Obama 332
image description
Romney 206
image description
Dem 55
image description
GOP 45
image description
  • Strongly Dem (184)
  • Likely Dem (69)
  • Barely Dem (50)
  • Exactly tied (0)
  • Barely GOP (15)
  • Likely GOP (16)
  • Strongly GOP (175)
270 Electoral votes needed to win Map algorithm explained
New polls: (None)
Dem pickups: (None)
GOP pickups: IN NC
PW logo Most Independent Candidates Elected Since 1942 What Romney Didn't Say
Petraeus Lawyers Up Why a Benghazi Cover-Up Makes No Sense
The Six Week Congressman Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

News from the Votemaster

Marco Rubio Now Campaigning in Iowa

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), who is widely expected to run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016, wants to get the jump on the competition, so he showed up in Iowa yesterday. Nominally, he was there to wish Gov. Terry Branstad (R-IA) happy birthday, but he is not fooling anyone (or even trying). He could have called Branstad or sent him a nice basket of fresh Florida fruit, but Rubio well understands that Branstad's support--or at least his not supporting one of Rubio's rivals, could be helpful in the 2016 Iowa caucuses. Rubio clearly understands that all the talk floating around the GOP now about how it has to improve its showing with Latinos clearly helps him, although it remains to be seen whether his Cuban roots play well among Mexican-Americans in Nevada and Colorado. The other potential 2016 candidates are now probably on their computers right now checking out flights to Des Moines. So the 4-year presidential campaign is upon us. The good new is that it is really hard to imagine it becoming more than 4 years. It is a bit hard to work on your 2020 campaign now when no one knows which party will occupy the White House on Jan. 20, 2017.

If you are pretty sure you know who will win the 2016 election, you can place your bet now. Eight British and Irish bookies are already accepting bets on the 2016 election. Hillary Clinton is currently the favorite--and she has said she won't run. The longest shot is Nate Silver, appropriately at 538 to 1, a tad less likely than Eva Longoria (400 to 1). Neither even comes close to Donald Trump (varies from 66:1 to 200:1), George Clooney (200:1), or Michelle Obama (100 to 1 with some bookies). Interesting stuff, but don't bet on it.

Republicans Are Warming to Immigration Reform

Marco Rubio is not the only Republican who thinks the party has a Latino problem. Other Republicans are beginning to talk about a topic that was once taboo within the party. The problem for them is that each one wants to find the smallest possible reform that might help a little bit politically. Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) wants a program that would let people illegally in the U.S. pay a fine and eventually apply for legal status but not citizenship. In contrast, Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME), merely wants some version of the DREAM Act passed. Most likely, President Obama will come with a proposal and then the Republicans will try to water it down, probably driving away Latinos in the process.

Email a link to a friend or share:

---The Votemaster
Nov17 Republican Attacks on Romney Continue Unabated
Nov17 Obama Campaign Was Data Driven
Nov17 Final House Results Are Coming In
Nov17 Congressional Gender Gap Grows
Nov16 Republicans Condemn Romney's Remarks about Gifts
Nov16 What Kind of Candidates Will Jerry Moran Recruit in 2014?
Nov16 Bennet May Take Over DSCC Chairmanship from Patty Murray
Nov16 How Did the Democrats Make Gains in the Senate?
Nov16 Five House Races Still Undecided
Nov15 Senate Republicans: Candidates Matter
Nov15 House Republicans Elect a Woman to Leadership Position
Nov15 Polling Cell phones Is Increasingly a Problem
Nov15 Results of the Poll Taken Here on Nov. 5
Nov15 Gerrymandering for Beginners
Nov15 Immigration Reform Could Help the Democrats in 2014 and 2016
Nov14 Exit Polls Showed Expected Results
Nov14 How Can the Republicans Win Elections Again?
Nov14 Republicans Openly Lobbying for Kerry as Secretary of State
Nov14 Michael Bloomberg To Become a Political Force
Nov14 Jerry Moran Expected to Lead NRSC
Nov14 Final Senate Results
Nov13 Polling for 2014 Gubernatorial Races Has Started
Nov13 Polling for 2016 Democratic Caucuses Has Started
Nov13 Polling for the Iowa Republican Caucuses Has Also Started
Nov13 Goode Didn't Swing Virginia
Nov13 Final Election Results
Nov12 Fight Breaking Out Between Conservative Pundits and Republican Politicians
Nov12 Congress Now Turns Its Attention to the Fiscal Hillock
Nov12 Congress Begins to Address the Voting Process
Nov12 What Happens to Losing Presidential Candidates?
Nov11 Democrats Fear Losing a Senate Seat
Nov11 Conservative Columnist Speaks the Truth about the Election
Nov11 Rundown of Congressional Races by Region
Nov10 Gender Gap Was the Largest Ever Measured
Nov10 Conservatives Try To Invent Reasons Why Romney Lost
Nov10 Election Results by County
Nov10 Supreme Court to Hear Case on the 1965 Voting Rights Act
Nov10 David Petraeus Will Not Run for President in 2016
Nov09 Romney Concedes Florida
Nov09 How Did Each Pollster Do?
Nov09 Long Lines Mar the Voting Process
Nov09 What Can the Republicans Do To Recover?
Nov09 Welcome to the 2016 Campaign
Nov09 Gerrymandering Gives Republicans the Edge in the House
Nov08 Heidi Heitkamp Wins North Dakota Senate Seat
Nov08 Florida Hasn't Been Called Yet
Nov08 Richard Nixon's Southern Strategy Has Hit a Demographic Wall
Nov08 Liberals Did Well on Tuesday
Nov08 Puerto Rico Wants to Be a State
Nov08 Senate Races in 2012 Will Affect 2014