Oct. 10 absentee ballot for overseas voters

Senate Dem 49   GOP 51  
House Dem 202   GOP 199   Ties 34

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strong Dem Strong Dem (48)
weak Dem Weak Dem (0)
barely Dem Barely Dem (1)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (5)
weak GOP Weak GOP (6)
strong GOP Strong GOP (40)
strong Ind Strong Ind (0)
weak Ind Weak Ind (0)
barely Ind Barely Ind (0)
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Senate polls today: KY NY RSS
Dem pickups: (None) GOP pickups: AR CO IL IN NV ND PA WA WV WI PDA

PW logo Paladino Attacks Gays in Speech Child Molesters Center Stage in Nevada
Do Campaigns Make a Difference? O'Donnell Spoof
Contradictory Views on the Role of Government Republicans Drop Young Gun

News from the Votemaster            

Bill Clinton Democrats' Top Campaigner     Permalink

While many Democrats in red states and districts do not want President Obama to campaign for them, former President Bill Clinton is welcome everywhere and is criss-crossing the country campaigning for Democrats. Despite the fact that Republicans once hated him so much they impeached him, he is now one of the most popular politicians in the country, with an approval rating of 55%. He will campaign tomorrow in West Virginia for Gov. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and in Kentucky for Attorney General Jack Conway (D) as well as in Arkansas for Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR), who needs all the help she can get.

Also out on the hustings is Vice President Joe Biden. Historically, Veeps have functioned as hatchet men, doing the attacking so the President can have clean hands. To some extent this year we have an unusual division of labor. While Bill Clinton and Biden are playing good cop/bad cop, the President himself is remaining aloof and above the fray for the most part.

Are Polls Junk?     Permalink

That's the headline of a story by Thomas Holbrook. He looks at polls taken in the final 15 days of previous elections and concludes that most polls are within 5% of the final outcome, but that only 79% of the results fall within the margin of error (in principle, 95% should be).

Today's Polls: KY NY CA-18 KS-04     Permalink

New Senate Polls

State Democrat D-pct Republican R-pct I I-pct Start End Pollster
Kentucky Jack Conway 40% Rand Paul 43%     Oct 04 Oct 06 Braun Research
New York Kirsten Gillibrand* 54% Joseph DioGuardi 35%     Oct 05 Oct 07 SurveyUSA

New House Polls

Cong. Distr. Democrat D-pct Republican R-pct I I-pct Start End Pollster
CA-18 Dennis Cardoza* 50% Michael Berryhill 44%     Oct 05 Oct 07 SurveyUSA
KS-04 Raj Goyle 40% Mike Pompeo 53%     Oct 06 Oct 07 SurveyUSA

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