Election 2008: Presidential, Senate and House Races Updated Daily

Jan. 06

Electoral vote here

Senate score will go here

House score will go here

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES AND CAUCUSES 2008

Click for Republican primaries and caucuses

Wyoming

Primary on March 8
No polls have been published

Wisconsin

Primary on February 19
Most recent polls:
Dec 05: Clinton 39% Obama 26% Edwards 15%
Nov 08: Clinton 43% Obama 25% Edwards 15%
Apr 17: Clinton 33% Obama 30% Edwards 18%

West Virginia

Primary on May 13
Most recent polls:
Apr 02: Clinton 37% Obama 22% Edwards 19%

Washington

Caucus on February 9
Most recent polls:
Oct 28: Clinton 44% Obama 29% Edwards 16%

Virginia

Primary on February 12
Most recent polls:
Oct 08: Clinton 49% Obama 25% Edwards 11%

Vermont

Primary on March 4
Most recent polls:
Oct 19: Clinton 47% Obama 15% Edwards 10%

Utah

Primary on February 5
No polls have been published

Texas

Hybrid on March 4
Most recent polls:
May 07: Clinton 33% Obama 21% Edwards 8%
Mar 19: Clinton 34% Obama 32% Edwards 11%

Tennessee

Primary on February 5
No polls have been published

South Dakota

Primary on June 3
No polls have been published

South Carolina

Primary on January 26
Most recent polls:
Dec 18: Clinton 41% Obama 39% Edwards 17%
Dec 17: Clinton 34% Obama 35% Edwards 13%
Dec 16: Clinton 33% Obama 33% Edwards 17%

Rhode Island

Primary on March 4
Most recent polls:
Sep 09: Clinton 35% Obama 16% Edwards 7%

Pennsylvania

Primary on April 22
Most recent polls:
Dec 03: Clinton 43% Obama 15% Edwards 9%
Nov 05: Clinton 46% Obama 15% Edwards 11%
Oct 08: Clinton 41% Obama 14% Edwards 11%

Oregon

Primary on May 20
Most recent polls:
Aug 15: Clinton 26% Obama 18% Edwards 17%
Mar 13: Clinton 31% Obama 21% Edwards 8%

Oklahoma

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Dec 19: Clinton 34% Obama 15% Edwards 25%
Apr 30: Clinton 29% Obama 13% Edwards 29%

Ohio

Primary on March 4
Most recent polls:
Dec 03: Clinton 45% Obama 19% Edwards 13%
Nov 11: Clinton 42% Obama 17% Edwards 14%
Oct 08: Clinton 47% Obama 19% Edwards 11%

North Dakota

Caucus on February 5
No polls have been published

North Carolina

Primary on May 6
Most recent polls:
Dec 03: Clinton 31% Obama 24% Edwards 26%
Sep 27: Clinton 37% Obama 18% Edwards 18%
Apr 19: Clinton 20% Obama 20% Edwards 26%

New York

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Dec 10: Clinton 55% Obama 17% Edwards 7%
Dec 06: Clinton 50% Obama 19% Edwards 10%
Nov 03: Clinton 45% Obama 19% Edwards 7%

New Mexico

Caucus on February 5
Most recent polls:
Sep 06: Clinton 17% Obama 8% Edwards 8%

New Jersey

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Dec 09: Clinton 51% Obama 17% Edwards 7%
Oct 23: Clinton 52% Obama 21% Edwards 8%
Oct 15: Clinton 46% Obama 20% Edwards 9%

New Hampshire

Primary on January 8
Most recent polls:
Jan 05: Clinton 26% Obama 38% Edwards 20%
Jan 05: Clinton 33% Obama 34% Edwards 23%
Jan 05: Clinton 33% Obama 33% Edwards 20%

Nevada

Caucus on January 19
Most recent polls:
Dec 06: Clinton 45% Obama 18% Edwards 14%
Dec 05: Clinton 34% Obama 26% Edwards 9%
Nov 19: Clinton 45% Obama 20% Edwards 12%

