absentee ballot for overseas voter

House of Representatives Elections 2010

Senate races are polled frequently, but House races are not. In fact, for the vast majority of House races, there are no polls at all. Still, using available data we can make some estimates of how each House race will go. The methodology and results are discussed below. But before starting a few basic facts are worth noting. Charlie Cook's Partisan Voting Index (PVI) measures how much more Democratic or Republican a congressional district is than the country as a whole based on the two previous presidential elections. Currently 240 CD's (Congressional Districts) lean Republican and 195 lean Democratic. This effect is due to the fact that Democrats tend to be concentrated in cities and Republicans in rural areas. Of the 240 Republican-leaning CDs, currently 72 are represented in the House by Democrats. Only 10 Republicans represent Democratic-leaning districts. Thus if many districts return to their norm, the Democrats are going to take a big hit in the House, independent of everything else.

Prediction Methodology

To make predictions about how CDs will go without having polling data, we have to assemble some other data. In particular, for each CD we know the PVI, the 2008 election results, whether the incumbent is running again, and if so, how firmly established the representative is (i.e., how many elections has he or she won).

With this data available, here is the algorithm used in the table below. These predictions (given in the last column) will be used as our default value until a poll is published. For every race, each of the following steps is evaluated in order until one of them applies.

  1. If a candidate has no major party opponent, the candidate wins.
  2. An incumbent who got >= 58% of the vote in a contested 2008 election wins.
  3. Any CD where the 2008 race was decided by less than 3% is a tossup.
  4. Any incumbent first elected before 2000 wins.
  5. Any Republican incumbents in a district that is R+3 or more wins.
  6. Any Democratic incumbent in districts that is D+8 or more wins.
  7. An open seat in an R+5 or more district goes to the Republican.
  8. An open seat in a D+5 or more district goes to the Democrat.
  9. All other races are Tossups.

Here are some notes on why these rules were chosen. First off, for the past decade, the reelection rate for House incumbents not under indictment has been 94-98%. Even in the Republican wave year of 1994, 90% of all incumbents were reelected. Reasons for this effect include incumbents being better known and having more money than their challengers and having a track record of bringing home the bacon.

For half a century, the party in the White House has done very poorly in the midterms, almost without exception, so the Republicans have the wind at their backs this year. For this reason, we predict the Democrats will not be able to knock off any Republican incumbents in Republican (>= R+3) districts. In contrast, Democrats not in strong Democratic districts (D+5 or more) will be potentially vulnerable. However, any representative who got 55% of the vote in 2008 clearly has substantial personal popularity and will be tough to unseat. Any congressman elected before 2000 has survived both the Bush years and the Democratic waves of 2006 and 2008, and can probably survive anything other than being YouTubed in bed with a dead girl or a live boy (reverse for congresswomen). Open seats are harder to predict since none of the advantages of incumbency are in play, so swing districts (D+4 through R+4) represented by relative newbies who barely won last time are rated tossups and depend on the actual cast of characters and local details. HI-01 and LA-02 are heavily Democratic districts where Republicans were elected due to unusual circumstances that won't be repeated, so we rate them as Democratic takeovers. Once again, these predictions are only used when there has been no unbiased poll published for a race.

The bottom line here is that to keep control of the House, the Democrats are going to have to hang onto a very substantial number of the 72 red CDs they now occupy. In the absence of polling data, it is only a guess how well they will do. But also keep in mind the fact that the voters are often illogical. Generic House polls currently favor the Republicans despite the fact that virtually every poll shows that even though the voters dislike the congressional Democrats by large margins, they dislike the Republicans even more. Let's hope more actual polling data shows up soon.

Results for Each Congressional District

The data displayed below is available in .csv format for you to download and analyze yourself. Also available is the polling data. Finally, descriptions of the most hotly contested House races, with photos of the candidates and many relevant hyperlinks can be found here.

Below is a list of the Democratic and Republican candidates for the House of Representatives elections in 2010. The colors indicate the predicted party, not the incumbent one. When a poll is available, it is used, otherwise the model is used. The columns are as follows.

  1. CD = Code for the Congressional District (click on it for race description or map)
  2. PVI = Charlie Cook's Partisan Voting Index
  3. Open? = Is this an open seat?
  4. Democrat = Democratic candidate (incumbents are marked with *)
  5. Democat's polling score if available
  6. Republican = Republican candidate (incumbents are marked with *
  7. Republican's polling score if available
  8. Winner = What the poll or model predicts for 2010
  9. Po/Mo = Whether a poll or the model was used here
  10. Pollster/Why? = If this is a poll, which pollster, otherwise which rule in the model

