Dem
53
Ties
2
GOP
45
The polls are coming fast and furious now; the speed-up is a little later than we would have liked. Mostly good news here for Democrats, except those Democrats who are really hoping to flip South Carolina. That said, it's just one poll and that state is clearly in play. Further, and we've written something like this a couple of times recently, if you told the Democrats they would win Kansas/Maine/Michigan/Texas, but at the expense of South Carolina, they'd take that deal every day and twice on Sunday.
Meanwhile, here is a question: Is it worse to expect a good Election Day, and to be sorely disappointed, as was the case for the Democrats in 2016 and 2024? Or is it better to see the iceberg looming for weeks and weeks, and then to finally strike it, as looks likely to happen to the Republicans this year? (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Kansas | Adam Hamilton | 49% | Roger Marshall | 45% | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | SSRS for CNN |
| Massachusetts | Ed Markey* | 55% | John Deaton | 26% | Oct 07 | Oct 18 | U. of Massachusetts |
| Maine | Troy Jackson | 49% | Susan Collins* | 45% | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | SSRS for CNN |
| Michigan | Abdul El-Sayed | 49% | Mike Rogers | 42% | Oct 20 | Oct 27 | SSRS for CNN |
| Montana | Alani Bankhead | 21% | Kurt Alme | 30% | Oct 05 | Oct 21 | Montana State U. |
| New Hampshire | Chris Pappas | 48% | John Sununu | 41% | Oct 02 | Oct 19 | U. of Massachusetts |
| South Carolina | Annie Andrews | 47% | Darline Graham | 51% | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | East Carolina U. |
| Texas | James Talarico | 49% | Ken Paxton | 43% | Oct 20 | Oct 27 | SSRS for CNN |
| Texas | James Talarico | 49% | Ken Paxton | 47% | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Texas Southern U. |
| Texas | James Talarico | 52% | Ken Paxton | 48% | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Activote |