Nebraska

Caucus on February 9
No polls have been published

Montana

Primary on June 3
Most recent polls:
Dec 19: Clinton 29% Obama 17% Edwards 19%

Missouri

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Nov 15: Clinton 36% Obama 21% Edwards 20%
Aug 06: Clinton 40% Obama 15% Edwards 22%

Mississippi

Primary on March 11
No polls have been published

Minnesota

Caucus on February 5
Most recent polls:
Sep 23: Clinton 47% Obama 22% Edwards 16%

Michigan

Primary on January 15
Most recent polls:
Nov 13: Clinton 49% Obama 18% Edwards 15%
Sep 04: Clinton 43% Obama 21% Edwards 14%
Aug 31: Clinton 40% Obama 21% Edwards 16%

Massachusetts

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Apr 15: Clinton 32% Obama 18% Edwards 19%

Maryland

Primary on February 12
Most recent polls:
Oct 22: Clinton 48% Obama 29% Edwards 8%
Aug 26: Clinton 32% Obama 19% Edwards 10%

Maine

Caucus on February 10
Most recent polls:
Oct 30: Clinton 46% Obama 10% Edwards 5%
Apr 27: Clinton 39% Obama 22% Edwards 16%

Louisiana

Primary on February 9
No polls have been published

Kentucky

Primary on May 20
No polls have been published

Kansas

Caucus on February 5
Most recent polls:
May 23: Clinton 27% Obama 22% Edwards 21%

Iowa

Caucus on January 3
1. Barack Obama (38%)
2. John Edwards (30%)
3. Hillary Clinton (29%)

Indiana

Primary on May 6
No polls have been published

Illinois

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Dec 13: Clinton 25% Obama 50% Edwards 7%
Jul 09: Clinton 33% Obama 37% Edwards 10%

Idaho

Caucus on February 5
Most recent polls:
Jul 13: Clinton 31% Obama 33% Edwards 15%

Hawaii

Caucus on February 19
No polls have been published

Georgia

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Aug 06: Clinton 35% Obama 25% Edwards 17%

Florida

Primary on January 29
Most recent polls:
Dec 18: Clinton 43% Obama 21% Edwards 19%
Dec 13: Clinton 45% Obama 17% Edwards 14%
Dec 13: Clinton 44% Obama 20% Edwards 14%

Delaware

Primary on February 5
No polls have been published

D.C.

Primary on February 12
No polls have been published

Connecticut

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Nov 05: Clinton 45% Obama 19% Edwards 7%
Oct 15: Clinton 43% Obama 16% Edwards 8%
May 07: Clinton 28% Obama 20% Edwards 8%

Colorado

Caucus on February 5
Most recent polls:
Sep 18: Clinton 36% Obama 20% Edwards 19%
Jul 18: Clinton 39% Obama 22% Edwards 10%
Apr 02: Clinton 34% Obama 23% Edwards 17%

California

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Dec 17: Clinton 36% Obama 22% Edwards 13%
Dec 16: Clinton 49% Obama 30% Edwards 14%
Dec 04: Clinton 44% Obama 20% Edwards 12%

Arkansas

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Mar 19: Clinton 49% Obama 16% Edwards 12%

Arizona

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Nov 15: Clinton 44% Obama 14% Edwards B20%
Oct 09: Clinton 41% Obama 14% Edwards 16%
Jul 26: Clinton 39% Obama 25% Edwards 8%

Alaska

Caucus on February 5
No polls have been published

Alabama

Primary on February 5
Most recent polls:
Oct 25: Clinton 40% Obama 21% Edwards 14%
Aug 02: Clinton 38% Obama 19% Edwards 17%
Jul 19: Clinton 33% Obama 29% Edwards 9%

Senate map with polls

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News from the Votemaster

Mouseovers have been added to the map. Put your mouse cursor on a state to see the three most recent polls (if they exist).

