Jun. 15 absentee ballot for overseas voters

Obama 304   McCain 221   Ties 13
Senate: Dem 58   GOP 42  
House: Dem 238   GOP 197  

Senate map and races
Downloadable polling data
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strong Dem Strong Dem (168)
weak Dem Weak Dem (76)
barely Dem Barely Dem (60)
tied Exactly tied (13)
barely GOP Barely GOP (15)
weak GOP Weak GOP (53)
strong GOP Strong GOP (153)
270 Electoral votes needed to win
Map algorithm explained
Presidential polls today: (None) RSS
Dem pickups (vs. 2004): CO IA MO NM OH GOP pickups (vs. 2004): (None)  

News from the Votemaster

Historians think that based on previous elections, Barack Obama will trounce John McCain. When you look at factors like winning the White House three times in a row, the state of the economy, the popularity of the incumbent President, and other factors, all signs point to a Democratic landslide. Politico has the story.

The McCains have a credit card debt of over $100,000 according to recently disclosed financial statements. Paying this off won't be a probelm since Cindy McCain inherited something north of $100 million from her father, a beer distributor. What is noteworthy is that it is even possible to get that kind of limit on a credit card. Probably a lot of people didn't think such a thing was possible. McCain is one of the wealthiest senators and apparently the rich inhabit a different universe than everyone else. In his statement, Barack Obama reported $4 million in book royalties. If your kids ask you: "Can I be President some day?" the correct answer is: "Sure, but first become a multimillionaire."

Suppose you are a black Republican. Who are you going to vote for? (Yes, Virginia, there are black Republicans, just not very many.) CQ Politics has an article saying they are very conflicted. Even extremely conservative blacks see that history could be made this year and are torn, as were black Democratic women in the primaries. But a fight between ideology and identity is different than between two identities (am I a woman first or black first?).

No general election or Senate polls today. However, Mason-Dixon released two polls for hotly contended House seats in Nevada. In NV-02, incumbent Rep. Dean Heller (R-NV) leads challenger Jill Derby 53% to 39%. In NV-03, incumbent Rep. Jon Porter (R-NV) leads challenger Dina Titus (D) by a narrow margin: 45% to 43%.

-- The Votemaster
WWW www.electoral-vote.com