Dem
54
Ties
1
GOP
45
Florida is out of reach for the Democrats. A Black DSA member is the wrong candidate for the Sunshine State. Maybe in California or Illinois, but not in Florida. Sherrod Brown has a consistent lead in Ohio and is probably on track to get his old job back. It's still Texas Tossup between James Talarico and Ken Paxton. (V)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Florida | Angie Nixon | 47% | Ashley Moody* | 53% | Sep 27 | Oct 15 | Activote |
| Ohio | Sherrod Brown | 47% | Jon Husted* | 42% | Oct 16 | Oct 17 | On Point Polling |
| Texas | James Talarico | 50% | Ken Paxton | 46% | Oct 17 | Oct 18 | On Point Polling |
| Texas | James Talarico | 51% | Ken Paxton | 49% | Oct 08 | Oct 16 | YouGov |