CD PVI Open? Democrat D-% Republican R-% Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
AK-AL R+13 No Harry Crawford 31% Don Young* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
AL-01 R+14 No (Unopposed) 0% Jo Bonner* 83% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AL-02 R+16 No Bobby Bright* 49% Martha Roby 51% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AL-03 R+9 No Steve Segrest 41% Mike Rogers* 59% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AL-04 R+26 No (Unopposed) 0% Robert Aderholt* 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AL-05 R+12 Open Steve Raby 42% Mo Brooks 58% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AL-06 R+29 No (Unopposed) 0% Spencer Bachus* 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AL-07 D+18 Open Terri Sewell 72% Don Chamberlain 28% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
AR-01 R+8 Open Chad Causey 43% Rick Crawford 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AR-02 R+5 Open Joyce Elliott 38% Tim Griffin 58% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AR-03 R+16 Open David Whitaker 28% Steve Womack 72% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AR-04 R+7 No Mike Ross* 58% Beth Anne Rankin 40% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
AZ-01 R+6 No Ann Kirkpatrick* 44% Paul Gosar 50% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AZ-02 R+13 No John Thrasher 31% Trent Franks* 65% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AZ-03 R+9 Open Jon Hulburd 41% Ben Quayle 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AZ-04 D+13 No Ed Pastor* 65% Janet Contreras 29% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AZ-05 R+5 No Harry Mitchell* 43% David Schweikert 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AZ-06 R+15 No Rebecca Schneider 29% Jeff Flake* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AZ-07 D+6 No Raul Grijalva* 49% Ruth McClung 45% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
AZ-08 R+4 No Gabrielle Giffords* 49% Jesse Kelly 47% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
CA-01 D+13 No Mike Thompson* 63% Loren Hanks 32% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-02 R+11 No Jim Reed 43% Wally Herger* 57% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-03 R+6 No Ami Bera 43% Dan Lungren* 50% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-04 R+10 No Clint Curtis 31% Tom McClintock* 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-05 D+15 No Doris Matsui* 72% Paul Smith 26% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-06 D+23 No Lynn Woolsey* 65% Jim Judd 30% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-07 D+19 No George Miller* 67% Rick Tubbs 33% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-08 D+35 No Nancy Pelosi* 80% John Dennis 15% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-09 D+37 No Barbara Lee* 83% Gerald Hashimoto 12% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-10 D+11 No John Garamendi* 58% Gary Clift 38% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-11 R+1 No Jerry McNerney* 49% David Harmer 48% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-12 D+23 No Jackie Speier* 75% Mike Moloney 23% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-13 D+22 No Pete Stark* 72% Forest Baker 28% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-14 D+21 No Anna Eshoo* 68% Dave Chapman 29% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-15 D+15 No Mike Honda* 67% Scott Kirkland 33% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-16 D+16 No Zoe Lofgren* 67% Daniel Sahagun 25% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-17 D+19 No Sam Farr* 66% Jeff Taylor 30% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-18 D+4 No Dennis Cardoza* 58% Michael Berryhill 42% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-19 R+9 Open Lorraine Goodwin 35% Jeff Denham 65% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-20 D+5 No Jim Costa* 50% Andy Vidak 49% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-21 R+13 No (Unopposed) 0% Devin Nunes* 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-22 R+16 No (Unopposed) 0% Kevin McCarthy* 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-23 D+12 No Lois Capps* 57% Tom Watson 38% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-24 R+4 No Timothy Allison 40% Elton Gallegly* 60% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-25 R+6 No Jackie Conaway 38% Howard McKeon* 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-26 R+3 No Russ Warner 37% David Dreier* 54% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-27 D+13 No Brad Sherman* 65% Mark Reed 35% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-28 D+23 No Howard Berman* 70% Merlin Froyd 22% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-29 D+14 No Adam Schiff* 65% John Colbert 32% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-30 D+18 No Henry Waxman* 65% Chuck Wilkerson 32% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-31 D+29 No Xavier Becerra* 84% Stephen Smith 16% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-32 D+15 No Judy Chu* 71% Ed Schmerling 29% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-33 D+35 Open Karen Bass 86% James Andion 14% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-34 D+22 No Lucille Roybal-Allard* 77% Wayne Miller 23% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-35 D+31 No Maxine Waters* 79% Bruce Brown 21% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-36 D+12 No Jane Harman* 60% Mattie Fein 35% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-37 D+26 No Laura Richardson* 69% Star Parker 23% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-38 D+18 No Grace Napolitano* 74% Robert Vaughn 26% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-39 D+12 No Linda Sanchez* 64% Larry Andre 32% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-40 R+8 No Christina Avalos 33% Ed Royce* 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-41 R+10 No Pat Meagher 37% Jerry Lewis* 63% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-42 R+10 No Michael Williamson 32% Gary Miller* 