
If you are an old-timer here, you know that this site started by collecting the state polls every day and added them up to provide a running electoral-vote score daily. Here is a link to our first posting, back on May 24, 2004. It was also intended as a way to encourage Americans overseas to register and vote.
There is an effort underway by blue states to make an end run around the Electoral College by getting states to pledge to have all their electoral votes go to the popular vote winner, no matter what the states' voters want. It is called the National Popular Vote Compact. If states with 270 electoral votes sign up, then the popular vote winner will win the election. The beauty of this scheme is that it does not require a constitutional amendment. The Compact only goes into force if states with 270 or more EVs sign up. Of course, if that happens, our raison d'être vanishes and we would have to pack up our tent and move on (or maybe we'd ask the readers).
Now we are one step closer to our nightmare scenario. Virginia has signed onto the Compact, bringing the total EVs in it to 222, based on 18 states and D.C. Republicans are against the Compact because they have traditionally been the beneficiary of the Electoral College. Now that Virginia has a Democratic trifecta, it was willing to join. Here is the map showing who is in (green), where legislation is pending (yellow) and where nothing is in progress (gray):
States where the Democrats might get the trifecta some day include Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire. Together they have 59 EVs. Added to the current 222 gives 281, which is enough right now. However after the 2030 census, it will be closer. (V)