Dem
50
Ties
1
GOP
49
No surprises here. Arkansas may have given us Bill Clinton, but it's a very red state now, while Michele Tafoya is a weak candidate who is not a great fit for purple-blue Minnesota. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arkansas | Hallie Shoffner | 35% | Tom Cotton* | 51% | Aug 14 | Aug 18 | J.L. Partners |
| Minnesota | Peggy Flanagan | 46% | Michele Tafoya | 41% | Aug 13 | Aug 17 | SurveyUSA |