overseas voter, absentee ballot

Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:   Kerry 252   Bush 270

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electoral college strong kerry Strong Kerry (109)
electoral college weak kerry Weak Kerry (107)
electoral college barely kerry Barely Kerry (36)
electoral college tied Exactly tied (16)
electoral college barely bush Barely Bush (88)
electoral college weak bush Weak Bush (40)
electoral college strong bush Strong Bush (142)
Needed to win: 270
Sept. 5 New polls: (none) RSS

News from the Votemaster

No new state polls today. However, there is a whole herd of national polls that reflect the expected postconvention bounce. Here are the major ones:

Pollster Kerry Bush
American Research Group 48 47
The Economist 45 44
Leger 47 51
Newsweek 43 54
Rasmussen 45 49
Time 41 52
Zogby 44 46

Given this much spread, you can read anything you want into them. My own take is that Bush is now slightly ahead. But the race really begins after Labor Day. State polls will start coming out later in the week. Zogby, for example, will report on all the battleground states Tuesday afternoon.

As usual, there is a new cartoon of the week today.

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-- The votemaster

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overseas voter, absentee ballot