Dem
53
Ties
3
GOP
44
If the Democrats could snap their fingers and make all four polls come true, they would take that deal in a minute. They're ahead in three tough states, and Florida was and is a longshot. If the three ties (Iowa, Montana, and Nebraska) go for the Democrats and everything else goes as it is now, the Democrats will get 56 seats. But note carefully, 10 states have a white center in the map and they (and Nebraska) could go either way. At this point, almost anything is possible. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Florida | Angie Nixon | 47% | Ashley Moody* | 53% | Oct 17 | Oct 27 | Activote |
| Maine | Troy Jackson | 49% | Susan Collins* | 47% | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Marist Coll. |
| Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed | 51% | Mike Rogers | 45% | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Glengariff Group |
| Texas | James Talarico | 50% | Ken Paxton | 45% | Oct 13 | Oct 21 | YouGov |