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State	Democrat	Dem %	Republican	GOP %	Precincts reporting	Comments
Alaska	Mary Peltola	48%	Dan Sullivan*	48%	54% reporting
Georgia	Jon Ossoff*	59%	Mike Collins	41%	95% reporting	Called for Jon Ossoff (D)
Iowa	Josh Turek	51%	Ashley Hinson	46%	85% reporting	Called for Josh Turek (D)
Maine	Troy Jackson	52%	Susan Collins*	48%	67% reporting	Called for Troy Jackson (D)
Michigan	Abdul El-Sayed	52%	Mike Rogers	46%	89% reporting	Called for Abdul El-Sayed (D)
North Carolina	Roy Cooper	59%	Michael Whatley	39%	95% reporting	Called for Roy Cooper (D)
Ohio	Sherrod Brown	49%	Jon Husted*	46%	89% reporting	Called for Sherrod Brown (D)
South Carolina	Annie Andrews	51%	Darline Graham	47%	95% reporting	Called for Annie Andrews (D)
Texas	James Talarico	58%	Ken Paxton	40%	77% reporting	Called for James Talarico (D)

Election Night Updates

05:27 am EST What an unbelievable election. We thought there would likely be a blue wave, maybe verging on a blue tsunami, but that was a blue monsoon. On Wednesday, the media is going to have many stories about the blue team's success in the elections. On Thursday, they will pivot back to "Democrats in disarray" and "Here's how winning nearly every competitive election is actually bad for the Democrats."

We have been liveblogging for 11+ hours, with 300+ micro-posts, comprising about 14,000 words. It's not likely we will get any more news tonight, so we are going to call it a day.

We thank everyone for reading, and we appreciate all the readers who sent in comments and tips. We also thank readers L.R.H. in Oakland, CA, B.P. in Salt Lake City, UT and S.S.L. in Battle Creek, MI, who helped us to monitor various news outlets, as well as Fox.

We are going to wait a day for the dust to settle, and then well be back with full posts on Thursday and Friday, as it becomes clearer exactly what happened, and what it all means. See you then! - (V), (Z), (L) and (A).

05:24 am EST That leaves two uncalled Senate races (Alaska, Mississippi) and two uncalled gubernatorial races (Alaska, Kansas). The vote totals in those races haven't changed in the last 90 minutes, and they are all close enough that late-arriving ballots (e.g., military) could matter. There's also the small matter of the ranked choice voting in Alaska. In short, there is not likely to be any more major news tonight.

05:21 am EST The Nevada gubernatorial race has been called by CNN and AP for Aaron Ford (D). He's up 8 with 84% reporting.

04:21 am EST This election made the 2028 Republican presidential primaries a lot more messy. There will be a MAGA lane, there will be a non-MAGA lane, and each will attract a bunch of candidates. It is no longer plausible that Donald Trump could bestow his blessing on, say, J.D. Vance, and that's the end of it.

03:53 am EST There are only two Senate races that are left uncalled. One is Mississippi, where Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) and Scott Colom (D) are in a dead heat, with 48.9% each and 95%+ reporting. That one won't be resolved until Wednesday afternoon, at the earliest. The other is Alaska, where Mary Peltola is down by a point with 74% reporting. That one is also likely to linger into Wednesday, or beyond.

Meanwhile, there are three gubernatorial races that are uncalled. Aaron Ford (D) is still up 6 on Gov. Joe Lombardo (R) with 71% reporting. In Kansas, Cindy Holscher (D) is leading Ty Masterson (R) by 0.6% with 95%+ reporting. And in Alaska, Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins (D) is at 49% with 67% reporting. We do not know how it is possible that considerably more Senate votes than governor votes have been reported in Alaska, but there it is. In any event, there are three other candidates, all Republicans, in the Alaska race. And obviously, their combined total is 51%. It is a safe assumption, however, that some number of those ballots will have Kreiss-Tomkins ranked second or third. And some of them won't have more than one or two choices, and will be exhausted. So, while Peltola is currently in a shaky position, Kreiss-Tomkins is looking pretty solid.

03:41 am EST Sen. Pete Ricketts (R) has defeated Dan Osborn (I) in Nebraska. This election has not been a validation of the 'run as an independent' strategy, to say the least.

03:36 am EST Reader J.L. in Los Angeles, CA: Earlier this evening, J.K. in Short Hills commented: 'FYI... S&P 500 futures are down over 1% in response to the Blue Tsunami. Nasdaq 100 futures are down over 2%.' Fear not for your 401(k)s, folks! S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures have recovered and are now both up about a tenth of a percent over their close yesterday. Likewise, the VIX (which measures volatility, fear, and uncertainty in the stock market) has dropped overnight from 21 to 19, meaning things are calming down... at least for now. The market actually likes divided government, as J.K. pointed out. While the next couple of months might still be a little shaky in the stock market, the history books tell up that, since 1950, the S&P has be up 100% one year after each midterm election, and the NASDAQ was also up a year after every midterm from 1974, with the exception of the 1986 recession. Remember that past performance doesn't guarantee future results, but the historical stats are pretty solid... so I'm not panicking.

03:32 am EST NBC is projecting a House with 258 D, 177 R. So is The New York Times. CNN is thinking it will be 260 D, 175 R. In any event, Hakeem Jeffries won't have to do the kind of cat-herding that was required of his three immediate predecessors. Also worth noting is that the Democrats will be in shouting distance of the 290 votes needed for a veto. Are there things on which most or all Democrats, plus 30 or so Republicans, might find agreement, even if Donald Trump objects? Maybe.

03:25 am EST Idaho ended up voting down the repeal on the state's abortion ban.

03:23 am EST Reportedly, Alaska counts Election Day votes first, mail-in and early-voting ballots second. The latter is what's left to tally. Everyone reading this knows that Election Day votes skew Republican, early votes skew Democratic. So, Mary Peltola (D) has a chance to pick up the votes she needs to avoid a runoff.

03:20 am EST With 68% reporting, AG Aaron Ford (D) is up by 6 on Gov. Joe Lombardo (R) in the Nevada governor's race.

03:13 am EST Montana has been called for Kurt Alme (R). The combined vote of 'independent' Seth Bodnar and Alani Bankhead (D?) was greater than that of Alme, but a plurality is all it takes in Montana. On advice from former senator Jon Tester (D), Bodnar pretended to be an independent to avoid the toxicity of the Democratic brand in Montana. The downside to that strategy is that it leaves a slot for a Democrat (like Bankhead) to jump in, either to make some sort of point, or for ratfu**ing purposes. In this election, of all years, it's clear the other path (just run as a Democrat) offered the better odds. Of course, hindsight is 20/20.