We have six (!) new polls of New Hampshire today. The polls ought to be pretty accurate since probably every voter in the whole state has been polled by now. Here are the averages. For the Democrats:

Barack Obama: 33.2%
Hillary Clinton: 31.2%
John Edwards: 19.2%

For the Republicans

John McCain: 32.7%
Mitt Romney: 27.8%
Mike Huckabee: 12.0%
Rudy Giuliani: 9.6%
Fred Thompson: 2.5%

Unfortunately, the polls are not accurate at all, but for a different reason than in Iowa. About 40% of the electorate consists of independents and they can ask for either a Democratic ballot or a Republican ballot (but not both, of course). Many of them like both Obama and McCain, so the race may be decided by how many choose a Democratic ballot and how many choose a Republican ballot. We won't know how they broke until Tuesday. That choice chould have much larger implications. Suppose the eventual nominees are Obama and McCain. Then Tuesday's race could be the first data point on how independents view a head-to-head between those two. Clearly it is going to an exciting race in New Hampshire.

The Republicans held their caucuses yesterday in Wyoming. Romney got 67% of the vote, Thompson got 25%, and Duncan Hunter got 8%. Nobody campaigned there much and nobody seems to be paying much attention now. And Wyoming isn't just any old state, it is Dick Cheney's home state.

The New Hampshire polling data is below. The complete data for all states is here.

