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Complete List of House Polls Used


Below we have a list of all the House polls used on this site. Only nonpartisan polls are used; polls taken by pollsters working for one of the parties are intentionally omitted. Unfortunately, this leaves very few polls left, but here is an example of why such a draconian approach is needed. Consider two polls taken in CD-16 in Ohio in which incumbent Bob Ney (R) was being challenged by Zack Space (D). (Ney has subsequently dropped out due to allegations of corruption, but that is irrelevant here)

Poll 1:   Jun 28-29: Zack Space 46%   Bob Ney 35%    Poll taken by Cooper & Secrest (D)
Poll 2:   Jun 27-29: Zack Space 41%   Bob Ney 45%    Poll taken by Public Opinion Strategies (R)

In poll 1, Space leads by 11%. In poll 2 he trails by 4%. The polls were taken at virtually the same time. What's up? The first poll was taken by a firm that works to elect Democrats; the second poll was taken by a firm that works to elect Republicans. We can safely label these, and many others taken by partisan firms as fantasy polls. They are intended to convince the public that their horse is ahead to encourage their side and demoralize the other one. For this reason, partisan polls like these are not listed below or on the spreadsheet and do not contribute to the House projection on the main page.

The date given below in column 2 is when the poll ended. The poll length is also given. The polls for each state are sorted in descending order of their midpoints. Incumbents are denoted by asterisks.

The data are also available as plain text and in .csv format for use with Excel. In the latter, the first column is the day number of the midpoint (Jan. 1, 2006 = day 1.0) and the second is the poll length in days.

The site also has a page describing the House races, including brief descriptions of the situation, the names and photos of the candidates, and links to their campaign pages, Wikipedia entries, and state parties.

CD Democrat Republican Date     Len Dem GOP I Pollster
AK-AL Diane Benson Don Young* Nov 08 1 39% 57%   Election 2006
AK-AL         22% 71%   2004 Election
 
AL-01 Vivian Beckerle Jo Bonner* Nov 08 1 34% 66%   Election 2006
AL-01         37% 63%   2004 Election
 
AL-02 Charles James Terry Everett* Nov 08 1 30% 70%   Election 2006
AL-02         29% 71%   2004 Election
 
AL-03 Greg Pierce Mike Rogers** Nov 08 1 40% 58%   Election 2006
AL-03         39% 61%   2004 Election
 
AL-04 Barbara Bobo Robert Aderholt* Nov 08 1 30% 70%   Election 2006
AL-04         25% 75%   2004 Election
 
AL-05 Bud Cramer* None Nov 08 1 100% 0%   Election 2006
AL-05         73% 27%   2004 Election
 
AL-06 (None) Spencer Bachus* Nov 08 1 0 100%   Election 2006
AL-06         0 99%   2004 Election
 
AL-07 Artur Davis* (None) Nov 08 1 100% 0%   Election 2006
AL-07         75% 25%   2004 Election
 
AR-01 Marion Berry* Mickey Stumbaugh Nov 08 1 70% 30%   Election 2006
AR-01         67% 33%   2004 Election
 
AR-02 Vic Snyder* Andy Mayberry Nov 08 1 61% 39%   Election 2006
AR-02 Vic Snyder* Andy Mayberry Oct 30 4 60% 39%   SurveyUSA
AR-02 Vic Snyder* Andy Mayberry Oct 18 3 57% 41%   SurveyUSA
AR-02 Vic Snyder* Andy Mayberry Sep 20 3 56% 42%   SurveyUSA
AR-02 Vic Snyder* Andy Mayberry Jul 17 3 58% 38%   SurveyUSA
AR-02         58% 42%   2004 Election
 
AR-03 Woodrow Anderson John Boozman* Nov 08 1 40% 60%   Election 2006
AR-03         38% 59%   2004 Election
 
AR-04 Mike Ross* Joe Ross Nov 08 1 75% 25%   Election 2006
AR-04         100% 0%   2004 Election
 
AZ-01 Ellen Simon Rick Renzi* Nov 08 1 43% 52%   Election 2006
AZ-01 Ellen Simon Rick Renzi* Oct 26 3 38% 41%   RT Strategies
AZ-01 Ellen Simon Rick Renzi* Oct 22 3 32% 45%   Northen Arizona U.
AZ-01 Ellen Simon Rick Renzi* Oct 10 3 50% 46%   RT Strategies
AZ-01 Ellen Simon Rick Renzi* Sep 17 3 32% 45%   Northern Arizona U.
AZ-01         36% 59%   2004 Election
 