02:53 am EST It would seem that Minnesota voters were not overly concerned about the corruption that occurred on the Democrats' watch. Or maybe they were concerned that the modern Republican Party, as led by Donald Trump, is even more corrupt. In any event, the Democrats swept all the statewide elections. That includes Democrats who held statewide office during the time covered by the scandal, like AG Keith Ellison and Lt. Gov. and Sen.-elect Peggy Flanagan.

02:49 am EST The L.A. Mayor's race is going to be a nail biter. Both the incumbent, Karen Bass, and the challenger, Nithya Raman, have 50% of the vote (Bass is leading by a couple of hundred votes). Because California is very tolerant of late ballots, as long as they are mailed on time, the result will not be known for at least a week.

02:45 am EST We have no idea how votes are counted in Alaska, or what it might imply if we learned that, say, there are a lot of outstanding votes in Fairbanks. However, Mary Peltola (D) is looking like she might be the exception to the Democrats' exceptional night. With 72% of the votes in, Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) has 48.7%, Peltola has 47.5%, Gerald L. Heikes (R) has 2.1% and the other Dan Sullivan has 1.6%. If nobody hits 50%+1, then the fake Sullivan's votes will be redistributed. Thereafter, if nobody hits 50%+1, Heikes' ballots will be redistributed. It is hard to imagine that Peltola will add votes when it's a Republican and a guy who was on the ballot to try to fool Republican voters. She really needs to pick up 2.5% of the vote and avoid a runoff. Not easy to do with only 28% outstanding.

02:37 am EST Other trending memes: (1) This is all for you, dog who Kristi Noem shot; (2) Mitch McConnell has also turned blue and (3) Susan Collins' reign of concern is over.

02:35 am EST CNN has called the Michigan Senate race for Abdul El-Sayed (D). When it comes to the viability of Democratic socialists, will people focus on the fact that he won, or that his win was much tighter than most other Democrats last night? Most of the potential Bernie vs. Hillary-style rancor will dissipate because El-Sayed won, and a bit more will dissipate because the alternative to El-Sayed—Haley Stevens—is now roughly as toxic among Democrats as Joe Manchin or Kyrsten Sinema. Still, we presume that both moderates and progressives will point to him as proof that their approach is the better one.

02:22 am EST Reader P.S. in Arlington, TN: I wish former Georgia Governor and Confederate Vice President Alexander Stephens had lived to see Gov.-elect Keisha Lance Bottoms's (D) win tonight.

02:22 am EST Reader M.L. in Beaver Dam, WI: Didn't see you mention this, but the Democrats in Wisconsin have the trifecta!

02:22 am EST Reader D.E. in Lancaster, PA: I took a nap early today with the thinking that it would be a late night and that I would go to bed with a lot of uncertainty. I'm overjoyed that I am about to turn off the light with both the House and the Senate firmly in Democratic control. Not only in control but John Fetterman's (E-PA) delusional dreams of relevancy have been snapped out of existence and Trump hiding in his bunker, petrified of the coming investigations and the knowledge that he is no longer inevitable. That constitutes a good day indeed!

02:22 am EST Reader B.W. in Los Angeles, CA: Quite a night. Especially interesting in terms of polling!

Had tonight's results varied from the pollsters' consensus in equal magnitude (but opposite in direction), we would surely have years of discourse about how "polling is broken"

But we'll largely be spared that, simply because the head-to-head results have been mostly in line with expectations.

We now have more data in support of an emerging pattern: When Donald Trump is on the ballot, Republicans overperform their polls. When he's not, they underperform.

02:22 am EST Reader J.B. in Montgomery, IL: German NTV called it a Tsunami, and both they and Der Spiegel used 'erobern'—conquered—as their verb for the Democrats retaking both chambers of Congress.

02:21 am EST Reader PW, Springwater, NY: It's exhilarating to see the blue wave spreading across the country, but a bit demoralizing to find oneself in a red district in otherwise blue New York. We had hopes (albeit slim) for a couple of congressional seats (NY-21 and NY-24) as well as hope for a local state senate seat—all candidates ran very good races. Democrats control the redistricting and have gerrymandered many parts of rural New York in such a way as to make winning nearly impossible. It makes one feel very left behind. On the other hand, tonight was a huge win for democracy and against fascism. I'll take that win!

02:21 am EST Reader J.O. from Las Vegas NV: Two polling sites in Clark County remain open according to local news. Gov. Joe Lombardo's (R-NV) HQ nearly empty. Challenger Aaron Ford's (D) HQ is packed.

02:16 am EST Several readers have already shared a meme that's making its way around the Internet: 'Pete Hegseth wanted a public execution. Well, he got one tonight.'

02:13 am EST Alleged spousal abuser Rep. Max Miller (R-OH) has been defeated by nearly 10 points in the R+5 OH-07. Good riddance.

02:09 am EST 'Independent' Rep. Kevin Kiley, who continued to caucus and vote with the Republicans after announcing his re-registration, has been defeated by his Democratic challenger.

02:04 am EST Trump also posted this: 'I'm going to become a Political Pundit, both good and bad, on the reasons these Candidates won and lost! President DONALD J. TRUMP.' Actually, that's some pretty good political analysis. He is absolutely the reason a bunch of Democrats won, and a bunch of Republicans lost.

02:03 am EST We told you that Trump's apparent graciousness when he appeared on Fox tonight was not to be believed. He's been rage-posting for the last hour, including a photograph of a red Trump hat with a big 'VETO' on it. So much for being willing to work with the Democrats.

02:00 am EST They've stopped counting for the night in Hinds County, MS, where Scott Colom (D) is expected to get more votes. We surely won't know the Mississippi U.S. Senate result until tomorrow, at the earliest. And then, we will have to wait for the inevitable lawsuits to be resolved.

01:57 am EST The biggest known unknowns remaining:

Alaska U.S. Senate: Mary Peltola (D) is up 0.1 points, with 54% reporting
Alaska governor: Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins (D) is up 21 points, with 54% reporting
Kansas governor: Cindy Holscher (D) is up 0.8 points, with 94% reporting
Michigan U.S. Senate: Abdul El-Sayed (D) is up 6 points, with 83% reporting
Mississippi U.S. Senate: Scott Colom (D) is up 0.01 points, with 95%+ reporting
Montana U.S. Senate: Kurt Alme (R) is up 8 points, with 83% reporting
Nebraska U.S. Senate: Pete Ricketts (R) is up 6 points, with 80% reporting
Nebraska governor: Jim Pillen (R) is up 7 points, with 73% reporting
Nevada governor: No votes have been reported

01:56 am EST Govs. Kelly Ayotte (R-NH) and Phil Scott (R-VT) have been reelected.

