Dem
47
GOP
53
The New York Times has commissioned its pollster, Siena College, to poll six of the most competitive Senate races. In all six cases, the candidates are known. Here are the results.
| State | Democrat | Dem. Pct. | Republican | GOP Pct. | Net |
| North Carolina | Roy Cooper | 50% | Michael Whatley | 43% | D+7 |
| Maine | Graham Platner | 49% | Susan Collins | 47% | D+2 |
| Texas | James Talarico | 47% | Ken Paxton | 47% | EVEN |
| Alaska | Mary Peltola | 45% | Dan Sullivan | 47% | R+2 |
| Iowa | Josh Turek | 46% | Ashley Hinson | 48% | R+2 |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown | 47% | Jon Husted | 50% | R+3 |
Except for North Carolina, all of the races are within the margin of error. Democrats need to hold all of their own seats and flip four Republican seats to take over the Senate. Democrats have tough defensive races in Georgia, Michigan and New Hampshire, and offensive races in half a dozen other states. It will be a tall order for the blue team. On the other hand, usually most of the close races in different states go the same way. They are not really statistically independent. If the wind is blowing strongly one way, most of the races tend to go the same way.
Important races that were not polled in this round are Georgia, Michigan, Montana, Nebraska and New Hampshire. By the fall, no doubt all the pollsters will be looking at them, too. (V)