the GOP, the spreadsheet now predicts the composition of the Senate won't change (but keep Louisiana in mind).

As you can see, some icons have been added to spruce up the site, but they don't do anything.

A new cartoon of the week has been added.

Projected Senate: 48 Democrats, 51 Republicans, 1 independent
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-- The votemaster

WWW www.electoral-vote.com
overseas voter, absentee ballot

Statistics Collector (via University of Kentucky)