01:54 am EST 54% has now been counted in Alaska and Mary Peltola (D) has 48.1 and Dan S. Sullivan has 48.0

01:50 am EST Jim Risch (R) beat independent Todd Achilles 55 - 35 with another independent taking 7 pct in Idaho

01:48 am EST Julia Letlow (R) won the Senate seat in Louisiana over Jamie Davis (D) but was very close: 50.9 to 49.1. This is going to force the Democrats to come to terms with the South. They won Senate seats in Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina and might win one in Mississippi. The almost won in Louisiana. They won in Texas. Maybe there is a message here?

01:43 am EST Abdul El-Sayed is giving something very much like a victory speech right now. The race has not been called, but he is up nearly 6% with 79% reporting.

01:43 am EST Reader A.G. in Scranton, PA: Hey, should we send a 'Thank you' card to Donald Trump for pushing the Republican Party into redistricting to try to cheat us out of seats?

I don't know what the numbers will ultimately say, but he probably gifted us at least a dozen seats, no?

01:42 am EST AP finally calls Maine for Troy Jackson (D). Susan Collins (R) is concerned.

01:38 am EST Reader J.C. in Oakton, VA: No words from tonight. The results are... unprecedented. I am, admittedly, crying.

I got home from working my polling place here in Fairfax County about 9 p.m.

Turnout was swift. Young, Gen Z. We helped 1,271 voters.

It was an amazingly positive day. My favorite part was helping folks scan their ballots (hardest part of the process).

All three amendments to the Commonwealth's Constitution have passed, included abortion, gay, and reformed felon rights.

Proud to be an American tonight. More so than I have in a very long time. THIS is what democracy looks like at the micro level.

01:37 am EST Reader K.L. in Henderson, NV: Still nothing from Nevada! Polls were open until after 9 with folks in line.

01:35 am EST Reader T.S. in Maple Heights, OH: With the repudiation of Trumpism, does the McConnell

01:35 am EST Reader P.S. in Arlington, TN: Given that the African American and Latino vote showed up in massive numbers today, the new Majority Leader should be Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) or Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ).

01:35 am EST Reader M.H. in Athens, GA: There has been a political earthquake of massive proportions here in Georgia. Democrats have won ALL statewide races (Senator, Governor, Lt. Governor, Sec. Of State, Attorney General, Insurance Commissioner, etc.), and it was not even close! All were won by margins of 10% or higher, and NONE of the races will go to runoff elections, because the Democrats took more than 50% of the cast votes. I was not expecting such a complete and total victory by the Democrats. Politics here will never be the same again!

01:35 am EST Reader R.A. in Paris, Texas: Looks like our state legislature will have a majority of Democrats in the House. The venerable Rep. Senfronia Thompson (D), affectionately known as Ms. T, has already filed to run for Speaker. Texas will likely have its first-ever woman speaker, and she also happens to be Black.

01:34 am EST Gov Phil Scott (R-VT) looks like he will get another term. He has a 7 point lead with 99% of the vote counted

01:33 am EST In Nebraska, Pete Ricketts (R) is ahead of Dan Osborn (I) 49 to 45 with 78% counted

01:31 am EST In the race for governor of Kansas, Cindy Holscher (D) leads Ty Masterson (R) 50.37% to 49.63%

01:26 am EST With Scott Colom (D) ahead of Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) by 28 votes a recount is possible. Only Mississippi doesn't have any laws describing when recounts are needed or how they are to be conducted. Could be fun

01:26 am EST Also on the abortion front, Missouri has rejected the ballot amendment that tried to overturn abortion access by linking it to gender-affirming care for children. Idaho is on track to enshrine abortion access in the state Constitution.

01:24 am EST CNN has projected that Democrats have won 219 House seats and Republicans have 126 with 91 still being counted

01:24 am EST We've noted that Democrats are leading in every statewide race in Texas. Note that the AG of Texas (viz, Ken Paxton) tends to be the leader of the anti-choice forces. Flipping to a Democratic AG would be a big deal on that front.

01:23 am EST Sen Tommy Tuberville (R-AL) is not going to be the dumbest senator for long. He will soon be the dumbest governor

01:21 am EST Look at the table above, and recall what we have written many times: Swing seats (and swing states) tend to swing the same way.

01:20 am EST We think we are vindicated in our observation that money is no longer instructive as an indicator. The narrative through virtually the entire cycle is that Republicans were awash in cash and Democrats were scouring the sidewalk for nickels. Maybe that was correct, or maybe it was a product of Republican backers sending their money to more traditional recipients and Democratic backers doing things differently. Either way, what was publicly known and reported on clearly told a wildly inaccurate story of what would happen on Election Day.

01:18 am EST Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins has a big lead for governor of Alaska

01:12 am EST Cindy Holscher (D) is defying the polls, and is up a little over 0.5% in the Kansas governor's race, with 94% reporting.

01:11 am EST Larry Rhoden (R) has been re-elected governor in South Dakota, Brad little (R) has been re-elected governor in Idaho. No surprises there.

01:09 am EST Gov Brad Little (R) got a third term as governor

01:09 am EST (V) and (Z) are both posting comments to the feed, and sometimes have the same information or same thought at the same time. That is why some comments are redundant. This is not a Donald Trump situation where we can't remember what we said 15 seconds ago.

01:09 am EST Gov.Tina Kotek (D-OR) has been reeelected

01:09 am EST Hannah Pingree (D) has been elected governor of Maine

01:08 am EST Jocelyn Benson (D) is now governor-elect of Michigan

01:08 am EST CNN has called the Michigan governor's race for Jocelyn Benson (D). Perhaps this will finally put to rest the notion that John James (R) is a rising star.

01:07 am EST We divided up the TV-channel monitoring among the Electoral-Vote.com staff and a couple of volunteers, and (Z) drew PBS as his assignment. C.C. in Camano Island is 100% correct.

01:06 am EST Reader C.C. in Camano Island, WA: I watched the PBS coverage which I thought was good except for Tiffany Smiley. She needs to wake up or maybe she is auditioning for Trump's press secretary. 'Trump has done a lot of good things,' she said. Really? Name one. Just because he has met with Mayor Zohran Mamdani (D-New York City) doesn't mean he is going to work with the Democrats for the good of the country. He has plenty of opportunity to work with Ds but it has never happened. It's very disappointing that PBS would have chosen someone like that to be on what otherwise was a good panel.

