Dem
47
GOP
53
The grumpy old man in question is former Democratic strategist James Carville. He predicts that Trump will quit the presidency by next summer. Carville starts with predicting that the Democrats will win massive victories in Congress in November. That is debatable but not inconceivable. The Washington Post had an opinion piece yesterday by Henry Olsen, no friend of the Democrats, noting that Democrats are now competitive in 10 key Senate races. If Trump's approval continues to tank, Democrats could indeed win half of them and capture the Senate as well as the House.
Carville is not just making stuff up, though. He said: "I have experience that not a lot of people have. I know what it's like to lose a massive, off-year election. We did in 1994. It's so monumental, it's so massive, it hurts so deep, you just can't imagine it. The entire world around [Trump] is going to change during November of this year."
Carville says that if Democrats win both chambers, Trump's power will be greatly reduced. No more budgets, no more laws, and subpoenas for everyone and his uncle. Ten committees will be investigating his administration. All the news will be about his misdeeds and those of his cronies. His subordinates, allies and friends will be taking the Fifth every day in testimony. The House will pass bill after bill which will be hotly debated in the Senate, even if they don't have the votes to break a filibuster. Carville also noted that Trump is old, overweight, and unhealthy. He might decide he doesn't need this any more and just go home to Florida to nurse his grievances. Carville concluded with: "I think the son of a bitch is just going to walk away."
Under similar circumstances, Bill Clinton weathered the storm and came back strong. But Clinton was 50, in good shape, very smart and a tough fighter. Trump is none of these things. While we think it is unlikely that Trump will just quit, when he sees bad news about himself day after day and is fighting with Congress about everything (possibly including multiple impeachments), who knows? (V)