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-43 D+13 No Joe Baca* 65% Scott Folkens 35% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-44 R+6 No Bill Hedrick 45% Ken Calvert* 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-45 R+3 No Steve Pougnet 42% Mary Bono-Mack* 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-46 R+6 No Ken Arnold 38% Dana Rohrabacher* 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-47 D+4 No Loretta Sanchez* 51% Van Tran 42% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-48 R+6 No Beth Krom 36% John Campbell* 60% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-49 R+10 No Howard Katz 44% Darrell Issa* 51% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-50 R+3 No Francine Busby 39% Brian Bilbray* 57% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-51 D+8 No Bob Filner* 60% Nick Popaditch 40% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-52 R+9 No Ray Lutz 32% Duncan Hunter* 63% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-53 D+14 No Susan Davis* 62% Michael Crimmins 34% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
CO-01 D+21 No Diana DeGette* 68% Mike Fallon 29% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CO-02 D+11 No Jared Polis* 57% Stephen Bailey 38% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CO-03 R+5 No John Salazar* 46% Scott Tipton 50% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CA-04 R+6 No Betsy Markey* 41% Cory Gardner 53% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CO-05 R+14 No Kevin Bradley 29% Doug Lamborn* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CO-06 R+8 No John Flerlage 31% Mike Coffman* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CO-07 D+4 No Ed Perlmutter* 53% Ryan Frazier 42% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
CT-01 D+13 No John Larson* 61% Ann Brickley 37% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CT-02 D+6 No Joe Courtney* 60% Janet Peckinpaugh 39% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CT-03 D+9 No Rosa DeLauro* 65% Larry Labriola 34% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CT-04 D+5 No Jim Himes* 53% Dan Debicella 47% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
CT-05 D+2 No Chris Murphy* 54% Sam Caligiuri 46% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
DE-AL D+7 Open John Carney 57% Glen Urquhart 41% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
FL-01 R+21 No (Unopposed) 0% Jeff Miller* 81% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-02 R+6 No Allen Boyd* 41% Steve Southerland 54% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-03 D+18 No Corrine Brown* 63% Mike Yost 34% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-04 R+17 No (Unopposed) 0% Ander Crenshaw* 77% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-05 R+9 Open Jim Piccillo 33% Rich Nugent 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-06 R+10 No (Unopposed) 0% Cliff Stearns* 71% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-07 R+7 No Heather Beaven 31% John Mica* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-08 R+2 No Alan Grayson* 38% Dan Webster 56% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-09 R+6 No Anita de Palma 29% Gus Bilirakis* 71% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-10 R+1 No Charlie Justice 34% Bill Young* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-11 D+11 No Kathy Castor* 60% Mike Prendergast 40% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-12 R+6 Open Lori Edwards 41% Dennis Ross 48% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-13 R+6 No James Golden 31% Vern Buchanan* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-14 R+11 No James Roach 28% Connie Mack* 68% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-15 R+6 No Shannon Roberts 35% Bill Posey* 65% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-16 R+5 No Jim Horn 33% Tom Rooney* 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-17 D+34 Open Frederica Wilson 86% (Unopposed) 0% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-18 R+3 No Rolando Banciella 31% Ileana Ros-Lehtinen* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-19 D+15 No Ted Deutch* 63% Joe Budd 37% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-20 D+13 No Debbie Wasserman Schultz* 60% Karen Harrington 38% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-21 R+5 Open (Unopposed) 0% Mario Diaz-Balart 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-22 D+1 No Ron Klein* 46% Allen West 54% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-23 D+28 No Alcee Hastings* 79% Bernard Sansaricq 21% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-24 R+4 No Suzanne Kosmas* 40% Sandy Adams 60% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
FL-25 R+5 Open Joe Garcia 42% David Rivera 53% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
GA-01 R+16 No Oscar Harris 28% Jack Kingston* 72% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-02 D+1 No Sanford Bishop* 51% Mike Keown 49% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-03 R+19 No Frank Saunders 31% Lynn Westmoreland* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-04 D+24 No Hank Johnson* 75% Liz Carter 25% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-05 D+26 No John Lewis* 74% Fenn Little 26% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-06 R+19 No (Unopposed) 0% Tom Price* 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-07 R+16 Open Doug Heckman 33% Rob Woodall 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-08 R+10 No Jim Marshall* 47% Austin Scott 53% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-09 R+28 Open (Unopposed) 0% Tom Graves* 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-10 R+15 No Russell Edwards 33% Paul Broun* 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-11 R+20 No (Unopposed) 0% Phil Gingrey* 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-12 D+1 No John Barrow* 57% Raymond McKinney 43% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
GA-13 D+15 No David Scott* 69% Mike Crane 31% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
HI-01 D+11 No Colleen Hanabusa 53% Charles Djou* 47% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
