In case you haven't noticed, the map above is for the
Democratic Party primaries and caucuses. For the Republican
Party primaries and caucuses, click the link near the top
on the right.
Tomorrow are the Nevada caucuses and the South Carolina
Republican primary. Here are the latest polling results for the
In Nevada, Clinton and Romney are slightly ahead, but due to the
low-turnout at caucuses, the results might be different.
There was a court case about whether cacuses could be held at
hotels in the strip and the result was they could be (which
helps Obama, since key unions have endorsed him).
The last two polls in Nevada show Giuliani sinking rapidly,
with his suport going to Romney. If Romney wins Nevada, it
repairs some of the damage he suffered losing Iowa and New Hampshire.
If he manages to win both Nevada and South Carolina, then he gets to
In South Carolina, Obama is ahead of Clinton, but that could change
before the actual Democratic primary on Jan. 26.
The Republican side is tomorrow and too close to call.
However, if Fred Thompson comes in 4th, it's curtains for Fred.
He'll probably drop out immediately, saying some variant of
"I didn't really want the job anyway." It's not sour grapes.
He never acted like somebody who wanted the job. Romney has
poured tens of millions of dollars of his own money into the race. McCain,
Huckabee, and Giuliani have all been campaigning like crazy,
albeit in different ways. Fred's been invisible.
Lesson: Don't run for President unless you really want to be President.