01:06 am EST Scott Colom (D) is now ahead of Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) by 28 votes

01:05 am EST Mississippi is tied 48.9% to 48.9%

01:03 am EST There are three states where a recount is possible ONLY with a court order: Illinois,Tennessee and... Mississippi.

12:59 am EST Holy crap. Scott Colom (D) has pulled even, and has a razor-thin lead (28 votes) in Mississippi, with 97% reporting. If Black voters are persuaded they can actually win elections if they turn out in force, that could change the face of Mississippi politics.

12:58 am EST Sorry, we meant that one polling place will be open once 1:00 a.m. EST arrives.

12:56 am EST Abdul El-Sayed (D) is up 3 points in the Michigan Senate race, and many of the outstanding votes are in Wayne County (Detroit). So, he's in the catbird seat.

12:55 am EST California voters reject ballot maeasure requiring ID to vote

12:54 am EST Every outlet now has the projected number of House seats for the Democrats at 245 or more, some have them pushing 260. The largest number of members for one party in the House, in the 21st century, is 257. That's certainly within reach. Whatever happens, Speaker-to-be Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) is going to have the biggest caucus Washington has seen in a long time.

12:52 am EST We mentioned Deb Haaland, but note also that Sen.-elect Peggy Flanagan (DFL-MN) is the first Native American woman elected to the Senate.

12:51 am EST So many of the people Donald Trump loathes are women of color. Must just be a coincidence.

12:51 am EST Ilhan Omar (DFL) is going to win by 60. That is not going to please Donald Trump.

12:50 am EST One polling place in America is still open. It's in the Western Aleutian Islands.

12:49 am EST News from Alaska. Mary Peltola (D) is at 54%, Dan S. Sullivan is at 43%, Dan J. Sullivan is at 1.5% and Gerald Heikes is at 1.3% with 22% of the precincts reporting. If this holds, there will be no second round and Peltola will win

12:49 am EST Democrats are likely to take three of four House seats in Iowa, along with the Senate seat won by Josh Turek.

12:48 am EST AG Letitia James (D) has been reelected. This will not please Donald Trump.

12:47 am EST Rep. Mike Lawler (R) has conceded in NY-17 despite the fact that nobody has called the race yet. He's down 5 with 58% reporting.

12:46 am EST Mississippi is close, but no cigar. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) is at 49.5 and Scott Colom is at 48.3 with 95% of the vote counted

12:46 am EST The Tennessee Senate race has been called for Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN). Given that Trumpism is not exactly a growth industry, it will be interesting to see what kind of Republican she picks to replace her in the Senate.

12:45 am EST If Alani Bankhead (D) in Montana hadn't been so stubborn, Seth Bodnar (I) would have won Montana. She sure taught Democrats a lesson: Don't let people like her win primaries in red states

12:42 am EST The 4,000 question is: Will Sam Alito decide December is an excellent time to retire--while the retiring is good. Otherwise he is stuck for at least 2 years and maybe 6 years

12:40 am EST The popular Tejano singer Bobby Pulido is now Rep.-elect (D-TX) having won TX-15 by 30 points

12:39 am EST Nebraska voters approved a ballot measure to ban trans girls from girls' sports

12:37 am EST James Talarico has rockstar potential. He has a JFK vibe.

12:37 am EST Susan Collins' concession was very gracious.

12:36 am EST We believe R.C. in Des Moines has just become the first person ever to speak of Elon Musk and use the phrase 'big weenie'

12:36 am EST Reader R.C. in Des Moines, IA: Maybe this will mark the beginning of the end of Elon Musk's meddling in elections. Or at least cause him to rethink the wisdom of wasting half a bill. He'd have had more fun if he piled up 500 million one dollar bills on his launchpad, set them on fire, and had a big weenie roast.

12:35 am EST Reader H.B. im Toronto, ON, Canada: This is so much like 2006, it isn't even funny. Waiting for Trump to face the wrath of an Arab man's shoe...

12:35 am EST Reader R.G. in Minneapolis, MN: As a former resident for nine years of MO-02 (suburban and exurban St. Louis, MO ), I am happy to report that Rep. Ann Wagner (R) is losing her re-election to Fred Wellman (D) by 5 - 6 points with more than 95% of the vote counted. This in a congressional district with a PVI of R+8. Wagner was the former chair of that state's Republican Party and first won her seat in 2012, succeeding former Rep. Todd Aiken ( the guy during his run for the US Senate who talked about 'legitimate rape' ). During Trump 1.0, Wagner wouldn't hold town meetings close in to St. Louis to avoid angry constituents. She eagerly carried water for Donald Trump. I know a lot of people living near St. Louis will be happy to see her go.

12:35 am EST Reader R.A. in Paris, TX: The Texas Tribune is reporting that Democrats have solid leads in all the statewide elected executive races: Lt. Governor, Attorney General, Comptroller, Ag Commissioner, General Land Commissioner, Railroad Commissioner, and 7 of 9 State Board of Education seats. The governor appoints our Secretary of State, so that will change, too. Texas is finally turning blue.

12:34 am EST Reader B.H. in Frankfort, IL: With the Minnesota race called for Peggy Flanagan, Sen. John Fetterman (?-PA) is now officially irrelevant. What a beautiful night.

12:34 am EST Reader B.J. in Arlington, MA: OMG, no. I think the only thing that could make me oppose single-payer healthcare is calling it Trumpcare.

12:33 am EST Reader M.T. in Wheat Ridge, CO: I might fall out of my chair if the Colorado results hold up—it's a possible 8-0 sweep.

12:33 am EST Reader P.S. in Arlington, TX: I bet Clarence Thomas resigns by the end of the week.

12:33 am EST Reader S.G. in Newark, NJ: I'm not from Texas, but Bobby Pulido's (D) achievement is astonishing. Taking down an incumbent by a 2-to-1 margin.

12:32 am EST Michigan is very close now: Abdul El-Sayed (D) 49.5 to Mike Rogers (R) 48.5

12:31 am EST The Kansas Governor's race is tied ay 50-50

12:31 am EST James Talarico is invoking scripture in his victory speech, as well he should. It is possible to do it without being obnoxious, as it turns out. Years and years of 'holier than thou' Bible-thumping from evangelicals caused us to forget that.

12:30 am EST Katie Hobbs (D) has a huge lead in her reelection race for governor of Arizona in Arizona

12:29 am EST James Talarico is delivering his victory speech, and he took a potshot at 'every trillionaire donor.' Wonder who he had in mind? We'll have to have the staff researcher look into that.

