Dem
53
Ties
1
GOP
46
Florida is lost for the Democrats. If Abdul El-Sayed wins big, progressives will loudly note: Progressives can win! See Michigan. Moderates will come back with: What about Florida? In the Nebraska poll, Osborn is at 43% this time. In Ohio, this is the first poll in ages that is a tie or Husted ahead. We expect it to be close, but mostly Brown has been ahead.
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Florida | Angie Nixon | 45% | Ashley Moody* | 49% | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Stetson U. |
| Nebraska | No Democrat | 0% | Pete Ricketts* | 49% | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Siena U. |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown | 50% | Jon Husted* | 50% | Oct 18 | Oct 31 | Activote |