AZ-02 John Thrasher Trent Franks* Nov 08 1 39% 58%   Election 2006
AZ-02         39% 59%   2004 Election
 
AZ-03 Too close John Shadegg* Nov 08 1 39% 58%   Election 2006
AZ-03         0 80%   2004 Election
 
AZ-04 Ed Pastor* Don Karg Nov 08 1 73% 23%   Election 2006
AZ-04         70% 26%   2004 Election
 
AZ-05 Harry Mitchell J.D. Hayworth* Nov 08 1 51% 46%   Election 2006
AZ-05 Harry Mitchell J.D. Hayworth* Oct 31 3 48% 46%   SurveyUSA
AZ-05 Harry Mitchell J.D. Hayworth* Oct 16 4 45% 48%   SurveyUSA
AZ-05 Harry Mitchell J.D. Hayworth* Sep 17 3 40% 52%   SurveyUSA
AZ-05         38% 60%   2004 Election
 
AZ-06 Glenn Fuller Jeff Flake* Nov 08 1 0 74%   Election 2006
AZ-06         0 79%   2004 Election
 
AZ-07 Raul Grijalva* Ron Drake Nov 08 1 61% 35%   Election 2006
AZ-07         62% 34%   2004 Election
 
AZ-08 Gabrielle Giffords Randy Graf Nov 08 1 54% 42%   Election 2006
AZ-08 Gabrielle Giffords Randy Graf Oct 28 4 50% 35%   Wick
AZ-08 Gabrielle Giffords Randy Graf Oct 29 6 53% 41%   Zogby
AZ-08 Gabrielle Giffords Randy Graf Oct 23 4 48% 38%   Zimmerman
AZ-08 Gabrielle Giffords Randy Graf Oct 02 8 45% 37%   Zogby
AZ-08 Gabrielle Giffords Randy Graf Sep 23 4 52% 34%   Kenski
AZ-08 Gabrielle Giffords Randy Graf Sep 18 6 48% 36%   Zimmerman
AZ-08         36% 60%   2004 Election
 
CA-01 Mike Thompson* John Jones Nov 08 1 65% 31%   Election 2006
CA-01         67% 28%   2004 Election
 
CA-02 Arjinderpal Sekhon Wally Herger* Nov 08 1 31% 66%   Election 2006
CA-02         33% 67%   2004 Election
 
CA-03 William Durston Dan Lungren* Nov 08 1 35% 62%   Election 2006
CA-03         35% 62%   2004 Election
 
CA-04 Charles Brown John Doolittle* Nov 08 1 45% 50%   Election 2006
CA-04 Charles Brown John Doolittle* Nov 03 3 43% 50%   SurveyUSA
CA-04 Charles Brown John Doolittle* Oct 26 3 39% 39%   RT Strategies
CA-04 Charles Brown John Doolittle* Oct 22 3 41% 51%   SurveyUSA
CA-04 Charles Brown John Doolittle* Oct 10 3 44% 52%   RT Strategies
CA-04         35% 65%   2004 Election
 
CA-05 Doris Matsui* Xiaochin Yan Nov 08 1 71% 24%   Election 2006
CA-05         71% 23%   2004 Election
 
CA-06 Lynn Woolsey* Todd Hooper Nov 08 1 68% 28%   Election 2006
CA-06         73% 27%   2004 Election
 
CA-07 George Miller* (None) Nov 08 1 84% 16%   Election 2006
CA-07         76% 24%   2004 Election
 
CA-08 Nancy Pelosi* Mike DeNunzio Nov 08 1 80% 11%   Election 2006
CA-08         83% 12%   2004 Election
 
CA-09 Barbara Lee* John denDulk Nov 08 1 83% 14%   Election 2006
CA-09         85% 12%   2004 Election
 
CA-10 Ellen Tauscher* Darcy Linn Nov 08 1 65% 35%   Election 2006
CA-10         66% 34%   2004 Election
 
CA-11 Jerry McNerney Richard Pombo* Nov 08 1 52% 48%   Election 2006
CA-11 Jerry McNerney Richard Pombo* Oct 26 3 48% 46%   RT Strategies
CA-11         39% 61%   2004 Election
 
CA-12 Tom Lantos* Michael Maloney Nov 08 1 74% 26%   Election 2006
CA-12         68% 21%   2004 Election
 
CA-13 Fortney Stark* George Bruno Nov 08 1 73% 27%   Election 2006
CA-13         72% 24%   2004 Election
 
CA-14 Anna Eshoo* Rob Smith Nov 08 1 67% 29%   Election 2006
CA-14         70% 27%   2004 Election
 
