Mar. 12

Wyoming (3 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 29% Bush: 69% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 29%, Bush 69% Wisconsin (10 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 50% Bush: 49% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 50%, Bush 49% West Virginia (5 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 43% Bush: 56% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 43%, Bush 56% Washington (11 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 46% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 46% Virginia (13 EVs) Weak Republican Kerry: 45% Bush: 54% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 45%, Bush 54% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 59% Bush: 39% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 59%, Bush 39% Vermont (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 59% Bush: 39% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 59%, Bush 39% Utah (5 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 26% Bush: 71% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 26%, Bush 71% Texas (34 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 38% Bush: 61% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 38%, Bush 61% Tennessee (11 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 43% Bush: 57% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 43%, Bush 57% South Dakota (3 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 38% Bush: 60% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 38%, Bush 60% South Carolina (8 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 41% Bush: 58% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 41%, Bush 58% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 60% Bush: 39% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 60%, Bush 39% Rhode Island (4 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 60% Bush: 39% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 60%, Bush 39% Pennsylvania (21 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 51% Bush: 49% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 51%, Bush 49% Oregon (7 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 52% Bush: 48% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 52%, Bush 48% Oklahoma (7 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 34% Bush: 66% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 34%, Bush 66% Ohio (20 EVs) Barely Republican Kerry: 49% Bush: 51% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 49%, Bush 51% North Dakota (3 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 36% Bush: 63% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 36%, Bush 63% North Carolina (15 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 44% Bush: 56% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 44%, Bush 56% New York (31 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 58% Bush: 41% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 58%, Bush 41% New Mexico (5 EVs) Barely Republican Kerry: 49% Bush: 50% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 49%, Bush 50% New Jersey (15 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 47% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 47% New Jersey (15 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 47% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 47% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 50% Bush: 49% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 50%, Bush 49% New Hampshire (4 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 50% Bush: 49% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 50%, Bush 49% Nevada (5 EVs) Barely Republican Kerry: 48% Bush: 51% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 48%, Bush 51% Nebraska (5 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 32% Bush: 67% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 32%, Bush 67% Montana (3 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 39% Bush: 59% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 39%, Bush 59% Missouri (11 EVs) Weak Republican Kerry: 46% Bush: 53% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 46%, Bush 53% Mississippi (6 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 40% Bush: 60% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 40%, Bush 60% Minnesota (10 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 51% Bush: 48% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 51%, Bush 48% Michigan (17 EVs) Barely Democrat Kerry: 51% Bush: 48% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 51%, Bush 48% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 62% Bush: 37% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 62%, Bush 37% Massachusetts (12 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 62% Bush: 37% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 62%, Bush 37% Maryland (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 56% Bush: 43% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 56%, Bush 43% Maryland (10 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 56% Bush: 43% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 56%, Bush 43% Maine (4 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 45% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 45% Louisiana (9 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 42% Bush: 57% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 42%, Bush 57% Kentucky (8 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 40% Bush: 60% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 40%, Bush 60% Kansas (6 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 37% Bush: 62% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 37%, Bush 62% Iowa (7 EVs) Barely Republican Kerry: 49% Bush: 50% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 49%, Bush 50% Indiana (11 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 39% Bush: 60% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 39%, Bush 60% Illinois (21 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 55% Bush: 45% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 55%, Bush 45% Idaho (4 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 30% Bush: 69% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 30%, Bush 69% Hawaii (4 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 54% Bush: 45% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 54%, Bush 45% Georgia (15 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 41% Bush: 58% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 41%, Bush 58% Florida (27 EVs) Weak Republican Kerry: 47% Bush: 52% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 47%, Bush 52% Delaware (3 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 46% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 46% Delaware (3 EVs) Weak Democrat Kerry: 53% Bush: 46% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 53%, Bush 46% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 90% Bush: 9% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 90%, Bush 9% D.C. (3 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 90% Bush: 9% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 90%, Bush 9% Connecticut (7 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 54% Bush: 44% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 54%, Bush 44% Connecticut (7 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 54% Bush: 44% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 54%, Bush 44% Colorado (9 EVs) Weak Republican Kerry: 47% Bush: 52% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 47%, Bush 52% California (55 EVs) Strong Democrat Kerry: 55% Bush: 44% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 55%, Bush 44% Arkansas (6 EVs) Weak Republican Kerry: 45% Bush: 54% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 45%, Bush 54% Arizona (10 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 45% Bush: 55% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 45%, Bush 55% Alaska (3 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 35% Bush: 62% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 35%, Bush 62% Alabama (9 EVs) Strong Republican Kerry: 37% Bush: 63% Source: Election 2004 (Jan 01) 2004: Kerry: 37%, Bush 63%

Senate map with polls Downloadable polling data Previous report Next report News Strong Dem (146) Weak Dem (37) Barely Dem (69) Exactly tied (0) Barely GOP (37) Weak GOP (66) Strong GOP (183)   Map algorithm explained

Presidential polls today:	(None)
Dem pickups (vs. 2004):	(None)
GOP pickups (vs. 2004):	(None)

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News from the Votemaster

Political guru Charlie Cook Has a nice piece on Rudy Giuliani. Like everyone else, Cook is perplexed how a guy who married his cousin, got an anullment, then got married and divorced and married again could be the Republican front runner (and then there is the matter of his pro-choice, pro-gay, pro-gun-control views, all of which are extremely well documented).

Cook's explanation lies in a number of polls that show very few voters know anything at all about Giuliani's personal life and equally little about his liberal social views. When pollsters told the people being polled about these things, Giuliani's support dropped sharply. Cook does not believe that Giuliani will get the nomination because he can't keep these things hidden forever.

A new New York Times/CBS poll shows that 6 out of 10 Republicans are not satisfied with the current crop of presidential candidates. A lot can change in the coming year. Stay tuned.

This page is the prototype for 2008. The data and map will refer to previous elections until serious polls begin in 2008. The blog will be updated when there is interesting news about the 2008 races.

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