Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 252   Bush 286

Data in Excel format
Battleground states
Polling data     Key
Previous report
Next report


electoral college strong kerry Strong Kerry (146)
electoral college weak kerry Weak Kerry (37)
electoral college barely kerry Barely Kerry (69)
electoral college tied Exactly tied (0)
electoral college barely bush Barely Bush (37)
electoral college weak bush Weak Bush (66)
electoral college strong bush Strong Bush (183)
Needed to win: 270
Nov. 6 Preliminary election results RSS

News from the Votemaster

I entered the semifinal results in the spreadsheet, so it is now available in both Excel and .csv formats.

Here is a county-by-county map of the U.S. showing who won where. From looking at the map, you wouldn't know that almost half the population voted for Kerry. It shows very clearly how Kerry's base is in highly-populated urban areas and Bush's base is more in suburban and rural areas. Another map tomorrow.

counties 2004

For comparison purposes, here is the county map for 2000.

counties 2000

If you are a senior majoring in computer science and are seriously thinking of leaving the country due to the election results, you might be interested in my international English-language masters program in parallel and distributed computer systems. If you are a faculty member in computer science, I would be very grateful if you would go to that Website and download and print the poster (a PDF file) and pin it to a bulletin board where potential students might see it and mention it in any classes you teach to CS seniors. Thank you.

Projected Senate: 44 Democrats, 53 Republicans, 1 independent, 2 tossups
This site has far more about the election than just the map. See the Welcome page for more details.

-- The votemaster

WWW www.electoral-vote.com

Statistics Collector (via University of Kentucky)