HI-02 D+14 No Mazie Hirono* 72% John Willoughby 25% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
IA-01 D+5 No Bruce Braley* 49% Benjamin Lange 48% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IA-02 D+7 No David Loebsack* 51% Mariannette Miller-Meeks 46% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IA-03 D+1 No Leonard Boswell* 51% Brad Zaun 47% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IA-04 D+ No Bill Maske 32% Tom Latham* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IA-05 R+9 No Matthew Campbell 32% Steve King* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
ID-01 R+18 No Walt Minnick* 41% Raul Labrador 51% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
ID-02 R+17 No Mike Crawford 24% Mike Simpson* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
IL-01 D+34 No Bobby Rush* 80% Ray Wardingley 16% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-02 D+36 No Jesse Jackson Jr.* 80% Isaac Hayes 14% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-03 D+11 No Dan Lipinski* 70% Michael Bendas 24% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-04 D+32 No Luis Gutierrez* 77% Israel Vasquez 14% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-05 D+19 No Michael Quigley* 71% David Ratowitz 25% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-06 D+ No Benjamin Lowe 36% Peter Roskam* 64% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-07 D+35 No Danny Davis* 81% Mark Weiman 16% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-08 R+1 No Melissa Bean* 48% Joe Walsh 49% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-09 D+20 No Jan Schakowsky* 66% Joel Pollak 32% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-10 D+6 Open Daniel Seals 49% Robert Dold 51% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-11 R+1 No Debbie Halvorson* 43% Adam Kinzinger 57% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-12 D+3 No Jerry Costello* 60% Teri Newman 37% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-13 R+1 No Scott Harper 36% Judy Biggert* 64% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-14 R+1 No Bill Foster* 45% Randy Hultgren 51% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-15 R+6 No David Gill 36% Tim Johnson* 64% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-16 R+2 No George Gaulrapp 31% Donald Manzullo* 65% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-17 D+3 No Phil Hare* 43% Bobby Schilling 53% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-18 R+6 No D.K. Hirner 26% Aaron Schock* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IL-19 R+9 No Tim Bagwell 29% John Shimkus* 71% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
IN-01 D+8 No Pete Visclosky* 59% Mark Leyva 39% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IN-02 R+2 No Joe Donnelly* 48% Jackie Walorski 47% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IN-03 R+14 Open Tom Hayhurst 33% Marlin Stutzman 63% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IN-04 R+14 Open David Sanders 26% Todd Rokita 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IN-05 R+17 No Tim Crawford 25% Dan Burton* 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IN-06 R+10 No Barry Welsh 30% Mike Pence* 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IN-07 D+14 No Andre Carson* 59% Marvin Scott 38% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IN-08 R+8 Open Trent VanHaaften 37% Larry Bucshon 58% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
IN-09 R+6 No Baron Hill* 42% Todd Young 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
KS-01 R+23 Open Alan Jilka 23% Tim Huelskamp 74% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
KS-02 R+9 No Cheryl Hudspeth 32% Lynn Jenkins* 63% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
KS-03 R+3 Open Stephene Moore 38% Kevin Yoder 59% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
KS-04 R+14 Open Raj Goyle 36% Mike Pompeo 59% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
KY-01 R+15 No Charles Kendall Hatchett 29% Ed Whitfield* 71% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
KY-02 R+15 No Ed Marksberry 32% Brett Guthrie* 68% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
KY-03 D+2 No John Yarmuth* 55% Todd Lally 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
KY-04 R+14 No John Waltz 31% Geoff Davis* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
KY-05 R+16 No Jim Holbert 23% Hal Rogers* 77% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
KY-06 R+9 No Ben Chandler* 50% Andy Barr 49% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
LA-01 R+24 No Myron Katz 19% Steve Scalise* 79% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
LA-02 D+25 No Cedric Richmond 65% Joseph Cao* 33% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
LA-03 R+12 Open Ravi Sangisetty 36% Jeff Landry 64% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
LA-04 R+11 No David Melville 32% John Fleming* 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
LA-05 R+14 No (Unopposed) 0% Rodney Alexander 79% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
LA-06 R+10 No Merritt McDonald 34% Bill Cassidy* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
LA-07 R+14 No (Unopposed) 0% Charles Boustany 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
MA-01 D+14 No John Olver* 60% William Gunn 34% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MA-02 D+9 No Richard Neal* 57% Tom Wesley 43% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MA-03 D+9 No Jim McGovern* 56% Marty Lamb 39% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MA-04 D+14 No Barney Frank* 54% Sean Bielat 43% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MA-05 D+8 No Niki Tsongas* 55% Jon Golnik 42% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MA-06 D+7 No John Tierney* 57% Bill Hudak 43% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MA-07 D+15 No Ed Markey* 66% Gerry Dembrowski 34% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MA-08 D+32 No Mike Capuano** 100% (Unopposed) 0% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MA-09 D+11 No Stephen Lynch* 68% Vernon Harrison 26% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MA-10 D+5 Open Bill Keating 47% Jeff Perry 42% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
