Dem
53
Ties
2
GOP
45
Nearly everything continues to come up roses for the blue team. In particular, a poll like the one from Alaska, with a 2-point margin, certainly could be an outlier. But Mary Peltola has led in 11 of the 12 polls that are good enough to make our database. That makes it far less likely that any one of them is an outlier. However, note that Alaska is very difficult to poll because so many voters live way off the beaten path and may not even have a telephone, let alone an Internet connection, so they are hard to contact. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Alaska | Mary Peltola | 51% | Dan Sullivan* | 49% | Oct 01 | Oct 03 | AK Survey Research |
| Iowa | Josh Turek | 48% | Ashley Hinson | 44% | Oct 01 | Oct 04 | Suffolk U. |