Dem
51
Ties
1
GOP
48
There is a new poll from Susquehanna putting Abdul El-Sayed ahead in Michigan. Today's map has the Democrats at 51 Senate seats. This is the formula for Democrats to win the Senate, although some barely blue state and Texas could swap. But keep in mind it is early in the season and the polls are varying wildly. We have Michigan at El-Sayed+2 by averaging two recent polls that were Rogers+4 and El-Sayed+7. It is not possible that both polls are correct. Buyer beware. Things are going to change a lot in the fall.
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed | 46% | Mike Rogers | 39% | Aug 11 | Aug 17 | Susquehanna |
| North Carolina | Roy Cooper | 52% | Michael Whatley | 39% | Aug 09 | Aug 10 | Harper Poll of NC |