12:27 am EST Talarico is now speaking at his headquarters to a cheering crowd

12:24 am EST Talarico is probably the biggest win of the night, just because of the potential to remake Texas as a blue state. But Jackson is not far behind because, unlike the other seat-flippers, he can basically vote the party line 100% of the time.

12:22 am EST We now have 53 Democratic senators, with Michigan and Alaska still not called. It could grow to 55. If it does, both our readers and Political Wires were both too pessimistic

12:19 am EST CNN has now called Maine for Troy Jackson (D)

12:16 am EST Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) has just conceded.

12:15 am EST MSNOW is reporting that Susan Collins (R) and called Troy Jackson (D) to concede. She is one tough old bird but the headwind was too strong this time

12:15 am EST Reader P.D. in Smithfield, RI: Chuck Schumer should be replaced as Majority Leader. With the bold mandate that Democrats have tonight they need to 'meet the moment' and Schumer isn't the answer.

12:15 am EST Reader M.B. in Hartford, CT: I'm in CT where my vote still does not matter but I can't express my vicarious joy for how things are turning out.

George Carlin once said that, even in a fake democracy, people should get what they want once in awhile.

In other circumstances I'd present that as-is, but here... maybe this is the start of something.

12:15 am EST Reader M.G.F. in Minneapolis, MN: Just pointing out that Hennepin county hasn't reported any votes yet, and Ramsey county has only reported 18%. That 6% Tafoya lead is going to evaporate fast when that changes.'

12:13 am EST Nate Cohn says Troy Jackson (D) is now 95% to win the Senate race in Maine. Even cats eventually run out of lives.

12:11 am EST Don't know why it's taken so long, but Minnesota's gubernatorial race has been called for Sen. Amy Klobuchar (DFL).

12:10 am EST That said, there are some policy choices that are broadly popular, and have support in both parties. Gerrymandering is at the top of the list. So is anti-corruption legislation and Supreme Court reform, though Trump would probably not play ball there. Washington D.C. statehood is a possibility, if the Democrats sell Trump that the WHOLE DISTRICT will become a monument to him. Also possible is single-payer healthcare, which now has the support of 60% of voters. Trump hates Obamacare, but he might just get behind Trumpcare.

12:10 am EST NBC has called Minnesota for Gov.-elect Amy Klobuchar (DFL)

12:09 am EST ABC has called Minnesota for Peggy Flanagan (DFL)

12:08 am EST Democrats are having a field day in Iowa. They flipped the governor, the Senate seat and probably three of the House seats

12:08 am EST Trump is being uncharacteristically gracious in his interview on Fox, and though he called himself 'Mr. Veto' earlier this week, he said he might be able to work with Democrats on some issues. That said, he made clear he's not willing to work with them on open borders, men playing on girls' teams, or transgender mutilization (sic.). Since those are the same old MAGA talking points, we are skeptical Trump has turned over a new leaf.

12:06 am EST Peggy Flanagan (DFL-MN) took the lead over Michele Tafoya (R) 54-43 woth 77% of the precincts reporting

12:06 am EST Dummymander alert. MO-02 was redrawn to be R+4, but that's not enough in a year like this year, so Democrat Fred Wellman has won by 5.

12:04 am EST Democrats flipped the blue dot in Nebraska (NE-02)

11:59 pm EST Reader J.L. in Los Angeles, CA advises that Donald Trump is about to call into Fox. May be worth a look.

11:56 pm EST Elaine Luria (D) avenged her loss to Rep. Jen Kiggans (R) in VA-02, winning by a comfortable 6-point margin.

11:54 pm EST Once (and presumably future) Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) is giving a victory speech right now. He is a terrible speaker.

11:53 pm EST If the vote counting were to end right now, the Democrats would control both chambers of the state legislature. They are likely to take the state House, and they are probably 60% to take the state Senate. If, on January 1, you had told us a BLUE trifecta would be in place in Texas by the end of the year, we would have called the place with the rubber rooms to pick you up.

11:51 pm EST NBC is projecting a Democratic Senate

11:50 pm EST One bright spot for the Republicans might be Minnesota, where Michele Tafoya (R) is leading Peggy Flanagan 51 -46, with 48% of the precincts counted

11:49 pm EST The AP made it official. Adam Hamilton (D) is the senator-elect from Kansas. It took 94 years, but it happened: A Democratic senator from Kansas

11:49 pm EST Actually, Haaland will be the first Native American WOMAN to be governor. There has been one man (in Oklahoma).

11:48 pm EST Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) has conceded that the Republicans have lost the House. In related news, the clock on the wall of his office reads: 00:14:59

11:46 pm EST Remember the election administrator's prayer: 'Dear Lord, let this election be a blowout.' The breadth and depth of the Republicans' defeats tonight are going to make claims of voter fraud look ridiculous. Trump will probably still make them, but this time, the cheese might stand alone.

11:44 pm EST Kansas AG Kris Kobach (R) is trailing in his race. If he loses, it's going to be very hard to decide the winner of the Most Obnoxious Loser award. They may have to declare it a tie, and give one to Kobach and the other to Vivek Ramaswamy.

11:43 pm EST The AP is reporting that the people of Missouri rejected the legislature's ballot measure to gerrymander the map even more than it is already gerrymandered

11:42 pm EST You never know, but it's hard to imagine a world where Democrats win in South Carolina, Kansas and Texas, but not Alaska. We think Dan Sullivan is going to be very disappointed. And so is Dan Sullivan.

11:41 pm EST The result is so overwhelming that Trump has told the NYT that he will accept the results

11:41 pm EST C'mon NBC you can do it. Just a bit more. It is now projecting 252 Democratic House seats, but CBS is still ahead with 253. Democrats currently have 214 plus one vacancy they will fill today

11:38 pm EST Deb Haaland (D) will become the first Native American governor of a state, in her case, New Mexico

11:36 pm EST Reader S.S.L. in Battle Creek, MI: 'I am so sorry for the Iranians Trump is about to punish.'

11:36 pm EST Reader C.C. in Norfolk, MA: Trump spent the whole campaign obsessed with Husted's ass and tonight Ohio voters handed it to him.

11:36 pm EST Reader D.M. in Lexington, NC: 'In 2024, Rep. Addison McDowell (R) in NC-6 won 69% to 31%. Tonight he lost 51% to 49% to Cyril Jackson, Mayor of High Point, NC (one of the three main cities that make up the Triad region). That is a massive shift—+38 to -2'

11:35 pm EST Reader R.M. in Dunnellon, FLn: 'I find it frustrating and ironic that South Carolina, Georgia, Ohio, Texas, and freaking Kansas are less Red than Florida! The Blue Tsunami has missed my state and that is tempering my enjoyment of this election result.'

