Dem
53
Ties
2
GOP
45
In all cases except Florida, these are better numbers for the Republican than is usual these days. Of course, the Democrats are still up in two of them, tied in a third and within spitting distance in the remaining two. So, it's not quite time to throw a party at RNC HQ. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Florida | Angie Nixon | 45% | Ashley Moody* | 47% | Oct 05 | Oct 07 | St. Pete Polls |
| Iowa | Josh Turek | 43% | Ashley Hinson | 45% | Sep 29 | Oct 05 | SSRS for CNN |
| North Carolina | Roy Cooper | 50% | Michael Whatley | 43% | Sep 30 | Oct 03 | East Carolina U. |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown | 49% | Jon Husted* | 43% | Sep 09 | Oct 05 | SSRS for CNN |
| Texas | James Talarico | 45% | Ken Paxton | 45% | Sep 18 | Sep 28 | U. of Massachusetts |