Here is more polling data. Again, take it with a grain of salt.
If Fred Thompson jumps in in July, I'll start tracking him of course.
Also of interest is the enormous progress that has been made in the
past two years in making sure electronic voting machines produce
paper trails and that these paper trails are subject to random audits.
Fifteen states require both paper trails and random audits and another
15 require paper trails but no random audits. In addition, a bill
(HR 811) sponsored by congressman Rush Holt (D-NJ) is making its way
through the House and if passed into law would require paper trails
for all federal elections. Paper trails are extremely important to
prevent insiders (mostly the company that makes the voting machines)
from rigging elections. With voter verified paper trails this kind
of insider rigging is difficult, if not impossible. For the state of
play on this subject, see the Website of
verifiedvoting.org.
State
Pollster
End date
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Alabama
U. of South Alabama
Apr. 19
33%
25%
12%
28%
23%
3%
Alabama
Capital Survey
Mar. 6
35%
19%
9%
28%
23%
3%
Alabama
ARG
Feb. 13
44%
13%
11%
31%
19%
3%
Alabama
Capital Survey
Jan. 17
27%
14%
19%
20%
24%
3%
Arizona
Rocky Mtn Poll
May 29
26%
22%
7%
20%
35%
7%
Arizona
Arizona State U.
Apr. 22
25%
20%
18%
27%
32%
11%
Arizona
Rocky Mtn Poll
Mar. 21
27%
20%
9%
25%
34%
11%
Arizona
Arizona State U.
Feb. 25
28%
24%
14%
25%
44%
6%
Arizona
ARG
Feb. 13
33%
24%
13%
21%
45%
2%
Arizona
Rocky Mtn Poll
Jan. 22
32%
15%
18%
13%
40%
11%
Arkansas
ARG
Mar. 23
49%
16%
12%
12%
21%
4%
Arkansas
ARG
Mar. 19
49%
16%
12%
12%
21%
4%
California
ARG
May 8
37%
28%
15%
27%
24%
11%
California
Field Poll
Mar. 31
41%
28%
13%
36%
24%
7%
California
SurveyUSA
Mar. 6
44%
31%
10%
41%
23%
8%
California
Datamar
Feb. 15
34%
24%
16%
41%
17%
11%
California
ARG
Jan. 17
36%
33%
6%
33%
18%
3%
Colorado
ARG
Apr. 2
34%
23%
17%
25%
23%
9%
Connecticut
Quinnipiac U.
May 7
28%
20%
8%
36%
15%
9%
Connecticut
Quinnipiac U.
Feb. 12
33%
21%
5%
43%
27%
4%
Connecticut
ARG
Feb. 6
40%
8%
10%
32%
21%
14%
Delaware
FDU
Feb. 25
34%
19%
10%
0%
0%
0%
Florida
Zogby
June 6
36%
16%
11%
31%
12%
12%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
June 4
34%
16%
11%
31%
10%
8%
Florida
Schroth/Polling Co.
May 9
42%
19%
12%
29%
15%
14%
Florida
ARG
May 8
45%
17%
15%
31%
18%
11%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
Apr. 24
36%
13%
11%
38%
15%
7%
Florida
U. of North Florida
Apr. 13
35%
20%
9%
31%
14%
6%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 27
36%
13%
11%
35%
15%
5%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 4
38%
13%
6%
38%
18%
6%
Florida
Quinnipiac U.
Feb. 4
49%
13%
7%
29%
23%
6%
Florida
ARG
Jan. 9
30%
14%
15%
30%
15%
2%
Illinois
ARG
Jan. 14
30%
36%
5%
33%
24%
12%
Iowa
ARG
May 27
31%
11%
25%
23%
25%
16%
Iowa
Selzer
May 16
21%
23%
29%
17%
18%
30%
Iowa
Research 2000
May 15
28%
22%
26%
17%
18%
16%
Iowa
Zogby
May 15
24%
22%
26%
16%
18%
17%
Iowa
ARG
Apr. 30
23%
19%
27%
19%
26%
14%
Iowa
U. of Iowa
Mar. 31
28%
19%
34%
21%
20%
17%
Iowa
Zogby
Mar. 26
25%
23%
27%
25%
19%
11%
Iowa
ARG
Mar. 23
34%
16%
33%
29%
29%
10%
Iowa
ARG
Mar. 22
34%
33%
16%
29%
29%
10%
Iowa
Zogby
Feb. 9
24%
24%
18%
19%
17%
5%
Iowa
Zogby
Jan. 16
16%
27%
17%
19%
17%
5%
Kansas
Research 2000
May 23
27%
22%
21%
13%
13%
17%
Kansas
Research 2000
May 23
27%
22%
21%
13%
13%
17%
Maine
Critical Insights
Apr. 27
39%
22%
16%
24%
21%
12%
Maine
ARG
Feb. 6
41%
14%
17%
33%
22%
13%
Massachusetts
Suffolk U.