11:35 pm EST Reader D.E. in Lancaster, PA: 'Texas, Kansas, Ohio AND South Carolina! Someone slap me because I must be dreaming.'

11:35 pm EST The AP has called both the Senate race and he gubernatorial race in Iowa for Sen.-elect Josh Turek (D) and Gov.-elect (Rob Sand)

11:35 pm EST Reader E.M.H in Oslo, Norway: 'Quite sure that Associate Justice Samuel Alito will take his flag down and retire before January.'

11:35 pm EST Reader K.C.W. in Austin, TX: 'Fireworks going off in East Austin, a traditionally Latino neighborhood.'

11:35 pm EST Reader J.J. in North Plains, OR: 'Is that rumbling I hear Molly Ivins jumping up and down in joy in her grave?'

11:33 pm EST Many years ago, the person entering the data accidently switched the two numbers and Texas went bright blue for a few minutes. We got 1,000 emails telling to fix it. Please do NOT send any emails telling us to change the 58-40 score for Talarico unless you have a Ph.D. in election denial.

11:30 pm EST Look at our map, in particular the line Dem pickups. It reads NC OH SC TX. That's the four seats the Democrats need to control the Senate if John Fetterman decides to become a Democrat. They need one more to make it real. Could be Kansas or Alaska

11:29 pm EST The AP has called the Wisconsin governor race for David Crowley (D).

11:28 pm EST All the networks have called Ohio for Sherrod Brown

11:27 pm EST The AP has called Ohio for Sherrod Brown

11:25 pm EST The other Republican talking head on PBS (Doug Heye, who is actually quite good) has this advice for the Republicans in 2028: 'Stay away from the pillow salesmen.' That's good advice.

11:24 pm EST One of the Republican talking heads on PBS has the ideal GOP candidate for 2028: Mike Pompeo. Uh, huh.

11:23 pm EST Red-State Republicans update:

IA-01 (R+4): The Democrat is leading by 11 points with 83% reporting.
IA-03 (R+2): The Democrat is leading by 12 points with 84% reporting.
KY-06 (R+7): The Democrat is leading by 9 points, and has been declared the winner, with 95%+ reporting.
OH-07 (R+5): The Democrat is leading by 8 points with 61% reporting.
WI-03 (R+3): The Democrat is leading by 8 points with 71% reporting.

Our vast experience in political analysis allows us to conclude that this was not a good night to be a Republican.

11:22 pm EST The AP has called the Iowa governor's race for Rob Sand (D)

11:22 pm EST The AP has called the Texas governor's race for Gina Hinojosa (D)

11:21 pm EST On Monday, we ran predictions from 17 Politico reporters about the most important races. We also made choices. (Z) went for a Talarico win as being the most momentous. (V) went for a Hinojosa win being the most momentous. Looks like a tie here

11:18 pm EST Greg Abbott has conceded defeat to Gov.-elect Gina Hinojoa (D-TX). At least he is a good sport. So Democrats won the top two races in Texas. We have no idea how that will work downballot, but we suspect the NRC will not be happy

11:18 pm EST Actually, thinking about it, maybe Paxton/Cornyn didn't matter. Gov. Greg Abbott (R-TX) is a Cornyn-like party loyalist, and he's losing by about as much as Paxton. Seems like anyone would have lost. The way Trump threw this away wasn't by knocking off Cornyn, but with an overly harsh immigration policy.

11:15 pm EST Black bellwether district update:

GA-06 (D+25): The Democrat is leading by 63 with 94% reporting.
LA-02 (D+17): The Democrat is leading by 51 with 60% reporting.
MD-04 (D+39): The Democrat is leading by 84 with 66% reporting.
MS-02 (D+11): The Democrat is leading by 34 with 77% reporting.
TN-09 (R+9): The Republican is leading by 1.3 with 95% reporting.

Black voters clearly turned out in force for this election.

11:14 pm EST NBC has Maine with Troy Jackson at 50.2% and Susan Collins at 49.7% with 35% reporting. Collins is one old tough bird

11:13 pm EST CNN has also called Texas for James Talarico (D)

11:10 pm EST Democrats just flipped a R+5 seat in Ohio (OH-15) by 7 points

11:08 pm EST WHOA: NBC has called Texas for James Talarico. Boy are the Republicans going to give Donald Trump an earful. He threw away a state they couldn't have lost with John Cornyn. Texas is blue. And Gina Hinojosa might also be elected governor

11:06 pm EST Reader J.L.K. in Los Angeles, CA: 'I wish Mitch McConnell was alive to see this.'

11:05 pm EST Latino bellwether district update:

FL-27 (R+6): The Republican is up 0.5 points with 95%+ reporting
TX-15 (R+7): The Democrat is up by 45 (!) with 59% reporting
TX-23 (R+7): The Democrat is up by 12 with 61% reporting
TX-28 (R+2): The Democrat is up by 39 (!) with 59% reporting
TX-34 (R+3): The Democrat is up by 18 with 84% reporting
TX-35 (D+19): The Democrat is up by 17 with 72% reporting

Seems safe to say the Latinos did indeed swing back to the Democrats.

11:05 pm EST Ohio is close: Sherrod Brown 48.5%, Jon Husted 46.6% with 88% counted

11:04 pm EST Adam Hamilton (D) is leading Roger Marshall (R-KS) 53 44 with 90% of the vote counted

11:02 pm EST The AP has called Oregon for Jeff Merkley even before the votes were counted

11:02 pm EST AP called California Xavier Becerra (D), roughly 30 seconds after polls closed. What took so long?

10:59 pm EST Scott Perry (R-PA) lost his R+3 seat to Janelle Stelson by 11 points

10:57 pm EST Reader R.R. in Pasadena, CA: 'I just noticed that G. Elliot Morris is predicting a median 262 seats in the House for the Democrats. The NYT House page shows big inroads into the solid Republican seats and none into the Democratic ones. This looks like it's moving even further than the biggest swings people were predicting, 240-ish seats... I guess we'll have to wait and see how far this really goes. Ir's a huge repudiation of Trump and Republicans for sure, and it's about damn time.'

10:57 pm EST Reader R.E.M. in Brooklyn, NY: 'To J.E. in Gilbertsville: I won't be fully happy until that blue goes a bit north to Maine.'