MD-01 R+13 No Frank Kratovil* 41% Andy Harris 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MD-02 D+7 No Dutch Ruppersberger* 64% Marcelo Cardarelli 33% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MD-03 D+6 No John Sarbanes* 61% Jim Wilhelm 36% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MD-04 D+31 No Donna Edwards* 84% Robert Broadus 16% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MD-05 D+11 No Steny Hoyer* 64% Charles Lollar 35% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MD-06 R+13 No Andrew Duck 33% Roscoe Bartlett* 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MD-07 D+25 No Elijah Cummings* 75% Frank Mirabile 23% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MD-08 D+21 No Chris Van Hollen* 73% Michael Philips 25% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
ME-01 D+8 No Chellie Pingree* 57% Dean Scontras 43% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
ME-02 D+3 No Mike Michaud* 55% Jason Levesque 45% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
MI-01 R+3 Open Gary McDowell 41% Dan Benishek 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-02 R+7 Open Fred Johnson 32% Bill Huizenga 65% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-03 R+6 Open Pat Miles 37% Justin Amash 60% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-04 R+3 No Jerry Campbell 31% Dave Camp* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-05 D+11 No Dale Kildee* 53% John Kuipec 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-06 R+ No Don Cooney 34% Fred Upton* 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-07 R+2 No Mark Schauer* 45% Tim Walberg 50% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-08 R+2 No Lance Enderle 34% Mike Rogers* 64% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-09 D+2 No Gary Peters* 50% Rocky Raczowski 47% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-10 R+5 No Henry Yanez 25% Candice Miller* 72% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-11 R+ No Natalie Mosher 38% Thad McCotter* 59% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-12 D+12 No Sander Levin* 61% Don Volaric 35% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-13 D+31 Open Hansen Clarke 79% John Hauler 19% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-14 D+34 No John Conyers Jr.* 77% Don Ukrainec 20% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MI-15 D+13 No John Dingell* 57% Rob Steele 40% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
MN-01 R+1 No Tim Walz* 50% Randy Demmer 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MN-02 R+4 No Shelly Madore 37% John Kline* 63% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MN-03 R+ No Jim Meffert 37% Erik Paulsen* 59% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MN-04 D+13 No Betty McCollum* 50% Teresa Collett 35% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MN-05 D+23 No Keith Ellison* 68% Joel Demos 24% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MN-06 R+7 No Tarryl Clark 40% Michele Bachmann* 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MN-07 R+5 No Collin Peterson* 55% Lee Byberg 38% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MN-08 D+3 No Jim Oberstar* 47% Chip Cravaack 48% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
MO-01 D+27 No William Lacy Clay Jr.* 74% Robyn Hamlin 24% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MO-02 R+9 No Arthur Lieber 29% Todd Akin* 68% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MO-03 D+7 No Russ Carnahan* 49% Ed Martin 47% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MO-04 R+14 No Ike Skelton* 45% Vicky Hartzler 50% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MO-05 D+10 No Emanuel Cleaver* 53% Jacob Turk 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MO-06 R+7 No Clint Hylton 31% Sam Graves* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MO-07 R+17 Open Scott Eckersley 30% Billy Long 63% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MO-08 R+15 No Tommy Sowers 29% Jo-Ann Emerson* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MO-09 R+9 No (Unopposed) 0% Blaine Luetkemeyer* 78% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
MS-01 R+14 No Travis Childers* 41% Alan Nunnelee 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MS-02 D+12 No Bennie Thompson* 62% Bill Marcy 37% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MS-03 R+15 No Joel Gill 31% Gregg Harper* 68% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
MS-04 R+20 No Gene Taylor* 47% Steven Palazzo 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
MT-AL R+7 No Dennis McDonald 34% Denny Rehberg* 61% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
NC-01 D+9 No G.K. Butterfield* 59% Ashley Woolard 41% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-02 R+2 No Bob Etheridge* 49% Renee Ellmers 50% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-03 R+16 No Johnny Rouse 26% Walter Jones* 72% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-04 D+8 No David Price* 57% B.J. Lawson 43% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-05 R+15 No William Kennedy 34% Virginia Foxx* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-06 R+18 No Gregory Scott Turner 25% Howard Coble* 75% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-07 R+5 No Mike McIntyre* 54% Ilario Pantano 46% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-08 R+2 No Larry Kissell* 53% Harold Johnson 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-09 R+11 No Jeff Doctor 31% Sue Myrick* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-10 R+17 No Jeff Gregory 29% Patrick McHenry* 71% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-11 R+6 No Heath Shuler* 54% Jeff Miller 46% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-12 D+16 No Mel Watt* 64% Greg Dority 34% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NC-13 D+5 No Brad Miller* 55% William Randall 45% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
