Dem
53
Ties
1
GOP
46
Stetson may be all hat and no cattle, but they know how to poll big, Southern states. Nixon was always a long shot, and her odds are certainly not looking good. On the other hand, Michael Whatley is in even bigger trouble in North Carolina, which will certainly continue to gladden the hearts of Democrats. As to James Talarico, the Republicans have thrown everything but the kitchen sink at him, and his polling isn't changing. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Florida | Angie Nixon | 41% | Ashley Moody* | 52% | Oct 01 | Oct 09 | Stetson U. |
| North Carolina | Roy Cooper | 54% | Michael Whatley | 40% | Oct 01 | Oct 07 | SurveyUSA |
| Texas | James Talarico | 48% | Ken Paxton | 44% | Oct 05 | Oct 08 | Siena U. |