10:57 pm EST Reader D.E. in Lancaster, PA: 'To piggyback on the comment from my fellow Pennsylvanian, J.E. in Gilbertsville, one of the things that Republicans love to point to is the visual of how much of the country is red. After this election, if the results continue to hold, the Democrats have driven huge spike through that illusion. Most notably they have reverse-Shermaned the South, which is seismic. And we are looking at a possible blue river through Middle America.

And if the Democrats want another Benedict Arnold besides Haley Stevens (E-MI), they can look to Alani Bankhead (E-MT). If you add her votes to Independent candidate Scott Bodnar, you get frightenly close to making it another Democratic win. Because both politicians picked their ego over the well being of the country, I'm creating a third party for them, the Ego Party (E). John Fetterman (E-PA) is currently the party's leader.'

10:57 pm EST Reader D.R. in Harrisburg, PA: 'So... I guess we're not getting that $5,000?'

10:57 pm EST Reader B.H. in Frankfort, IL: 'After Nov 3, Every GOP member of congress is now afraid of the voters more than they are afraid of the convicted felon. This is a democratic tsunami as well as a Democratic tsunami. Finally'!''

10:56 pm EST NBC is projecting that Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) will get another term

10:56 pm EST Donald Trump just got on his social media platform for tsunami victims: 'I wasn't on the ballot. If I was, I'd have won in a landslide. Thank you for your attention to this matter.'

Never doubt the power of positive delusion.

10:55 pm EST Reader B.H. in Frankfort, IL: 'After Nov 3, Every GOP member of congress is now afraid of the voters more than they are afraid of the convicted felon. This is a democratic tsunami as well as a Democratic add Donald Trump just got on his social media platform for tsunami victims: I wasnt on the ballot. If I was, Id have won in a landslide. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

10:50 pm EST CNN Has called the Ohio governor's race for Amy Acton. Quick, somebody call her mom

10:47 pm EST NBC now has the Democrats at 248 seats. Five more and they will tie CBS

10:45 pm EST Democrats Flipped Ryan Mackenzie's R+1 PA-07 district by 13 points

10:45 pm EST Reader L.S. in Greensboro, NC: 'I am absolutely stunned by what's going on in North Carolina. I expected a solid Roy Cooper (D) win, but it looks like it will be close to a 20-point margin.

We currently have a 10-4 Republican margin in the U.S. House, and it was re-gerrymandered to 11-3. But the Democrats have already picked up one seat, the Times forecasts them very likely to hold Davis's seat, very likely to flip three other Republican seats, and likely to flip another. Plus, in my district they now call it a toss-up that the odious Virginia Foxx (R) could lose. So if the Times is right, we'll go from 10-4 Republican to 9-5 or 10-4 Democratic on an 11-3 gerrymandered Republican map!

In the state legislature, Republicans currently hold a veto-proof 30-20 edge in the Senate and are one vote short at 71-49 in the House. But right now Democrats are leading in 25 Senate districts, one or two so close they probably won't hold, but still they'll go from veto-proof to nearly even. And in the House Democrats currently lead for 69 seats. Again, they won't get them all, but it's looking quite likely that Democrats will take over the House.

I thought there was no way the Democrats could do more than break the super-majorities given the highly gerrymandered maps. This result is unbelievable! It may be a wave nationally, but here in North Carolina it's an earthquake! '

10:44 pm EST NBC has Dan Osborn (I) ahead of Pete Ricketts (R) 53 - 42 with 38% reporting

10:42 pm EST NBC has Kansas at Adam Hamilton (D) 54% and Roger Marshall (R) at 42% with 71% reporting

10:42 pm EST Reader J.E. in Gilbertsville: 'Please tell B.C in Denver it's too late, we called it first.'

10:41 pm EST ANOTHER BIGGIE: Decision Desk has called Texas for James Talarico (D). Elon Musk pissed away $168 million for nothing

10:37 pm EST Reader B.C. in Denver, CO: 'J.E. in Gilbertsville is aware that the west coast has been the blue coast for quite some time, right?'

10:36 pm EST Fox is decreeing that Donald Trump and the GOP saw SC coming and that's why Trump was holding rallies there. In other words, he's brilliant, even when snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

10:35 pm EST You could have said, going into tonight, that the question was: Will the voters feel apathy or antipathy> We have our answer: antipathy.

10:31 pm EST J.E. in Gilbertsville, PA: 'There is a band of blue from Virginia to Georgia? Honey, there is a band of blue from NEW HAMPSHIRE to Georgia. Maybe even from Maine to Georgia. They're going to have to rename us the Blue Coast.'

10:31 pm EST Democrats flipped KY-06 Andy Barr's open R+7 district. Losing R+7 districts in Kentucky is not a good sign for the Republicans

10:29 pm EST Michele Tafoya (R) is leading Peggy Flangan (DFL) 56 - 41 but only 6% have reported so far

10:28 pm EST CBS saw NBC and raised it 9 seats. It is now predicting 253 Democratic House seats. If that happens, it will be a gain of 39, almost as much as the 41 in 2018

10:26 pm EST Democrats have flipped the R+7 KY-06

10:24 pm EST This is no longer a blue wave. It is a blue tsunami. Three of Donald Trump's handpicked candidates, Darline Graham, Michael Whatley, and Ken Paxton are probably all going to be crushed. We haven't looked at the state legislatures, but we suspect there will be a lot of blood on the floor--and it will all be red

10:24 pm EST Fox is now implicitly blaming Trump for Annie Andrews (D) winning in South Carolina. They're reminding viewers Trump told people to vote like he's on the ballot... which they did.

10:22 pm EST Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) is down by 4 with 75% reporting.

10:20 pm EST From P.N. in Berkeley, CA: 'Just dropped off our ballets in sapphire blue Berkeley, CA. We ended up going to our polling place because our neighbor stopped us on the way to the local drop box to tell us that it was full and there was no way more ballots would fit. So, we better drop our ballets some place else.

'Very interesting that in this very blue location, with no competitive races, there is still a zeitgeist that's getting people to the polls.'

10:20 pm EST Look at the map. There is band of blue from Virginia to Georgia. Robert E. Lee is rolling over in his grave

10:18 pm EST 45 minutes until polling places close in California. So, those waiting on pins and needles to learn who the next governor will be will have to hold on for a while longer.

10:17 pm EST Fox says Talarico 'may eventually win this' with 55% reporting and still a 20-point lead

10:16 pm EST There were some ballot-counting issues that will affect the district of Rep. Mike Lawler (R), such that the result might not be known until tomorrow. Could be Donald Trump's next obsession.