ND-AL R+10 No Earl Pomeroy* 45% Rick Berg 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
NE-01 R+11 No Ivy Harper 29% Jeff Fortenberry* 71% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NE-02 R+6 No Tom White 39% Lee Terry* 61% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NE-03 R+24 No Rebekah Davis 18% Adrian Smith* 70% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
NH-01 R+ No Carol Shea-Porter* 43% Frank Guinta 54% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NH-02 D+3 Open Ann McLane Kuster 47% Charlie Bass 48% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
NJ-01 D+12 No Rob Andrews* 63% Dale Glading 35% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-02 D+1 No Gary Stein 31% Frank LoBiondo* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-03 R+1 No John Adler* 47% Jon Runyan 50% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-04 R+6 No Howard Kleinhendler 28% Chris Smith* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-05 R+7 No Tod Thiese 33% Scott Garrett* 65% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-06 D+8 No Frank Pallone* 54% Anna Little 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-07 R+3 No Ed Potosnak 41% Leonard Lance* 59% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-08 D+10 No Bill Pascrell* 63% Roland Straten 36% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-09 D+9 No Steve Rothman* 61% Michael Agosta 38% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-10 D+33 No Don Payne* 85% Michael Alonso 13% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-11 R+7 No Douglas Herbert 31% Rodney Frelinghuysen* 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-12 D+5 No Rush Holt* 53% Scott Sipprelle 46% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NJ-13 D+21 No Albio Sires* 74% Henrietta Dwyer 23% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
NM-01 D+5 No Martin Heinrich* 52% Jon Barela 48% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NM-02 R+6 No Harry Teague* 45% Steve Pearce 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NM-03 D+7 No Ben Lujan* 57% Tom Mullins 43% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
NV-01 D+10 No Shelley Berkley* 62% Kenneth Wegner 35% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NV-02 R+5 No Nancy Price 33% Dean Heller* 63% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NV-03 D+2 No Dina Titus* 47% Joe Heck 48% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
NY-01 R+1 No Tim Bishop* 50% Randy Altschuler 49% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-02 D+4 No Steve Israel* 56% John Gomez 43% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-03 R+4 No Howard Kudler 28% Peter King* 72% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-04 D+6 No Carolyn McCarthy 54% Francis Becker 46% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-05 D+12 No Gary Ackerman* 62% James Milano 37% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-06 D+36 No Gregory Meeks* 85% Asher Taub 15% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-07 D+26 No Joseph Crowley* 80% Ken Reynolds 19% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-08 D+22 No Jerrold Nadler* 75% Susan Kone 25% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-09 D+5 No Anthony Weiner* 59% Bob Turner 41% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-10 D+38 No Ed Towns* 91% Diana Muniz 7% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-11 D+38 No Yvette Clarke* 90% Hugh Carr 10% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-12 D+33 No Nydia Velazquez* 93% (Unopposed) 0% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-13 R+4 No Mike McMahon* 48% Michael Grimm 51% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-14 D+26 No Carolyn Maloney* 75% Ryan Brumberg 22% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-15 D+41 No Charlie Rangel* 80% Michel Faulkner 10% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-16 D+41 No Jose Serrano* 95% Frank Della Valle 5% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-17 D+18 No Eliot Engel* 71% Anthony Mele 24% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-18 D+9 No Nita Lowey* 62% James Russell 38% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-19 R+3 No John Hall* 47% Nan Hayworth 53% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-20 R+2 No Scott Murphy* 45% Christopher Gibson 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-21 D+6 No Paul Tonko* 59% Theodore Danz 41% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-22 D+6 No Maurice Hinchey* 52% George Phillips 48% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-23 R+1 No Bill Owens* 48% Matt Doheny 46% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-24 R+2 No Mike Arcuri* 47% Richard Hanna 53% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-25 D+3 No Dan Maffei* 49% Ann Marie Beurkle 50% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-26 R+6 No Philip Fedele 26% Chris Lee* 74% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-27 D+4 No Brian Higgins* 61% Leonard Roberto 39% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-28 D+15 No Louise Slaughter* 66% Jill Rowland 34% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
NY-29 R+5 Open Matt Zeller 44% Tom Reed 56% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
OH-01 D+1 No Steven Driehaus* 45% Steve Chabot 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-02 R+13 No Surya Yalamanchili 35% Jean Schmidt* 59% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-03 R+5 No Joe Roberts 31% Mike Turner* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-04 R+15 No Doug Litt 25% Jim Jordan* 72% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-05 R+9 No Caleb Finkenbiner 26% Bob Latta* 68% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-06 R+2 No Charlie Wilson* 45% Bill Johnson 50% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-07 R+7 No Bill Conner 32% Steve Austria* 63% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-08 R+14 No Justin Coussoule 30% John Boehner* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-09 D+10 No Marcy Kaptur* 59% Rich Iott 41% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-10 D+8 No Dennis Kucinich* 53% Peter Corrigan 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-11 D+32 No Marcia Fudge* 82% Thomas Pekare 18% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-12 D+1 No Paula Brooks 37% Pat Tiberi* 60% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-13 D+5 No Betty Sutton* 55% Tom Ganley 45% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-14 R+3 No William O'Neill 31% Steve LaTourette* 65% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-15 D+1 No Mary Jo Kilroy* 38% Steve Stivers 57% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-16 R+4 No John Boccieri* 41% Jim Renacci 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-17 D+12 No Tim Ryan* 54% Jim Graham 30% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OH-18 R+7 No Zack Space* 40% Bob Gibbs 54% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
