Dem
53
Ties
2
GOP
45
The "M" states in the Upper Midwest are back to normal. These are really blue states that Democrats should win easily in a blue wave. The "M" state in the upper right corner probably is close to a tossup. Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) is a tough old bird and she won't go gentle into that good night. Troy Jackson has led in most polls, but so did Sara Gideon in 2020.
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Iowa | Josh Turek | 45% | Ashley Hinson | 47% | Oct 05 | Oct 06 | Emerson Coll. |
| Maine | Troy Jackson | 50% | Susan Collins* | 46% | Sep 30 | Oct 05 | Washington Post |
| Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed | 53% | Mike Rogers | 47% | Oct 08 | Oct 09 | Wedgewood Polls |
| Minnesota | Peggy Flanagan | 45% | Michele Tafoya | 41% | Oct 02 | Oct 07 | Morning Consult |
Iowa is different. It used to be a swing state but has since become a red state. However, farmers are angry due to the high cost of diesel and fertilizer and they know exactly who is to blame for that. Their foreign markets have been reduced due to the tariff war and they know who to blame for that as well. Neither Josh Turek nor Ashley Hinson are at fault, but if a farmer wants to send a message, a vote for Turek is a pretty good way to do it. Below are all of our Iowa polls. It could go either way.
Once again, you can see all the polls for all states in graphical form by clicking on the Senate graphs link on the menu to the left of the map. (V)