Dem
47
GOP
53
Arizona has elections for governor/lieutenant governor (one ticket), attorney general, secretary of state, state treasurer, superintendent of public instruction, state mine inspector, and nine House seats this year. Gov. Katie Hobbs (D-AZ) is running for reelection and is unopposed in the Democratic primary. On the Republican side, there is a contest between extremely Trumpy (and Trump-endorsed) Rep. Andy Biggs (R-AZ) and Rep. David Schweikert (R-AZ), plus some minor and perennial candidates. Schweikert is conservative, but less Trumpy. His pitch is that he can win statewide because he has won an R+1 district seven times in a row. Biggs' district is R+10. If Biggs wins the GOP nomination, Hobbs is essentially home free. If Schweikert wins it, it could be a real horse race, although the horses might get overheated racing in the Arizona sun.
In the race for AG, incumbent Kris Mayes (D) is unopposed for the nomination and will probably face President of the Arizona Senate Warren Petersen (R). Mayes is the strong favorite. In the SoS race, incumbent Adrian Fontes (D) is unopposed for the nomination and is the favorite against either state Rep. Alexander Kolodin (R) or former chair of the Arizona Republican Party, Gina Swoboda (R).
State treasurer Kimberly Yee (R) is term-limited and running for superintendent of public instruction. There are competitive primaries in both parties. For details on this and the other statewide races, see this page.
Now on to the House, where there are potentially competitive races in AZ-01 (Scottsdale), AZ-04 (Tempe), and AZ-06 (Tucson). AZ-01 is the R+1 district from which Schweikert is retiring to run for governor. On the Democratic side, most of the Democratic establishment is behind Marlene Galán-Woods, a former TV anchor and widow of former (Republican) AG Grant Woods. They probably had interesting discussions at breakfast. Her main competitors are wealthy businessman Jonathan Treble, who thinks the seat is for sale, and former state representative Amish Shah. On the Republican side are former state Rep. Joseph Chaplik and former Arizona Cardinal Jay Feely and some others. Feely is leaning heavily into his past as a football player, because Republican voters tend to love football players, and is hoping they don't discover he was just a kicker. He has raised the most money and is leading Chaplik in the polling, but barely. Either one could win. The general election could go either way.
In AZ-04, incumbent Rep. Greg Stanton (D-AZ) has most of the Democratic establishment behind him but has a progressive challenger in Kai Newkirk. If Newkirk knocks off Stanton, it will be more evidence that 2026 could be the progressives' year. Physician Zuhdi Jasser is running unopposed for the Republican nomination. The district is D+4.
AZ-06 has a PVI of EVEN, so it will be very competitive. Both sides already have their candidate. Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-AZ) is being challenged by JoAnna Mendoza, a single mom, gunnery sergeant, and former Marine Corps drill instructor. She is a walking poster child for being tough.
Biggs' district is R+10, so it will be filled by another Republican, almost certainly former Pinal County sheriff Mark Lamb. The other districts are all well outside “swing” range and are very unlikely to flip. (V)