May 16

Senate map and races Previous report Next report News: Updated May 16 Both beat McCain ≥ 5% McCain beats both ≥ 5% Obama > Clinton by ≥ 5% Obama > Clinton by < 5% Clinton > Obama by < 5% Clinton > Obama by ≥ 5%   In brown states, Obama does better than Clinton against McCain. In pink states Clinton does better. Sometimes this means: does not lose as badly But white centers are statistical ties.

Welcome	FAQs	Donations	Icons for bloggers	Previous elections
Electoral coll. graph	Poll graphs	Cartogram	Animated maps	Data galore
All Senate races	Hot House races	Political websites	Articles and books	Political humor

News from the Votemaster

Updates may be a bit erratic until Tuesday.

The big political news is still the victory by Democrat Travis Childers in MS-01 Tuesday 54% to 46%, winning 20 of the 24 counties. If Republicans are having trouble winning in R+10 districts even when they throw in everything they have, a lot of them fear disaster in November. Politico, a Republican-friendly Website, had the following stories on the front page yesterday:

• GOP cancer: Party Could Lose 20 More Seats
• GOP Can't Rely on Money Advantage Now
• Boehner: We Do Have an Agenda
• Six Ways the GOP Can Save Itself

Not exactly upbeat. The House GOP caucus has been meeting in what can best be described as crisis mode since Tuesday. The GOP brand is in trouble and nobody knows how to fix it fast. Minority leader John Boehner (R-OH) is known to be very unhappy with NRCC chairman, Tom Cole (R-OK), but firing him would look very bad and besides, who would want to chair the NRCC when it is down by a factor of about 5 or 6 in money and is likely to lose 20 seats? Doesn't look good on your resume. One rumor is that the GOP leadership will try to pressure Cole into resigning and then ask Rep. Tom Davis (R-VA) to take the job. Davis is not running for reelection so a big loss won't hurt his further congressional career.

No new primary polls today but we have two general election polls.

The polling results for all primaries and caucuses are available as a Web page and in .csv format.

Obama picked up a few more supers yesterday. His lead over Clinton is now about 175 delegates. A week ago, before the West Virginia primary, it was about 158. So despite Clinton's landslide victory in West Virginia, she is about 18 delegates further behind than she was before her big win. Next week we get Kentucky and Oregon, which are expected to be a wash. Yesterday's posting was about Kentucky. Monday will be on Oregon.

Delegates

Needed to win: 2026

Here is another source for delegate totals.

WWW www.electoral-vote.com