Apr. 15
32%
18%
19%
0%
0%
0%
Massachusetts
ARG
Feb. 6
35%
24%
19%
29%
30%
7%
Michigan
ARG
May 7
38%
25%
14%
19%
22%
24%
Michigan
EPIC/MRA
Mar. 18
45%
29%
16%
26%
30%
21%
Michigan
ARG
Mar. 4
35%
30%
14%
30%
35%
0%
Michigan
EPIC/MRA
Feb. 4
49%
20%
8%
32%
28%
8%
Michigan
ARG
Jan. 7
30%
30%
17%
34%
24%
10%
Missouri
ARG
Jan. 9
30%
18%
17%
18%
31%
2%
Nevada
Mason-Dixon
May 1
37%
12%
13%
12%
19%
15%
Nevada
Zogby
Apr. 12
35%
21%
15%
37%
15%
15%
Nevada
Research 2000
Mar. 8
32%
20%
11%
38%
18%
4%
New Hampshire
U of New Hampshire
June 11
36%
22%
12%
22%
20%
29%
New Hampshire
Mason-Dixon
June 7
26%
21%
18%
15%
16%
27%
New Hampshire
Franklin Pierce Coll.
June 6
41%
17%
15%
20%
18%
30%
New Hampshire
ARG
May 27
34%
15%
18%
21%
30%
23%
New Hampshire
Zogby
May 16
28%
26%
15%
19%
19%
35%
New Hampshire
ARG
Apr. 29
37%
14%
26%
17%
29%
24%
New Hampshire
Zogby
Apr. 3
29%
23%
23%
19%
25%
25%
New Hampshire
U. of New Hampshire
Apr. 3
27%
20%
21%
29%
29%
17%
New Hampshire
ARG
Mar. 23
37%
23%
20%
19%
23%
17%
New Hampshire
Franklin Pierce Coll.
Mar. 12
32%
25%
16%
28%
29%
22%
New Hampshire
Suffolk U.
Feb. 28
28%
26%
17%
37%
27%
17%
New Hampshire
Zogby/UNH
Feb. 8
27%
23%
13%
27%
28%
13%
New Hampshire
Zogby
Jan. 17
19%
19%
23%
20%
26%
13%
New Jersey
Monmouth U.
Apr. 16
41%
22%
13%
49%
19%
6%
New Jersey
Quinnipiac U.
Apr. 16
38%
16%
9%
49%
18%
6%
New Jersey
FDU
Mar. 4
46%
18%
10%
59%
20%
6%
New Jersey
Quinnipiac U.
Feb. 25
41%
19%
5%
58%
15%
2%
New Jersey
Quinnipiac U.
Jan. 22
30%
8%
16%
39%
21%
5%
New Mexico
ARG
Jan. 13
22%
17%
12%
38%
20%
7%
New York
Siena Coll.
May 25
42%
13%
7%
50%
12%
7%
New York
Siena Coll.
Apr. 20
39%
17%
11%
47%
16%
8%
New York
Blum+Weprin
Apr. 7
49%
17%
11%
56%
15%
5%
New York
ARG
Apr. 2
41%
20%
16%
50%
14%
7%
New York
Quinnipiac U.
Apr. 2
44%
14%
9%
52%
13%
6%
New York
Siena Coll.
Mar. 22
43%
11%
7%
31%
20%
6%
New York
Quinnipiac U.
Feb. 11
47%
16%
7%
51%
17%
1%
North Carolina
Elon U.
Apr. 19
20%
20%
26%
32%
22%
10%
North Carolina
ARG
Jan. 15
26%
19%
30%
34%
26%
2%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
May 13
38%
19%
11%
23%
17%
11%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
Apr. 24
37%
14%
17%
23%
21%
6%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 19
32%
22%
11%
31%
20%
6%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 4
32%
19%
13%
35%
18%
3%
Ohio
U. of Akron
Feb. 21
42%
16%
17%
36%
28%
6%
Ohio
Quinnipiac U.
Jan. 28
38%
11%
13%
30%
22%
4%
Oklahoma
Sooner
Apr. 30
29%
13%
29%
32%
23%
6%
Oklahoma
ARG
Feb. 13
40%
15%
16%
37%
21%
2%
Oregon
Riley Research
Mar. 13
31%
21%
8%
33%
20%
5%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
Apr. 24
36%
14%
13%
29%
17%
5%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 25
36%
17%
9%
33%
18%
5%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
Mar. 4
29%
18%
11%
43%
17%
6%
Pennsylvania
Susquehanna
Feb. 20
42%
16%
11%
37%
29%
6%
Pennsylvania
Quinnipiac U.
Feb. 5
37%
11%
11%
30%
20%
4%
Pennsylvania
ARG
Jan. 8
32%
12%
13%
35%
25%
1%
Rhode Island
Brown U.
Jan. 27
33%
8%
15%
0%
0%
0%
South Carolina
Winthrop U.
May 27
29%
21%
11%
19%
14%
12%
South Carolina
ARG
May 26
34%
18%
30%
23%
32%
10%
South Carolina
ARG
Apr. 30
36%
24%
18%
23%
36%
6%
South Carolina
Hamilton/McHenry
Apr. 19
31%
27%
16%
15%
24%
10%
South Carolina
Zogby
Apr. 17
33%
26%
21%
19%
22%
10%
South Carolina
ARG
Feb. 27
36%
25%
20%
29%
35%
5%
Texas
U. of Texas
May 7
33%
21%
8%
23%
27%
6%
Texas
ARG
Mar. 19
34%
32%
11%
30%
20%
13%
Utah
ARG
Feb. 13
31%
18%
9%
13%
21%
40%
Vermont
ARG
Feb. 6
37%
19%
14%
29%
30%
7%
West Virginia
ARG
Apr. 2
37%
22%
19%
29%
33%
8%
Wisconsin
St. Norbert Coll.
Apr. 17
33%
30%
18%
26%
24%
9%
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