Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 252   Bush 286


 
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electoral college strong kerry Strong Kerry (146)
electoral college weak kerry Weak Kerry (37)
electoral college barely kerry Barely Kerry (69)
electoral college tied Exactly tied (0)
electoral college barely bush Barely Bush (37)
electoral college weak bush Weak Bush (66)
electoral college strong bush Strong Bush (183)
Needed to win: 270
Nov. 8 Election results RSS


News from the Votemaster

I have now made a page containing the final election results and up to 5 polls taken in September, October, or November. The polls are sorted by the middle date. The length of the poll is given in the final field after the dash. The data are also available in Excel format and .csv format.

Here are the final national polls.

Pollster Sponsor Dates Kerry Bush Other Not sure N LV/RV
American Res. Grp   Oct 28 - Oct 30 49 48   3 1500 RV
American Res. Grp   Oct 28 - Oct 30 49 48   3 1500 LV
CBS News CBS Oct 28 - Oct 31 46 47 1 6 939 LV
CBS/NYT CBS/NYT Oct 28 - Oct 30 47 50 1 2 824 LV
Gallup USA Today Oct 29 - Oct 31 48 46 1 3 2014 RV
Gallup USA Today Oct 29 - Oct 31 47 49 1 3 1573 LV
Opinion Dynamics Fox News Oct 30 - Oct 31 47 45 1 5 1400 RV
Opinion Dynamics Fox News Oct 30 - Oct 31 48 46 1 5 1200 LV
Greenberg Dem. Corps Oct 26 - Oct 28 49 46 2 2 1502 LV
Harris   Oct 29 - Oct 31 45 49 3 3 1092 LV
Los Angeles Times LAT Oct 21 - Oct 24 47 47 1 5 1698 RV
Los Angeles Times LAT Oct 21 - Oct 24 48 48 1 3 881 LV
Marist Coll.   Oct 31 - Oct 31 48 48   4 1167 RV
Marist Coll.   Oct 31 - Oct 31 49 48   3 987 LV
  NBC/WSJ Oct 29 - Oct 31 47 48 3 2 1014 LV
PSRAI Newsweek Oct 27 - Oct 29 44 48 1 7 1005 RV
PSRAI Newsweek Oct 27 - Oct 29 44 50 1 5 882 LV
PSRAI Pew Oct 27 - Oct 30 45 45 1 8 2408 RV
Zogby Reuters Oct 11 - Oct 13 45 46 2 7 1231 LV
  Time Oct 19 - Oct 29 43 50 4 2 1059 RV
  Time Oct 19 - Oct 29 46 51 2 1 803 LV
YouGov Economist Oct 29 - Nov 1 50 47 3   2164 LV

Election 2004 final results: Kerry 48.0%, Bush 51.0%, Nader 0.3%, Badnarik 0.3%, Others 0.4%

Although the 2008 presidential campaign has already begun, let us not forget the Congressional elections of 2006. The following senators are up for reelection then.

Daniel Akaka (D-HI), George Allen (R-VT), Jeff Bingaman (D-NM), Conrad Burns (R-MT), Robert Byrd (D-WV), Maria Cantwell (D-WA), Thomas Carper (D-DE), Lincoln Chafee (R-RI), Hillary Clinton (D-NY), Kent Conrad (D-ND), Jon Corzine (D-NJ), Mark Dayton (D-MN), Mike DeWine (R-OH), John Ensign (R-NV), Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), Bill Frist (R-TN), Orrin Hatch (R-UT), Kay Hutchison (R-TX), James Jeffords (I-VT), Edward Kennedy (D-MA), Herb Kohl (D-WI), Jon Kyl (R-AZ), Joseph Lieberman (D-CT), Trent Lott (R-MS), Richard Lugar (R-IN), Ben Nelson (D-NE), Bill Nelson (D-FL), Rick Santorum (R-PA), Paul Sarbanes (D-MD), Olympia Snowe (R-ME), Debbie Stabenow (D-MI), James Talent (R-MO), and Craig Thomas (R-WY)

If you are a senior majoring in computer science and are seriously thinking of leaving the country due to the election results, you might be interested in my international English-language masters program in parallel and distributed computer systems. If you are a faculty member in computer science, I would be very grateful if you would go to that Website and download and print the poster (a PDF file) and pin it to a bulletin board where potential students might see it and mention it in any classes you teach to CS seniors. Thank you.


New Senate: 44 Democrats, 55 Republicans, 1 independent
This site has far more about the election than just the map. See the Welcome page for more details.

-- The votemaster


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Statistics Collector (via University of Kentucky)