OK-01 R+16 No (Unopposed) 0% John Sullivan* 77% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OK-02 R+14 No Dan Boren* 57% Charles Thompson 43% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OK-03 R+24 No Frankie Robbins 22% Frank Lucas* 78% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OK-04 R+18 No (Unopposed) 0% Tom Cole* 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OK-05 R+13 Open Billy Coyle 35% James Lankford 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
OR-01 D+8 No David Wu* 55% Rob Cornilles 42% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OR-02 R+10 No Joyce Segers 26% Greg Walden* 74% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OR-03 D+19 No Earl Blumenauer* 69% Delia Lopez 12% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OR-04 D+2 No Peter DeFazio* 53% Art Robinson 45% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
OR-05 D+1 No Kurt Schrader* 51% Scott Bruun 46% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
PA-01 D+35 No Bob Brady* 10% Pia Varma 0% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-02 D+38 No Chaka Fattah* 89% Rick Hellberg 11% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-03 R+3 No Kathy Dahlkemper* 44% Mike Kelly 56% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-04 R+6 No Jason Altmire* 51% Keith Rothfuss 49% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-05 R+9 No Michael Pipe 28% G.T. Thompson* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-06 D+4 No Manan Trivedi 43% Jim Gerlach* 57% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-07 D+3 Open Bryan Lentz 44% Patrick Meehan 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-08 D+2 No Patrick Murphy* 46% Mike Fitzpatrick 54% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-09 R+17 No Tom Conners 27% Bill Shuster* 73% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-10 R+8 No Chris Carney* 45% Thomas Marino 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-11 D+4 No Paul Kanjorski* 45% Lou Barletta 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-12 R+1 No Mark Critz* 51% Tim Burns 49% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-13 D+7 No Allyson Schwartz* 56% Carson Adcock 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-14 D+19 No Mike Doyle* 69% Melissa Haluszczak 28% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-15 D+2 No John Callahan 39% Charlie Dent* 54% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-16 R+8 No Lois Herr 35% Joe Pitts* 65% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-17 R+6 No Tim Holden* 56% Dave Argall 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-18 R+6 No Dan Connolly 33% Tim Murphy* 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
PA-19 R+12 No Ryan Sanders 23% Todd Platts* 72% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
RI-01 D+13 Open David Cicilline 51% John Loughlin 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
RI-02 D+9 No Jim Langevin* 60% Mark Zaccaria 32% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
SC-01 R+10 Open Ben Frasier 29% Tim Scott 65% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
SC-02 R+9 No Robert Miller 44% Joe Wilson* 54% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
SC-03 R+17 Open Jane Ballard Dyer 36% Jeff Duncan 63% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
SC-04 R+15 Open Paul Corden 29% Trey Gowdy 64% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
SC-05 R+7 No John Spratt* 45% Mick Mulvaney 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
SC-06 D+12 No Jim Clyburn* 63% Jim Pratt 36% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
SD-AL R+9 No Stephanie Herseth Sandlin* 46% Kristi Noem 48% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
TN-01 R+21 No Michael Clark 17% Phil Roe* 81% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TN-02 R+16 No Dave Hancock 15% Jimmy Duncan Jr.* 82% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TN-03 R+13 Open John Wolfe Jr. 28% Charles Fleischmann 57% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TN-04 R+13 No Lincoln Davis* 39% Scott DesJarlais 57% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TN-05 D+3 No Jim Cooper* 56% David Hall 42% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TN-06 R+13 Open Brett Carter 29% Diane Black 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TN-07 R+18 No Greg Rabidoux 25% Marsha Blackburn* 72% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TN-08 R+6 Open Roy Herron 39% Stephen Fincher 59% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TN-09 D+23 No Steve Cohen* 74% Charlotte Bergmann 25% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
