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REPUBLICAN PRIMARIES AND CAUCUSES 2008 Click for Democratic primaries and caucuses

 
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News: Updated May 22


  Primaries/caucuses
McCain McCain won
Romney Romney won
Romney Huckabee won
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News from the Votemaster

Something odd happened Tuesday: Barack Obama beat Hillary Clinton solidly among working class white voters in Oregon. He won in all age groups except over 60 and he won among voters making under $50,000 a year and he won among voters without college degrees. Given the demographics of Oregon, nearly all these people are white. Thus it indeed seems he has an Appalachia problem rather than a generic blue-collar problem. He will no doubt work on this by emphasizing bread-and-butter issues like jobs and mortgage relief in the general election. Earlier in the year he talked about a big plan to rebuild America's crumbling infrastructure, a project that would create a lot of jobs. He might put that back on the table as a way to appeal to Appalachian voters, many of whom are hurting economically.

The saga of Vito Fossella (R-NY) in NY-13 is not over. The Hill reports that he may go to jail for drunken driving (not for having two families, that's fine). If he goes to jail, there will be immense pressure on him to resign from Congress to avoid bad PR. If he resigns before July 1, Gov. David Paterson (D-NY) has the option of calling a special election. Given that Democrats have won three contested special elections in a row in highly Republican territory, Paterson may well call a special election in this D+1 district and the Democrats may pick up another House seat. If Fossella stays in the House until after July 1, the seat will remain vacant until January.

The senatorial committees have reported their April numbers as follows:

Committee Raised Spent Cash on Hand
DSCC $4.2 million $4.5 million $37.6 million
NRCC $4.3 million $2.3 million $19.4 million

The congressional committees have also reported on April as follows:

Committee Raised Spent Cash on Hand
DCCC $5.0 million $4.1 million $45.3 million
NRCC $4.3 million $4.7 million $6.7 million

No new primary polls today, but there are several general election polls.

State Clinton McCain Start End Pollster
Colorado 44% 47% May 19 May 19 Rasmussen
Florida 47% 41% May 19 May 19 Rasmussen
Missouri 48% 46% May 16 May 18 SurveyUSA
N. Carolina 49% 43% May 17 May 19 SurveyUSA
Utah 20% 65% May 13 May 19 Dan Jones
Virginia 38% 47% May 12 May 18 VA Commonw. U.
State Obama McCain Start End Pollster
Colorado 48% 42% May 19 May 19 Rasmussen
Florida 40% 50% May 19 May 19 Rasmussen
Missouri 45% 48% May 16 May 18 SurveyUSA
N. Carolina 43% 51% May 17 May 19 SurveyUSA
Utah 27% 62% May 13 May 19 Dan Jones
Virginia 36% 44% May 12 May 18 VA Commonw. U.
California 49% 41% May 16 May 18 SurveyUSA

The polling results for all primaries and caucuses are available as a Web page and in .csv format.

Delegates

Source Clinton Obama Obama-Clinton
NY Times 1769 1954 +185
AP 1779 1962 +183
CNN 1777 1962 +185
ABC 1771 1965 +194
CBS 1770 1953 +183
MSNBC 1784 1961 +177

Needed to win: 2026

Here is another source for delegate totals.



-- The Votemaster
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