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House Races in which the 2006 Winner is Not Running


An exceptionally large number of represenatives elected in 2006 are not running in 2008. Open seats like these tend to be competitive unless the PVI (Charlie Cook's Partisan Voting Index) is very skewed one way or another, say D+10 or higher or R+10 or higher. All the district names are hyperlinked. The races marked by an asterisk will be filled by special elections in 2007.

Distr*ict Incumbent Party PVI Reason for Vacancy
CA-12 Tom Lantos Dem D+22 Has cancer
IN-07 Rachel Carson Dem D+9 Died in December 2007
NY-21 Michael McNulty Dem D+9 Apparently had enough after 10 terms; age: 60
CO-02 Mark Udall Dem D+8 Running for Wayne Allard's Senate seat
ME-01 Tom Allen Dem D+6 Running against Susan Collins for the Senate
NM-03 Tom Udall Dem D+6 Running for Domenici's Senate seat
NY-25 James Walsh GOP D+3 Apparently didn't stomach another hard-fought race like 2006
NJ-03 James Saxton GOP D+3 Apparently had enough after 12 terms; age: 64
NM-01 Heather Wilson GOP D+2 Running for Domenici's Senate seat
IL-11 Jerry Weller GOP R+1 Probably due to growing scandals
MN-03 Jim Ramstad GOP R+1 Not known; he could easily be reelected
NJ-07 Mike Ferguson GOP R+1 Not known
OH-15 Deborah Pryce GOP R+1 No. 4 is GOP leadership; minority is no fun (?)
AZ-01 Rick Renzi GOP R+2 Would be defeated due to corruption scandals
FL-15 Dave Weldon GOP R+4 Unknown; he is a mere stripling at 54
OH-16 Ralph Regula GOP R+4 At 82 and in the minority, he's had it
IL-14 Dennis Hastert GOP R+5 Too many scandals and loss of power*
IL-18 Ray LaHood GOP R+5 Unknown; he is only 61
NM-02 Steve Pearce GOP R+6 Running for Domenici's Senate seat
OH-07 David Hobson GOP R+6 Unclear; maybe his age (71)*
MO-07 Kenny Hulshof GOP R+7 Running for governor
LA-06 Richard Baker GOP R+7 Getting a $1 million job in hedge fund industry*
LA-04 Jim McCrery GOP R+7 Ranking member of Ways and Means, sees he will never chair it
CA-52 Duncan Hunter GOP R+9 Running for President
CO-06 Tom Tancredo GOP R+10 Made an abortive run for President
MS-01 Roger Wicker GOP R+10 Was appointed to fill Trent Lott's seat in the Senate*
PA-05 John Peterson GOP R+10 Age and health reasons
CA-04 John Doolittle GOP R+11 One scandal too many
KY-02 Ron Lewis GOP R+13 Not known
AL-02 Terry Everett GOP R+13 Unclear; he is a mere 70 and could serve 10 more years
MS-03 Chip Pickering GOP R+13 Got bored waiting for a Senate vacancy
LA-01 Bobby Jindal GOP R+18 Elected governor of Louisiana in 2007*
WY-AWY-AL Barbara Cubin GOP R+19 Probably forced out by GOP leadership

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