Dem 51
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GOP 49
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...And There Was One This Weekend in Turkey

Let us start this item by making very clear that we know virtually nothing about Turkish politics. If any reader has knowledge that we do not, we are grateful to hear from them. Just know that this item is based entirely on our reading about the election, plus general knowledge of politics.

With that out of the way, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan was up for reelection to a third term this weekend. Not everyone in Turkey agrees he's allowed to do that (the rules have changed since he took office), but you know what they say about "might makes right." He was being challenged by Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, who represents a consortium of five anti-Erdoğan parties. And potentially playing the role of spoiler was far-right independent Sinan Oğan.

As of 1:00 a.m. PT, 99.38% of the ballots had been "counted," and it was Erdoğan with 49.42% of the vote, Kılıçdaroğlu with 44.95%, and Oğan with 5.2%. The Turkish constitution requires a majority for victory and, as you can see, nobody got one. So, there will be a runoff on May 28.

What will happen in the runoff? Who knows? Even if we knew a lot more about Turkish politics, we doubt it would help much. Here are some of the X-factors:

Turkey is one of the most important nations in the world from a geopolitical standpoint, given its location at the crossroads of Europe, western Asia, and the Middle East. So, lots and lots of people will be watching closely when the Turkish people head to the polls again. And, of course, if the generally unpopular Erdoğan loses, there will be much Turkish delight. (Z)

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