Obama 332
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Romney 206
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Dem 48
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Ties 3
GOP 49
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  • Strongly Dem (177)
  • Likely Dem (75)
  • Barely Dem (80)
  • Exactly tied (0)
  • Barely GOP (15)
  • Likely GOP (47)
  • Strongly GOP (144)
270 Electoral votes needed to win Map algorithm explained
New polls: (None)
Dem pickups: (None)
GOP pickups: IN NC
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News from the Votemaster

Swing State Economies Are Weak

New unemployment numbers for swing states are out and could prove troublesome for President Obama. Nevada, Wisconsin, Colorado, New Mexico, and Indiana all lost jobs from May to June. Jobs in Florida increased, but not by much. Mitt Romney might have pounded on these statistics, but he is traveling abroad for a week and his focus will no doubt be on foreign policy.

Has Citizens United Changed the Game?

An opinion article in the New York Times Magazine argues that Citizens United has not changed the game as much as some people say. In 2008, millionaires could give unlimited donations to 527 groups; now they give them to superPACs. There are some minor differences on what these two kinds of groups can do. The real difference, however, is the donors to 527s have to be reported but superPAC donors can be anonymous. That is perhaps a crucial difference but it is hard to tell really.

Beer and the Presidency

During a campaign, reporters focus on every tiny detail, no matter now stupid and irrelevant. When President Obama stopped at a bar in Ohio recently, the news report was about which brand of beer he had (a Miller Lite and later a Bud Light). By choosing beers popular with the white working class, Obama no doubt hopes to pick up a few votes. Aren't there more important things to discuss? For example, the fact at Bud Light is made by a Belgian company, Anheuser-Busch Inbev and that Miller Lite is made by a company that is half Canadian, Molson Coors Brewing.

Mitt Romney is spared having to choose between a cheap domestic beer and an expensive imported one because modern Mormons are not supposed to consume any alcohol or coffee or use tobacco, despite their ancestors using these products. So when offered a beer, Romney can politely decline and ask for an orange juice instead (which is a twofer: it demonstrates that he is religious and shows support for the economy of Florida, a key swing state.)

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---The Votemaster

Previous Headlines

Jul21 Shooting in Colorado Unlikely to Become a Campaign Issue
Jul21 National Senate and Congressional Committees Announce June Totals
Jul21 More Women Running for the House Than Ever Before
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Jul20 The Three Campaigns
Jul20 Romney Hopes European Trip Will Show Him to Be a Statesman
Jul20 DSCC Chairwoman Talks to Maine Democrat Cynthia Dill
Jul19 Romney Camp Divided on Releasing Tax Returns
Jul19 Wealthy Republican Senate Candidates Picking Up Steam
Jul19 Could Foreign Policy Become a Campaign Issue?
Jul18 New Study Finds Voter ID Laws Burdensome
Jul18 Congress May Raise Taxes by Cutting Them
Jul18 Congress May Raise Taxes to Cut Them
Jul18 Ohio Sued for Restricting Early Voting
Jul18 Romney Accuses Obama of Cronyism
Jul17 Obama's Attacks on Bain Appear to be Working
Jul17 Republicans Filibuster DISCLOSE Act
Jul17 R.I.P. Independent Journalism
Jul17 Americans Woefully Ignorant about Government
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Jul16 Ron Paul Loses in Nebraska
Jul16 Conservatives Now Calling for Romney to Release Tax Returns
Jul16 Obama Campaigns in Virginia; Romney Sends Surrogates
Jul16 Are Americans Overtaxed?
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Jul16 Ron Paul Loses in Nebraska
Jul16 Conservatives Now Calling for Romney to Release Tax Returns
Jul16 Obama Campaigns in Virginia; Romney Sends Surrogates
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Jul16 Who's Side Are You On?
Jul15 Republican Governor May or May Not Have Called for Romney to Release Tax Returns
Jul15 A Look at How Polling Works
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Jul14 Boomlet for Condoleezza Rice as Veep Continues
Jul14 Senators McCain and Kyl Endorse Flake in Arizona Primary
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Jul13 Romney Calls Obama a Liar
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Jul12 House Republicans Vote to Repeal Obamacare--Again
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