
We have now written this basic item half a dozen times in the last 6 weeks or so, but yesterday there were two more major polls where Donald Trump hit his all-time low in terms of approval rating.
First up is the newest from Reuters/Ipsos. At the moment, they have Trump with 66% disapproval (that's two-thirds!), 31% approval, putting him underwater by 35 points. That is his worst result from this poll in either term, and is also a bad place to be 2 weeks before an election. On the generic Congressional ballot, the poll has Democrats up 47% to 35%, for a net of D+12.
And then there is the newest from The Washington Post/ABC (who also uses Ipsos to conduct their polls, it should be noted). This one also has Trump at 66% disapproval, though with 33% approval, meaning he's "only" underwater by 33 points. That is also a low for him, for either term. WaPo/ABC has the generic Congressional ballot at 52% for the Democrats, 44% for the Republicams, for a net of D+8.
And, as long as we are at it, here's where Trump's approval rating sits with the various aggregators:
| Aggregator | Approve | Disapprove | Net |
| Silver Bulletin | 37.5% | 60% | -22.5% |
| The Economist | 34% | 61% | -27% |
| CNN Poll of Polls | 34% | 65% | -31% |
| The New York Times | 37% | 61% | -24% |
| Race to the WH | 36% | 58% | -22% |
| Cook Political Report | 37% | 61% | -24% |
| Average | 36% | 61% | -25% |
The worst midterm approval rating in the polling era belongs to Harry Truman, who was around 34% at the time of the 1946 midterms. So, Trump has a real chance to make history and set a record here. And in case you are wondering, the Republicans gained 54 seats in the House in the 1946 midterm elections, along with 9 seats in the Senate. Due to extensive gerrymandering, we can't imagine Democrats flipping 54 House seats. However, if you squint really, really hard, it is possible to imagine 9 Senate seats flipping, namely: IA, KS, ME, MS, MT, NC, NE, SC, and TX. It would take a monstrous killer blue tsunami, though. (Z)