Marco Rubio |
- American-dream type biography
- Can get votes from all wings of the party
- Young and telegenic, sort of like Jack Kennedy
- Very charismatic and likable
- From the mother of all swing states
- Sounds presidential when delivering talking points
|
- Has misrepresented elements of that biography
- First-term senator
- Something of a lightweight on policy
- Supported Senate immigration bill before he opposed it
- Doesn't do well when going off-script
- Personal finances raise a lot of questions
- Seems more suited to the second slot on the ticket
|
Ted Cruz |
- Republican establishment hates him
- Called Mitch McConnell a liar
- Tea party darling
- Young, fiery, and very conservative
- Surprisingly good at fund raising
- Excellent speaker and debater
- Well organized in Super Tuesday states
- Deploying his outspoken father Rafael to great effect
|
- Republican establishment hates him
- First-term senator
- For a first-term senator, has an awful lof of enemies
- Even has more enemies than most six-term senators
- Masterminded the 2013 government shutdown
- Too much of a firebrand for some voters
- Too establishment for some outsider voters
- Too outsider for some establishment voters
- Are evangelical voters enough to take the nomination?
|
Donald Trump |
- Loved by "poke-'em-in-the-eye" voters
- Has been atop the polls for months
- Actually created thousands of jobs
- Can't be bribed, could self-fund
- Says things no one else dares to say
- Not a politician
- Brilliant self-promoter
- The most famous Republican candidate
|
- Would be crushed by Clinton
- Establishment will do anything to stop him
- Used to be fairly liberal
- Not exactly sure where the Middle East is
- Demeaned John McCain's war record
- Lots of sexist, racist, and Islamophobic remarks
- His hair gets more attention than Hillary's
- The most infamous Republican candidate
|
Jeb Bush |
- Establishment loves him
- Executive experience galore
- Huge, battle-tested field operation
- From the mother of all swing states
- SuperPAC has more money than Uncle Scrooge
|
- Grassroots hates him
- Weak campaigner, keeps inserting foot in mouth
- Has to defend his unpopular brother
- Wrong positions on immigration & Common Core
- Married to a Latina
- Barbara Bush: "We've had enough Bushes"
- Will Jeb fix it? Not so far.
|
John Kasich |
- Could be establishment fallback if others stumble
- Twice elected in swing state of Ohio
- From the Midwest, which could help in Iowa
- Serious candidate, which could help in New Hampshire
- Would win some Democrats in general election
|
- Not well known
- Running on competence, not ideology
- Said St. Peter likes poor people
- Supported Medicaid expansion, Common Core in Ohio
- Has performed poorly in debates
|
Chris Christie |
- Aggressive character
- Ran the RGA well; popular with governors
- Won election twice in a blue state
- #4 with establishment after Bush, Rubio and Kasich
- Endorsed by New Hampshire Union Leader
|
- Polling badly in home state
- Hugged Obama
- Has only recently "discovered" he's ultraconservative
- Last fat President was William Howard Taft; but White House bathtub is bigger now
- Lambasted by Newark, NJ Star-Ledger
- Demoted from main stage at last GOP debate
- We'll cross that bridge when we come to it—if it is open
|
Carly Fiorina |
- Ran a Fortune 500 company
- Can attack Clinton without being called sexist
- Took on liberal icon Barbara Boxer in 2010
- Self-made multimillionaire
- Could self fund in the primaries for a while
- Good knowledge of the issues and good debater
- Not a politician
|
- Was fired from a Fortune 500 Company
- Got $20 million severance when fired
- Was crushed by Barbara Boxer in 2010
- No political experience
- Barebones political operation
- Not raising enough money
|
Ben Carson |
- Devoted following
- Was polling very well for a while
- A more polite version of Donald Trump
- Not a politician
- Married to the same woman for 40 years
- Allows racist voters to say they are not racist
- Willing to question orthodoxy...
|
- Prone to gaffes
- His numbers are trending downward
- He's black in a nearly all white party
- Never held public office
- Not a dynamic speaker or debater
- Not politically savvy
- To some people, he comes over as kooky
- Very weak on foreign policy
- Does he want to be president or just sell books?
|
Rand Paul |
- Could bring in new Republican voters
- Inherits his father's zealots
- Dislikes Big Government spying on people
- Does not tailor his views to pander to voters
|
- Doesn't like wars
- Doesn't support "Israel good, Arabs bad" policy
- More of a libertarian than a conservative
- Was cheered at UC Berkeley
- Establishment is lukewarm on him
- First-term senator
|
Mike Huckabee |
- Good sense of humor and very likable
- Ordained Baptist minister
- Southerner in a party whose base is the South
- Well known due to 2008 run and Fox show
- Economic populist
|
- As Arkansas governor raised taxes repeatedly
- Very poor fundraiser
- Unpopular outside the South
- Did badly in 2008 against a much weaker field
- Appeals only to evangelicals, who largely favor Cruz and Carson over him
|
Rick Santorum |
- Been around the track before
- Won Iowa caucuses in 2012
- Very strong social conservative
- Comes from a big blue state
|
- Didn't win in a much weaker 2012 field
- One-trick pony: only social conservatism
- Tends to lecture people and not likable
- Voters in that big blue state tossed him overboard
- Running out of money
|
Lindsey Graham |
- Knowledgeable on foreign policy
- Retired Air Force colonel
- Kind of folksy
- From the South
|
- Base hates him
- Lifelong bachelor in family values party
- Short and dresses like a used-car salesman
|
George Pataki |
- Was elected governor of a blue state three times
|
- George Who?
- Not allowed into the Republican debates without a ticket
|
Jim Gilmore |
|
- Nobody ever heard of him
- Lost 2008 Senate race to Mark Warner by 31 points
- British bookies give the ineligible Arnold Schwarzenegger better odds
- Also not allowed into the Republican debates without a ticket
|