State	Pollster	End date	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	Giuliani	McCain	Romney	Thompson	Huckabee
New Hampshire	ARG	Jan. 5	26%	38%	20%	7%	39%	25%	1%	14%
New Hampshire	Research 2000	Jan. 5	33%	34%	23%	8%	35%	29%	3%	13%
New Hampshire	U. of New Hampshire	Jan. 5	33%	33%	20%	14%	33%	27%	1%	11%
New Hampshire	Rasmussen	Jan. 5	27%	37%	19%	8%	31%	26%	5%	11%
New Hampshire	Zogby	Jan. 4	32%	28%	20%	9%	32%	30%	3%	12%
New Hampshire	Suffolk U.	Jan. 4	36%	29%	13%	11%	26%	30%	2%	11%
New Hampshire	Suffolk U.	Jan. 3	37%	25%	15%	9%	25%	29%	2%	13%
New Hampshire	Zogby	Jan. 3	32%	26%	20%	9%	34%	30%	2%	10%
New Hampshire	Suffolk U.	Jan. 2	39%	23%	17%	9%	28%	25%	2%	12%
New Hampshire	ARG	Jan. 1	35%	31%	15%	8%	35%	25%	1%	12%
New Hampshire	Suffolk U.	Jan. 1	37%	20%	16%	9%	29%	25%	2%	10%
New Hampshire	Suffolk U.	Dec. 31	31%	22%	14%	14%	31%	25%	2%	9%
New Hampshire	Franklin Pierce Coll.	Dec. 31	32%	28%	19%	10%	37%	31%	2%	5%
New Hampshire	LA Times	Dec. 26	30%	32%	18%	14%	21%	34%	4%	9%
New Hampshire	U. of New Hampshire	Dec. 20	28%	30%	14%	14%	25%	28%	3%	10%
New Hampshire	Rasmussen	Dec. 19	31%	28%	18%	18%	13%	27%	3%	11%
New Hampshire	Gallup	Dec. 19	32%	32%	18%	11%	27%	34%	4%	9%
New Hampshire	ARG	Dec. 19	38%	24%	15%	16%	26%	26%	4%	11%
New Hampshire	U. of New Hampshire	Dec. 17	38%	26%	14%	16%	22%	34%	1%	10%
New Hampshire	Opinion Dynamics	Dec. 13	34%	25%	15%	16%	20%	33%	2%	11%
New Hampshire	Research 2000	Dec. 12	31%	32%	18%	18%	17%	31%	3%	9%
New Hampshire	Rasmussen	Dec. 11	28%	31%	17%	17%	19%	31%	4%	10%
New Hampshire	Suffolk U.	Dec. 10	33%	26%	15%	17%	19%	31%	4%	10%
New Hampshire	U. of New Hampshire	Dec. 10	31%	30%	16%	19%	19%	32%	1%	9%
New Hampshire	Mason-Dixon	Dec. 6	30%	27%	10%	17%	16%	25%	6%	11%
New Hampshire	Zogby	Dec. 3	32%	21%	16%	15%	17%	35%	3%	10%
New Hampshire	Washington Post	Dec. 3	35%	29%	17%	16%	20%	37%	4%	9%
New Hampshire	Marist Coll.	Dec. 2	37%	24%	18%	18%	18%	31%	4%	11%
New Hampshire	Opiinion Dynamics	Nov. 29	30%	23%	12%	19%	21%	29%	4%	7%
New Hampshire	ARG	Nov. 29	34%	23%	17%	22%	11%	36%	3%	13%
New Hampshire	Rasmussen	Nov. 29	33%	26%	15%	15%	15%	34%	3%	14%
New Hampshire	Suffolk U.	Nov. 27	34%	22%	15%	20%	13%	34%	2%	7%
New Hampshire	Princeton Survey	Nov. 25	38%	19%	15%	16%	18%	33%	4%	5%
New Hampshire	NY Times	Nov. 12	37%	22%	9%	16%	16%	34%	5%	6%
New Hampshire	U. of New Hampshire	Nov. 7	35%	21%	15%	20%	17%	32%	3%	5%
New Hampshire	Marist Coll.	Nov. 6	38%	26%	14%	23%	14%	34%	5%	7%
New Hampshire	Rasmussen	Nov. 5	34%	24%	15%	17%	16%	32%	7%	10%
New Hampshire	ARG	Oct. 29	40%	22%	10%	23%	17%	30%	5%
New Hampshire	Saint Anselm Coll.	Oct. 21	43%	22%	14%	22%	15%	32%	5%
New Hampshire	Marist Coll.	Oct. 9	43%	21%	12%	21%	17%	27%	10%
New Hampshire	Zogby	Sep. 28	38%	23%	12%	21%	16%	24%	7%
New Hampshire	U. of New Hampshire	Sep. 24	41%	19%	11%	22%	17%	23%	12%
New Hampshire	Franklin Pierce Coll.	Sep. 14	36%	18%	12%	23%	14%	30%	8%
New Hampshire	LA Times	Sep. 10	35%	16%	16%	23%	12%	28%	11%
New Hampshire	ARG	Aug. 29	37%	17%	14%	23%	12%	27%	8%
New Hampshire	Hart/McLaughlin	July 26	36%	19%	15%	17%	16%	33%	13%
New Hampshire	U. of New Hampshire	July 17	36%	27%	9%	20%	12%	34%	13%
New Hampshire	Research 2000	July 11	33%	25%	15%	21%	18%	28%	11%
New Hampshire	ARG	June 30	34%	25%	11%	19%	21%	27%	10%
New Hampshire	Suffolk U.	June 24	37%	19%	9%	22%	13%	26%	13%
New Hampshire	Mason-Dixon	June 7	26%	21%	18%	15%	16%	27%	12%
New Hampshire	Franklin Pierce Coll.	June 6	41%	17%	15%	18%	17%	27%	9%
New Hampshire	Zogby	May 16	28%	26%	15%	19%	19%	35%
New Hampshire	ARG	Apr. 29	37%	14%	26%	17%	29%	24%
New Hampshire	Zogby	Apr. 3	29%	23%	23%	19%	25%	25%
New Hampshire	U. of New Hampshire	Apr. 3	27%	20%	21%	29%	29%	17%
New Hampshire	ARG	Mar. 23	37%	23%	20%	19%	23%	17%
New Hampshire	Franklin Pierce Coll.	Mar. 12	32%	25%	16%	28%	29%	22%

State	Pollster	End date	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	Giuliani	McCain	Romney	Thompson	Huckabee

-- The Votemaster