Dem
54
Ties
1
GOP
45
Seth Bodnar ("I") is at 37% in that poll of Montana. That's a lead. Further, 12% are undecided, and people are usually less willing to waste their vote in reality than when they are talking to a pollster. So, Alani Bankhead (D) will undoubtedly underperform her numbers. Meanwhile, Ohio and New Hampshire look better and better for the blue team. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Alaska | Mary Peltola | 48% | Dan Sullivan* | 47% | Oct 14 | Oct 15 | PPP |
| Arkansas | Hallie Shoffner | 41% | Tom Cotton* | 50% | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Hendrix Coll. |
| Montana | Alani Bankhead | 13% | Kurt Alme | 35% | Oct 06 | Oct 08 | Concord POP |
| New Hampshire | Chris Pappas | 50% | John Sununu | 43% | Oct 08 | Oct 12 | NPA Polling |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown | 48% | Jon Husted* | 42% | Sep 29 | Oct 09 | YouGov |