Merry Christmas everyone! Even to Norm Coleman (who is Jewish) but it is not likely to be a merry Christmas
or even a happy Chanukah for him. Yesterday, the Minnesota state supreme court unanimously
his motion to force the
canvassing board to consider his claim that some votes in Franken strongholds were counted twice. Instead, he
could go to court if he wants to--but only after a winner has been certified.
Of course he
but (1) he is going to have to come up
with some hard evidence that votes were actually double counted, something he hasn't done yet, and (2) the case will
end up back in the Minnesota state supreme court, which has denied every motion he has brought before it so far.
The court clearly does not want to decide the election. It wants the canvassing board to do so, as Minnesota
law requires. With all the challenges now processed, all that is left is dealing with the 1600 absentee ballots
that may have been improperly rejected. But absentee ballots in this election tend to favor Franken, who is currently
leading by 46 votes according to the Star Tribune.
If Franken picks up more votes from the absentee ballots, he will be certified the winner and
Coleman will have the difficult task of convincing the state supreme court to reverse the election. Courts
really, really, hate to do that absent some fairly gross malfeasance somewhere down the food chain.
Here is the
on the court ruling. The AP puts Franken's lead at 47. Both this count and the Star Tribune's are unofficial
While Coleman's chances at this point are not zero, they are not great either. Here is what the bettors at
www.intrade.com have thought of Coleman's chances to win
over the past 60 days.
If you think Coleman will win, here is your chance to make some big money fast. You can buy 1000 shares in
Coleman-to-win for about $600. If he is elected, you get $10,000.
Rundown of the 2010 Senate Races
Campaign Diaries has a
of the 2010 Senate races, ranking them from shakiest (Jim Bunning) to most solid (Bob Bennett).
Our rundown is here.
Early next year we'll change the map to reflect the 2010 Senate races.
Bush Grants Then Revokes a Pardon
On Dec. 23 President Bush pardoned Isaac Toussie, who had defrauded low-income home buyers, then on
Dec. 24 he revoked the pardon. It is a bit early to tell how this will play out, but suppose Toussie goes
to federal court to claimed "once a pardonee, always a pardonee" and loses. In other words, suppose the
courts rule that if Presidents have the power to pardon, they also have the power to revoke a pardon.
That could have implications if President Bush pardons members of his administration on his last day in
office and then incoming President Barack Obama revokes the pardons. This is definitely uncharted territory.
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