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REPUBLICAN PRIMARIES AND CAUCUSES 2008 Click for Democratic primaries and caucuses

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News: Updated Apr. 21

McCain McCain won
Romney Romney won
Romney Huckabee won
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News from the Votemaster

Here are three more Pennsylvania polls.

State Pollster End date Clinton Obama
Pennsylvania ARG Apr. 19 54% 41%
Pennsylvania Mason-Dixon Apr. 18 48% 43%
Pennsylvania Zogby Apr. 19 46% 43%

Here are all the Pennsylvania polls from the past week. Hillary Clinton's double digit lead has vanished, but she still has a solid single-digit lead. Obama has been spinning this as "if she doesn't win by double digits, then I really won." Clinton has been saying "The person who gets the most votes wins." Despite the intense campaigning of the past two weeks, this has been a race where demography is destiny. TV ads or no TV ads, Pennsylvania is still full of older blue-collar workers, many of whom have been laid off, as well as many retirees. These people have consistently supported Clinton and are likely to do so tomorrow. Furthermore, many white Catholic voters are still undecided and chances are they will break for Clinton as they have in other states. Obama's main hope is getting a huge turnout in Philadelphia, especially among younger voters.

State Pollster End date Clinton Obama
Pennsylvania Zogby Apr. 19 46% 43%
Pennsylvania ARG Apr. 19 54% 41%
Pennsylvania Zogby Apr. 18 47% 42%
Pennsylvania Mason-Dixon Apr. 18 48% 43%
Pennsylvania Zogby Apr. 17 47% 43%
Pennsylvania Rasmussen Apr. 17 47% 44%
Pennsylvania Zogby Apr. 16 45% 44%
Pennsylvania SurveyUSA Apr. 14 54% 40%
Pennsylvania Rasmussen Apr. 14 50% 41%
Pennsylvania LA Times Apr. 14 46% 41%

The candidates have reported their March fundraising totals now. Here they are. For the Democrats, the cash on hand is for the primaries as of March 31. Each one also has money for the general election that can't be spent until nominated.

Item Clinton Obama McCain
Raised in March $20 million $41 million $15 million
Cash on hand $8 million $42 million $12 million

The polling results for all primaries and caucuses are available as a Web page and in .csv format.

Here are the delegate totals from various news sources rounded to integers (Democrats Abroad has 22 delegates, each with 1/2 vote). The sources differ because in most caucus states, no delegates to the national conventions have been chosen yet, just delegates to the district, county, or state convention so there is some guesswork involved. Furthermore, some of the unpledged delegates are elected at state conventions in May or June. Finally, the PLEOs (Party Leaders and Elected Officials) sometimes waver and may tell different reporters slightly different stories that they interpret differently.


Source Clinton Obama BHO-HRC Edwards
Washington Post 1507 1645 +138  
NY Times 1475 1636 +161 12
AP 1507 1645 +138 18
CNN 1498 1644 +146 26
ABC 1502 1644 +142 32
CBS 1498 1638 +140 26
MSNBC 1508 1652 +144 26

Needed to win: Democrats 2024, Republicans 1191.

Here is another source for delegate totals.

-- The Votemaster
WWW www.electoral-vote.com