CA-15 Mike Honda* Raymond Chukwu Nov 08 1 70% 30%   Election 2006
CA-15         72% 28%   2004 Election
 
CA-16 Zoe Lofgren* Charel Winston Nov 08 1 71% 29%   Election 2006
CA-16         71% 26%   2004 Election
 
CA-17 Sam Farr* Anthony DeMaio Nov 08 1 73% 27%   Election 2006
CA-17         67% 29%   2004 Election
 
CA-18 Dennis Cardoza* John Kanno Nov 08 1 64% 36%   Election 2006
CA-18         68% 33%   2004 Election
 
CA-19 TJ Cox George Radanovich* Nov 08 1 38% 62%   Election 2006
CA-19         27% 66%   2004 Election
 
CA-20 Jim Costa* (None) Nov 08 1 100% 0%   Election 2006
CA-20         53% 47%   2004 Election
 
CA-21 Steven Haze Devin Nunes* Nov 08 1 30% 67%   Election 2006
CA-21         27% 73%   2004 Election
 
CA-22 Sharon Beery Kevin McCarthy Nov 08 1 30% 70%   Election 2006
CA-22         0 100%   2004 Election
 
CA-23 Lois Capps* Victor Tognazzini Nov 08 1 63% 37%   Election 2006
CA-23         63% 34%   2004 Election
 
CA-24 Jill Martinez Elton Gallegly* Nov 08 1 35% 65%   Election 2006
CA-24         34% 63%   2004 Election
 
CA-25 Robert Rodriguez Howard McKeon* Nov 08 1 28% 67%   Election 2006
CA-25         36% 64%   2004 Election
 
CA-26 Cynthia Matthews David Dreier* Nov 08 1 31% 63%   Election 2006
CA-26 Cynthia Matthews David Dreier* Nov 01 3 35% 54%   SurveyUSA
CA-26 Cynthia Matthews David Dreier* Aug 16 4 35% 48%   SurveyUSA
CA-26         43% 54%   2004 Election
 
CA-27 Brad Sherman* Peter Hankwitz Nov 08 1 62% 38%   Election 2006
CA-27         62% 33%   2004 Election
 
CA-28 Howard Berman* Stanley Kesselman Nov 08 1 67% 27%   Election 2006
CA-28         71% 23%   2004 Election
 
CA-29 Adam Schiff* William Bodell Nov 08 1 56% 36%   Election 2006
CA-29         65% 30%   2004 Election
 
CA-30 Henry Waxman* David Jones Nov 08 1 64% 34%   Election 2006
CA-30         71% 29%   2004 Election
 
CA-31 Xavier Becerra* (None) Nov 08 1 100% 0%   Election 2006
CA-31         80% 20%   2004 Election
 
CA-32 Hilda Solis* (None) Nov 08 1 79% 21%   Election 2006
CA-32         85% 0%   2004 Election
 
CA-33 Diane Watson* (None) Nov 08 1 100% 0%   Election 2006
CA-33         89% 0%   2004 Election
 
CA-34 Lucille Roybal-Allard* Wayne Miller Nov 08 1 65% 35%   Election 2006
CA-34         75% 26%   2004 Election
 
CA-35 Maxine Waters* (None) Nov 08 1 74% 14%   Election 2006
CA-35         81% 15%   2004 Election
 
CA-36 Jane Harman* Brian Gibson Nov 08 1 57% 39%   Election 2006
CA-36         62% 34%   2004 Election
 
CA-37 Juanita McDonald* (None) Nov 08 1 75% 25%   Election 2006
CA-37         75% 20%   2004 Election
 
CA-38 Grace Napolitano* Sidney Street Nov 08 1 67% 33%   Election 2006
CA-38         100% 0%   2004 Election
 
CA-39 Linda Sanchez* James Andion Nov 08 1 55% 45%   Election 2006
CA-39         61% 39%   2004 Election
 
CA-40 Florice Hoffman Ed Royce* Nov 08 1 27% 71%   Election 2006
CA-40         32% 68%   2004 Election
 
CA-41 Louie Contreras Jerry Lewis* Nov 08 1 30% 70%   Election 2006
CA-41         0 83%   2004 Election
 
CA-42 (None) Gary Miller* Nov 08 1 0 100%   Election 2006
CA-42         32% 68%   2004 Election
 
CA-43 Joe Baca* Scott Folkens Nov 08 1 54% 46%   Election 2006
CA-43         66% 34%   2004 Election
 
