Jan. 21 absentee ballot for overseas voters

Hillary Clinton 251   John McCain 287  
Senate: Dem ?   GOP ?  
House: Dem ?   GOP ?  

Senate map with polls
Downloadable polling data
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News: Updated Jan. 21

strong Dem Strong Dem (146)
weak Dem Weak Dem (36)
barely Dem Barely Dem (69)
tied Exactly tied (0)
barely GOP Barely GOP (55)
weak GOP Weak GOP (49)
strong GOP Strong GOP (183)
  Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: AL CA FL IA KS KY MA MN MO NM NY OH OR VA WA WI RSS
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): FL  
GOP pickups (vs. 2004): OR WA WI  

News from the Votemaster

If you missed yesterday's run-down on Nevada and South Carolina, click on the "Previous report" link to the right of the map above.

At this point, Hillary Clinton and John McCain are probably the front runners. Clinton has the advantage that she is popular in the big states that vote Feb. 5, but Obama is inspiring young people to vote like never before. If they really do, he could pull it off. On the Republican side, "None of the above" is clearly the front runner, with John McCain coming in second under the slogan "The lesser of five or six evils."

Just for the fun of it, imagine that Clinton and McCain are the nominees. What would the general election look like? SurveyUSA has run some head-to-head polls in various states and the results are shown on the map above. For states they didn't poll, the 2004 election results are used. Be warned that the election is more than nine months away. That's a long time. You could decide to have a baby and completely execute the plan before the election. Tomorrow: Obama vs. McCain.

Duncan Hunter (R) dropped out of the race. He has one delegate. The delegate still gets to go to the RNC in Minneapolis, but can vote for anyone he or she wants to there. Chances are, a staffer working for each of the candidates has called to introduce himself or herself and ask for support. It is useful to remember than delegates are actual people, with jobs and houses and kids, not just numbers on some Excel spreadsheet. Most are party activists, but in a brokered convention, all of them may exhibit free will.

The polling results for all states are available as a Web page and in .csv format.

CNN is keeping track of the delegates for the Democrats and for the Republicans. Note that other sources may differ because CNN is trying to count the PLEOs (Party Leaders and Elected Officials) and when different reporters call a PLEO and hear "Well, I like Hillary, but Barack has his charms too" they may score it differently. Here is CNN's count:


Clinton 210 Obama 123 Edwards 52 Kucinich 1     Needed: 2025
Romney 72 McCain 38 Huckabee 29 Thompson 8 Paul 6 Giuliani 1 Needed: 1191

-- The Votemaster
WWW www.electoral-vote.com