Apr.27

electoral-vote.com

Dem 47

   

GOP 53

House Majority PAC Reserves $272 Million for Democratic Ads

The biggest PAC trying to elect Democrats to the House, the House Majority PAC (HMP), has reserved ad time worth $272 million, its largest reservation in history. About 80% of the money is going into districts which have (or had) a Republican representative, meaning the PAC is planning more offense than defense. Legally, the HMP may not coordinate with the Democratic Party, but it isn't much of a secret which red House districts are the lowest-hanging fruit. There are 59 districts represented by a Republican that are bluer than R+8 and many of these, especially the open ones, would be potentially competitive in a blue wave.

Since Republicans also know which districts are vulnerable, the HMP didn't give away the farm when it announced some of its priorities. The targets include the districts of:

• Reps. Elvira Salazar, Carlos Gimenez, Anna Paulina Luna, Laurel Lee, and Cory Mills in Florida
• Reps. Brian Fitzpatrick, Scott Perry, and Rob Bresnahan in Pennsylvania
• Potentially dummymandered new districts in South Texas with large Latino populations
• Reps. Zach Nunn and Marianette Miller-Meeks in Iowa
• Reps. David Schweikert and Eli Crane in Arizona
• Rep. Gabe Evans in Colorado

The PAC is playing defense in the districts of Reps. Jared Golden (D-ME) and Don Davis (D-NC). More districts may come into play later this year due to the voters choosing weak candidates in some districts, or to unexpected vacancies. (V)