CA-44 Louis Vandenberg Ken Calvert* Nov 08 1 32% 65%   Election 2006
CA-44         35% 62%   2004 Election
 
CA-45 David Roth Mary Bono* Nov 08 1 39% 61%   Election 2006
CA-45         33% 67%   2004 Election
 
CA-46 Jim Brandt Dana Rohrabacher* Nov 08 1 31% 66%   Election 2006
CA-46         33% 62%   2004 Election
 
CA-47 Loretta Sanchez* Tan Nguyen Nov 08 1 57% 43%   Election 2006
CA-47         60% 40%   2004 Election
 
CA-48 Steve Young John Campbell* Nov 08 1 33% 64%   Election 2006
CA-48 Steve Young John Campbell* Nov 03 3 37% 56%   SurveyUSA
CA-48 Steve Young John Campbell* Aug 16 3 31% 57%   SurveyUSA
CA-48         32% 65%   2004 Election
 
CA-49 Jeeni Criscenzo Darrell Issa* Nov 08 1 31% 66%   Election 2006
CA-49         35% 63%   2004 Election
 
CA-50 Francine Busby Brian Bilbray* Nov 08 1 40% 57%   Election 2006
CA-50 Francine Busby Brian Bilbray* Nov 03 3 41% 55%   SurveyUSA
CA-50 Francine Busby Brian Bilbray* Oct 16 4 46% 50%   SurveyUSA
CA-50 Francine Busby Brian Bilbray* Sep 12 3 40% 54%   SurveyUSA
CA-50         37% 58%   2004 Election
 
CA-51 Bob Filner* Blake Miles Nov 08 1 64% 34%   Election 2006
CA-51         62% 35%   2004 Election
 
CA-52 John Rinaldi Duncan Hunter* Nov 08 1 30% 67%   Election 2006
CA-52         28% 69%   2004 Election
 
CA-53 Susan Davis* John Woodrum Nov 08 1 62% 36%   Election 2006
CA-53         66% 29%   2004 Election
 
CO-01 Diana DeGette* (None) Nov 08 1 78% 0%   Election 2006
CO-01         74% 24%   2004 Election
 
CO-02 Mark Udall* Rich Mancuso Nov 08 1 68% 29%   Election 2006
CO-02         67% 30%   2004 Election
 
CO-03 John Salazar* Scott Tipton Nov 08 1 63% 36%   Election 2006
CO-03 John Salazar* Scott Tipton Oct 29 3 57% 38%   SurveyUSA
CO-03 John Salazar* Scott Tipton Sep 17 3 52% 41%   SurveyUSA
CO-03 John Salazar* Scott Tipton Aug 14 3 53% 42%   SurveyUSA
CO-03         51% 47%   2004 Election
 
CO-04 Angie Paccione Marilyn Musgrave* Nov 08 1 43% 46%   Election 2006
CO-04 Angie Paccione Marilyn Musgrave* Nov 02 3 43% 44%   SurveyUSA
CO-04 Angie Paccione Marilyn Musgrave* Oct 26 3 48% 45%   RT Strategies
CO-04 Angie Paccione Marilyn Musgrave* Oct 17 3 38% 48%   SurveyUSA
CO-04 Angie Paccione Marilyn Musgrave* Oct 07 5 36% 46%   Mason-Dixon
CO-04 Angie Paccione Marilyn Musgrave* Sep 20 3 42% 46%   SurveyUSA
CO-04 Angie Paccione Marilyn Musgrave* Aug 29 3 41% 47%   RT Strategies
CO-04         45% 51%   2004 Election
 
CO-05 Jay Fawcett Doug Lamborn Nov 08 1 40% 60%   Election 2006
CO-05 Jay Fawcett Doug Lamborn Nov 03 3 42% 51%   SurveyUSA
CO-05 Jay Fawcett Doug Lamborn Oct 27 4 40% 47%   Mason-Dixon
CO-05 Jay Fawcett Doug Lamborn Oct 18 3 38% 51%   SurveyUSA
CO-05 Jay Fawcett Doug Lamborn Oct 07 5 37% 37%   Mason-Dixon
CO-05         27% 71%   2004 Election
 
CO-06 Bill Winter Tom Tancredo* Nov 08 1 40% 58%   Election 2006
CO-06         39% 60%   2004 Election
 
