This page contains the current averages for each state for all the Senate races calculated using our algorithm. It is worth noting that our average may differ from other published averages (RCP, 538, HP, TPM, etc.) because each site has a different algorithm. Some average the most recent 3 or 4 or some other number of polls, no matter how old they are. Others use time as the primary criterion for inclusion or not. Also, different sites use different polls. We try to rigorously exclude polls from firms that are basically campaign consultants, that is, whose business model is to help elect candidates. Not everyone excludes these. All these differences in methodology can lead to different results.
In the Senate polls below, an asterisk denotes an incumbent.
State | Democrat | Dem % | Republican | GOP % | Lead | End date |
Arizona | Ruben Gallego | 50% | Kari Lake | 48% | +2% | Nov 13 |
California | Adam Schiff | 54% | Steve Garvey | 46% | +8% | Nov 13 |
Connecticut | Chris Murphy* | 59% | Candidate unknown | 40% | +19% | Nov 13 |
Delaware | Lisa Rochester | 60% | Candidate unknown | 38% | +22% | Nov 13 |
Florida | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 49% | Rick Scott* | 50% | +1% | Nov 13 |
Hawaii | Mazie Hirono* | 71% | Candidate unknown | 29% | +42% | Nov 13 |
Indiana | Candidate unknown | 44% | Candidate unknown | 52% | +8% | Nov 13 |
Maine | Angus King* | 55% | Candidate unknown | 35% | +20% | Nov 13 |
Maryland | Candidate unknown | 64% | Larry Hogan | 31% | +33% | Nov 13 |
Massachusetts | Elizabeth Warren* | 61% | Candidate unknown | 36% | +25% | Nov 13 |
Michigan | Elissa Slotkin | 52% | Candidate unknown | 46% | +6% | Nov 13 |
Minnesota | Amy Klobuchar* | 60% | Candidate unknown | 36% | +24% | Nov 13 |
Mississippi | Candidate unknown | 39% | Roger Wicker* | 59% | +20% | Nov 13 |
Missouri | Candidate unknown | 46% | Josh Hawley* | 52% | +6% | Nov 13 |
Montana | Jon Tester* | 49% | Tim Sheehy | 48% | +1% | Nov 13 |
Nebraska | Dan Osborn | 38% | Deb Fischer* | 58% | +20% | Nov 13 |
Nebraska-special | Preston Love | 38% | Pete Ricketts* | 58% | +20% | Nov 13 |
Nevada | Jacky Rosen* | 50% | Candidate unknown | 45% | +5% | Nov 13 |
New Jersey | Andy Kim | 53% | Candidate unknown | 44% | +9% | Nov 13 |
New Mexico | Martin Heinrich* | 54% | Candidate unknown | 31% | +23% | Nov 13 |
New York | Kirsten Gillibrand* | 67% | Candidate unknown | 33% | +34% | Nov 13 |
North Dakota | Candidate unknown | 45% | Kevin Cramer* | 55% | +10% | Nov 13 |
Ohio | Sherrod Brown* | 53% | Bernie Moreno | 47% | +6% | Nov 13 |
Pennsylvania | Bob Casey* | 56% | David McCormick | 43% | +13% | Nov 13 |
Rhode Island | Sheldon Whitehouse* | 62% | Candidate unknown | 38% | +24% | Nov 13 |
Tennessee | Candidate unknown | 44% | Marsha Blackburn* | 55% | +11% | Nov 13 |
Texas | Colin Allred | 48% | Ted Cruz* | 51% | +3% | Nov 13 |
Utah | Candidate unknown | 32% | Candidate unknown | 62% | +30% | Nov 13 |
Vermont | Bernie Sanders* | 67% | Candidate unknown | 27% | +40% | Nov 13 |
Virginia | Tim Kaine* | 57% | Candidate unknown | 41% | +16% | Nov 13 |
Washington | Maria Cantwell* | 59% | Candidate unknown | 41% | +18% | Nov 13 |
West Virginia | Candidate unknown | 50% | Jim Justice | 46% | +4% | Nov 13 |
Wisconsin | Tammy Baldwin* | 55% | Eric Hovde | 45% | +10% | Nov 13 |
Wyoming | Candidate unknown | 30% | John Barrasso* | 67% | +37% | Nov 13 |