Dem
51
GOP
49
In a devastating turn of events for Jason Palmer and the mononymous "Uncommitted," Joe Biden and Donald Trump are going to be your major-party presidential nominees in 2024. We thought it would take another week to be official, but neglected to notice that Florida canceled its primaries. Guess they're too busy burning books or something. Anyhow, with those two large caches of delegates awarded to the two candidates, each of them has enough delegates to have clinched their respective nominations, as of last night. They are now presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump.
Here are the results from yesterday's Republican primaries and caucuses, along with how Donald Trump performed relative to the polling (in those states where there WERE polls):
| State | 1st Place | 2nd Place | Prediction | Trump Perf. |
| Georgia | Donald Trump, 84.5% | Nikki Haley, 13.2% | 80.8% | Over by 3.7% |
| Mississippi | Donald Trump, 92.6% | Nikki Haley, 5.3% | N/A | N/A |
| Washington | Donald Trump, 74.2% | Nikki Haley, 21.7% | 77% | Under by 2.8% |
| Hawaii | Donald Trump, 97% | Nikki Haley, 1.6% | N/A | N/A |
Not much data to work with here, since polling of these states was pretty scarce. Trump overperformed in one state by a little bit and underperformed in another by a little bit, and even those are not necessarily meaningful because Nikki Haley ceased to be an active candidate just 6 days ago. In any event, now that the choice for Republican voters is either "Trump" or "someone who is not a Republican," the polls should get a bit more accurate.
And here are the results from yesterday's Democratic primaries and caucuses. None of the four states were polled on the Democratic side.
| State | 1st Place | 2nd Place |
| Georgia | Joe Biden, 95.2% | Marianne Williamson, 3% |
| Mississippi | Joe Biden, 100% | N/A |
| Washington | Joe Biden, 86.7% | Uncommitted, 7.5% |
| Hawaii | Joe Biden, 66% | Uncommitted, 29.1% |
Note that Georgia does not offer an "uncommitted" option, Biden was the only candidate on the ballot in the Mississippi Democratic primary, and Hawaii Democrats actually held their caucus on Thursday of last week.
In any case, the important story is that each candidate has more than 50% of their party's delegates locked up. Trump needs 1,215 and has 1,241. Biden needs 1,968 and has 2,107. So, the general election campaign has officially begun. (Z)