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell Nov 08 1 55% 42%   Election 2006
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell Nov 01 4 54% 38%   SurveyUSA
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell Oct 29 6 54% 40%   Zogby
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell Oct 26 3 51% 46%   RT Strategies
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell Oct 10 3 47% 47%   RT Strategies
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell Oct 07 5 45% 39%   Mason-Dixon
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell Oct 02 8 45% 34%   Zogby
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell Sep 25 5 54% 37%   SurveyUSA
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell Aug 29 3 48% 46%   RT Strategies
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter Rick O'Donnell Aug 20 3 45% 45%   SurveyUSA
CO-07         43% 55%   2004 Election
 
CT-01 John Larson* Scott MacLean Nov 08 1 75% 25%   Election 2006
CT-01         73% 27%   2004 Election
 
CT-02 Joe Courtney Robert Simmons* Nov 08 1 50% 49%   Election 2006
CT-02 Joe Courtney Robert Simmons* Oct 30 3 48% 47%   Research 2000
CT-02 Joe Courtney Robert Simmons* Oct 29 6 42% 47%   Zogby
CT-02 Joe Courtney Robert Simmons* Oct 26 3 51% 45%   RT Strategies
CT-02 Joe Courtney Robert Simmons* Oct 18 7 44% 46%   U. of Conn.
CT-02 Joe Courtney Robert Simmons* Oct 02 8 41% 44%   Zogby
CT-02 Joe Courtney Robert Simmons* Aug 29 3 51% 45%   RT Strategies
CT-02         46% 54%   2004 Election
 
CT-03 Rosa DeLauro* Joseph Vollano Nov 08 1 78% 20%   Election 2006
CT-03         72% 25%   2004 Election
 
CT-04 Diane Farrell Christopher Shays* Nov 08 1 48% 51%   Election 2006
CT-04 Diane Farrell Christopher Shays* Oct 28 3 47% 43%   Research 2000
CT-04 Diane Farrell Christopher Shays* Oct 29 6 51% 44%   Zogby
CT-04 Diane Farrell Christopher Shays* Oct 26 3 43% 52%   RT Strategies
CT-04 Diane Farrell Christopher Shays* Oct 22 7 43% 43%   U. of Conn.
CT-04 Diane Farrell Christopher Shays* Oct 02 8 46% 41%   Zogby
CT-04 Diane Farrell Christopher Shays* Oct 01 7 40% 44%   U. of Conn.
CT-04 Diane Farrell Christopher Shays* Aug 29 3 42% 49%   RT Strategies
CT-04         48% 52%   2004 Election
 
CT-05 Chris Murphy Nancy Johnson* Nov 08 1 56% 44%   Election 2006
CT-05 Chris Murphy Nancy Johnson* Oct 29 3 46% 43%   Research 2000
CT-05 Chris Murphy Nancy Johnson* Oct 28 5 46% 42%   U.of Conn.
CT-05 Chris Murphy Nancy Johnson* Oct 26 3 51% 43%   RT Strategies
CT-05 Chris Murphy Nancy Johnson* Oct 10 3 46% 52%   RT Strategies
CT-05         38% 60%   2004 Election
 
DE-AL Dennis Spivack Michael Castle* Nov 08 1 39% 57%   Election 2006
DE-AL Dennis Spivack Michael Castle* Oct 24 7 24% 59%   FDU
DE-AL         30% 69%   2004 Election
 
FL-01 Joe Roberts Jeff Miller* Nov 08 1 31% 69%   Election 2006
FL-01         24% 77%   2004 Election
 
FL-02 Allen Boyd* (None) Nov 08 1 100% 0%   Election 2006
FL-02         62% 38%   2004 Election
 
FL-03 Corrine Brown* (None) Nov 08 1 100% 0%   Election 2006
FL-03         99% 0%   2004 Election
 
FL-04 Robert Harms Ander Crenshaw* Nov 08 1 30% 70%   Election 2006
FL-04         0 100%   2004 Election
 
FL-05 John Russell Ginny Brown-Waite* Nov 08 1 40% 60%   Election 2006
FL-05 John Russell Ginny Brown-Waite* Oct 30 4 41% 55%   SurveyUSA
FL-05 John Russell Ginny Brown-Waite* Oct 17 4 42% 55%   SurveyUSA
FL-05 John Russell Ginny Brown-Waite* Sep 19 3 40% 56%   SurveyUSA
FL-05         34% 66%   2004 Election
 
FL-06 David Bruderly Cliff Stearns* Nov 08 1 40% 60%   Election 2006
FL-06         36% 64%   2004 Election
 
FL-07 John Chagnon John Mica* Nov 08 1 38% 62%   Election 2006
FL-07         0 100%   2004 Election
 
FL-08 Charlie Stuart Ric Keller* Nov 08 1 46% 53%