Dem
51
GOP
49
Given that Donald Trump won Florida by 4 points in 2020, and by a little over a point in 2016, and the last time any candidate won the state by 10+ points was back in 1988, we find that Emerson result hard to swallow, particularly given recent events in the state. The California and North Carolina numbers both pass the smell test, however. (Z)
| State | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Start | End | Pollster |
| California | 54% | 31% | Mar 19 | Mar 25 | Public Policy Inst. of Calif. |
| Florida | 38% | 51% | Apr 09 | Apr 10 | Emerson Coll. |
| North Carolina | 42% | 45% | Mar 22 | Mar 30 | High Point University |