TX-01 R+21 No (Unopposed) 0% Louie Gohmert* 90% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-02 R+13 No (Unopposed) 0% Ted Poe* 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-03 R+14 No John Lingenfelder 31% Sam Johnson* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-04 R+21 No VaLinda Hathcox 22% Ralph Hall* 73% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-05 R+17 No Tom Berry 28% Jeb Hensarling* 71% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-06 R+15 No David Kozad 31% Joe Barton* 66% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-07 R+13 No (Unopposed) 0% John Culberson* 100% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-08 R+25 No Kent Hargett 18% Kevin Brady* 80% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-09 D+22 No Al Green* 76% Steve Mueller 23% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-10 R+10 No Ted Ankrum 65% Michael McCaul* 33% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-11 R+28 No James Quillan 15% Mike Conaway* 81% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-12 R+16 No Tracey Smith 25% Kay Granger* 72% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-13 R+29 No (Unopposed) 0% Mac Thornberry* 87% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-14 R+18 No Robert Pruett 24% Ron Paul* 76% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-15 D+3 No Ruben Hinojosa* 56% Eddie Zamora 42% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-16 D+10 No Silvestre Reyes* 58% Tim Besco 37% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-17 R+20 No Chet Edwards* 37% Bill Flores 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-18 D+24 No Sheila Jackson Lee* 70% John Faulk 27% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-19 R+26 No Andy Wilson 19% Randy Neugebauer* 78% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-20 D+8 No Charlie Gonzalez* 64% Clayton Trotter 34% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-21 R+14 No Laney Melnick 28% Lamar Smith* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-22 R+13 No Kesha Rogers 30% Pete Olson* 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-23 R+4 No Ciro Rodriguez* 44% Quico Canseco 49% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-24 R+11 No (Unopposed) 0% Kenny Marchant* 82% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-25 D+6 No Lloyd Doggett* 53% Donna Campbell 45% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-26 R+13 No Neil Durrance 31% Michael Burgess* 67% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-27 R+2 No Solomon Ortiz* 47% Blake Farenthold 48% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-28 R+ No Henry Cuellar* 56% Bryan Underwood 42% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-29 D+8 No Gene Green* 65% Roy Morales 34% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-30 D+27 No Eddie Bernice Johnson* 76% Stephen Broden 22% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-31 R+14 No (Unopposed) 0% John Carter* 83% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
TX-32 R+8 No Grier Raggio 35% Pete Sessions* 63% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
UT-01 R+21 No Morgan Bowen 24% Rob Bishop* 69% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
UT-02 R+15 No Jim Matheson* 51% Morgan Philpot 46% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
UT-03 R+26 No Karen Hyer 23% Jason Chaffetz* 72% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
VA-01 R+7 No Krystal Ball 35% Rob Wittman* 64% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
VA-02 R+5 No Glenn Nye* 43% Scott Rigell 53% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
VA-03 D+20 No Bobby Scott* 70% Chuck Smith 27% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
VA-04 R+4 No Wynne LeGrow 38% Randy Forbes* 62% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
VA-05 R+5 No Tom Perriello* 47% Robert Hurt 51% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
VA-06 R+12 No (Unopposed) 0% Bob Goodlatte* 77% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
VA-07 R+9 No Rick Waugh 34% Eric Cantor* 59% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
VA-08 D+16 No Jim Moran* 61% Patrick Murray 37% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
VA-09 R+11 No Rick Boucher* 47% Morgan Griffith 51% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
VA-10 R+2 No Jeff Barnett 34% Frank Wolf* 64% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
VA-11 D+2 No Gerry Connolly* 50% Keith Fimian 49% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
VT-AL D+13 No Peter Welch* 64% Paul Beaudry 32% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
WA-01 D+9 No Jay Inslee* 56% James Watkins 44% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WA-02 D+3 No Rick Larsen* 51% John Koster 49% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WA-03 D+ Open Denny Heck 47% Jaime Herrera 53% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WA-04 R+13 No Jay Clough 32% Doc Hastings* 68% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WA-05 R+7 No Daryl Romeyn 35% Cathy McMorris Rodgers* 65% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WA-06 D+5 No Norm Dicks* 58% Doug Cloud 42% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WA-07 D+31 No Jim McDermott* 100% (Unopposed 0% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WA-08 D+3 No Suzan DelBene 46% Dave Reichert* 54% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WA-09 D+5 No Adam Smith* 54% Dick Muri 46% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
WI-01 R+2 No John Heckenlively 30% Paul Ryan* 68% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WI-02 D+15 No Tammy Baldwin* 62% Chad Lee 38% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WI-03 D+4 No Ron Kind* 50% Dan Kapanke 47% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WI-04 D+22 No Gwen Moore* 69% Dan Sebring 30% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WI-05 R+12 No Todd Kolosso 27% Jim Sensenbrenner* 70% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WI-06 R+4 No Joseph Kallas 29% Tom Petri* 71% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WI-07 D+3 Open Julie Lassa 44% Sean Duffy 52% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WI-08 R+2 No Steve Kagen* 45% Reid Ribble 55% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
WV-01 R+9 Open Mike Oliverio 50% David McKinley 49% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WV-02 R+8 No Virginia Lynch-Graf 30% Shelley Capito* 68% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
WV-03 R+6 No Nick Rahall* 55% Eliott Maynard 45% Dem Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)
 
CD PVI Open? Democrat D % Republican R % Winner Po/Mo Pollster/Why?
WY-AL R+20 No David Wendt 25% Cynthia Lummis* 71% GOP Poll 2010 Election (Nov 09)