Dem
52
Ties
3
GOP
45
In case you are wondering, neither (V) nor (Z) is the person who finds and inputs the polls into the database. So, we write the day's posting not knowing what will appear in this section. Today's polls align pretty well with what we wrote today, however. That would be even more true if we had not held an item on the Texas Senate race, and how Republicans are getting desperate. Look for that one on Friday.
Our particular setup is not well-situated to accommodate serious third-party bids. However, the independent Dan Osborn is actually at 48% in that YouGov poll of Nebraska, which is why we have the state as slightly purple in our map today. That also makes Nebraska one of three ties we have, because neither a Democrat nor a Republican is leading. If you mouseover Montana, Nebraska, or South Dakota, the pop-up does correctly give the score for all the candidates. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Florida | Angie Nixon | 40% | Ashley Moody* | 50% | Sep 28 | Oct 01 | Mason Dixon |
| Florida | Angie Nixon | 44% | Ashley Moody* | 49% | Sep 24 | Oct 03 | YouGov |
| Kansas | Adam Hamilton | 48% | Roger Marshall* | 45% | Sep 24 | Oct 04 | YouGov |
| Maine | Troy Jackson | 51% | Susan Collins* | 47% | Oct 01 | Oct 04 | Marist Coll. |
| Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed | 49% | Mike Rogers | 48% | Sep 28 | Oct 05 | YouGov |
| Nebraska | No Democrat | 0% | Pete Ricketts* | 47% | Sep 24 | Oct 03 | YouGov |
| New Hampshire | Chris Pappas | 51% | John Sununu | 43% | Sep 28 | Oct 05 | YouGov |
| New Hampshire | Chris Pappas | 51% | John Sununu | 44% | Sep 28 | Sep 29 | Saint Anselm Coll. |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown | 49% | Jon Husted* | 45% | Sep 18 | Sep 30 | YouGov |
| Texas | James Talarico | 50% | Ken Paxton | 44% | Sep 28 | Oct 05 | YouGov |