10:14 pm EST NBC is projecting 244 Democratic House seats, a gain of +30

10:13 pm EST From reader K.F. in Berea, KY: 'Andy Barr's district has been called by LEX18 for Zach Dembo (D). The first Democrat elected to this seat since before Andy Barr who also got an easy win against a bad candidate. Pretty wild for this R+7 district.

In Berea City, I noticed police pulling people over in front of polling places in this STRONGHOLD democratic area of the 6th district. Did my civic duty and reported it. Then I called our mayor and said maybe they ought to get their quota somewhere else?

10:09 pm EST From J.K. in Short Hills, NJ: 'FYI... S&P 500 futures are down over 1% in response to the Blue Tsunami. Nasdaq 100 futures are down over 2%. Ironically, the market tends to perform better with a divided Federal Government, but the initial reaction is clearly negative.'

10:07 pm EST ANOTHER BIGGIE CNN is projecting that Democrats will win more than 218 seats in the House and will control the House. Hakeem Jeffries (D) will become the first Black speaker. With a Black speaker and two Black governors in the South, this is a very good night for Blacks

10:07 pm EST The Ohio race is getting tight. Sherrod Brown (D) is now up 1.2 points on Sen. Jon Husted (R) with 72% reporting.

10:04 pm EST Very BIGGIE CNN has called South Carolina for Annie Andrews

10:04 pm EST From reader R.S. in Milan, OH: 'something of note on the Ohio numbers. The totals I'm seeing on various sites are showing nothing reported yet from Lucas County (home of Toledo), which is historically one of the most Democratic counties in the state. I don't want to get my hopes up too much here, but if totals shown really don't include anything from Lucas County, there's a very good possibility that a sizeable margin of votes in favor of Brown and Acton is yet to come in.'

10:03 pm EST Rob Sand (D) is leading Zach Lahn (R) 62 to 38 for governor of Iowa

10:02 pm EST Dan Osborn (I) is leading Pete Ricketts (R) in Nebraska 54 - 41 with 40% reporting

10:01 pm EST B.S. in Charleston again: Follow up: 'We're seeing as much as +20 pt shifts for the Democrats, and that one county (Orangeburg, just northwest of Charleston) is reporting 71.3% to 27.4% for Andrews, a 19.3-pt swing from 2024 if those results hold.

10:00 pm EST CNN's John King looked at all the blue on the House map and said: This is epic

09:57 pm EST CNN has Democrats leading in 201 House races to Republicans 136

09:57 pm EST PBS has called 99 seats for the Democrats, 53 for the Republicans.

09:55 pm EST The one county in South Carolina that has reported no votes is heavily Black. Bad news for Darline Graham (R).

09:53 pm EST Annie Andrews (D) leads Darline Graham (R) 51 - 47 in South Carolina with 88% reporting

09:53 pm EST Adam Hamilton (D) is up 28 points on Sen. Roger Marshall (R) with 63% reporting. Marshall, like Darline Graham, is on the cusp of 'the math can't work' territory. Lesson to anyone thinking about running for political office: Sending pregnant women to jail is not a good idea.

09:52 pm EST AOC has been elected to the House for the fifth time. Now she can start thinking about 2028

09:51 pm EST Mike Rounds (R) is crushing Brian Bengs (I) in South Dakota 66 - 34

09:50 pm EST Marsha Blackburn's (R) gubernatorial race is tied right now with 64% reporting. Worrisome news for those whose fondest wish is Sen. Pete Hegseth (Q-TN)

09:50 pm EST NBC has called NJ-07 for Rebecca Bennett (D) against Rep. Tom Kean (R) who went AWOL for 4 months and didn't tell anyone

09:49 pm EST Dummymander alert. The Democrat is up 1.4 in the (redrawn to be) R+8 NC-14 with 86% reporting.

09:49 pm EST MSNOW is reporting that Roger Marshall (R) needs to get 59% of the outstanding vote in Kansas

09:47 pm EST Josh Turek (D) is leading Ashley Hinson (R) in Iowa with 24% reporting

09:45 pm EST The other Nate (Cohn), of the NYT says the Democrats are now 95% to take the Senate.

09:44 pm EST Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) is leading Scott Colom (D) in Mississippi with 37% reporting

09:42 pm EST The Democrat is up 2 in the R+8 NC-9 with 91% reporting. That is of particular interest because the Republican is Richard Hudson, current chair of the NRCC, the main PAC that doles out money to House Republicans.

09:41 pm EST NBC is reporting Adam Hamilton (D) leading Roger Marshall (R) in Kansas! Bob Dole is rolling over in his grave

09:38 pm EST CBS is now saying the governor's race in Texas is leaning toward Gina Hinojosa. If she wins and Talarico wins, that will be a gigantic poltical earthquake

09:37 pm EST Hannah Pingree is leading leading Robert Charles 51 to 41 for governor of Maine

09:36 pm EST In South Carolina, Annie Andrews (D) is up 4.5 points on Darline Graham (R) with 82% reporting.

09:34 pm EST Ohio is getting closer, with Brown at 49.8% and Husted at 45.7%

09:34 pm EST Early-indicator district update:

FL-07 (R+5): The Republican is up 0.7 points, with 95%+ reporting.
FL-13 (R+6): The Republican is up 1 point, with 95%+ reporting.
NC-01 (R+5): The Democrat is up 3 points, with 76% reporting.
PA-07 (R+1): The Democrat is up 25 points, with 43% reporting.
VA-01 (R+3): The Republican is up 1.3 points, with 83% reporting.
VA-02 (EVEN): The Democrat is up 8 points, with 67% reporting.

09:32 pm EST However, in North Carolina they count the early votes first, then the Election Day votes

09:31 pm EST In North Carolina, Democrats are leading in every House districts

09:31 pm EST NBC has called Hela Folks the winner for governor of Rhode Island

09:30 pm EST AP has Dan Osborn (I) ahead of Pete Ricketts 58 to 37 in Nebraska with 23% reporting

09:29 pm EST From reader B.S. in Charleston, SC: 'With the caveat that there's still 75% or so vote to count, the current shift in voters in SC is staggering.'

09:29 pm EST CNN has called Oklahoma for Kevin Hern

09:23 pm EST PBS has a guy who is an expert in Kansas politics on right now; he's trying to explain in a neutral and polite way that a lot of Kansans really hate Roger Marshall.

09:22 pm EST In Kansas, Adam Hamilton (D) is up 23 on Sen. Roger Marshall (R) with 41% reporting.

09:22 pm EST With Keisha Lance Bottoms and Byron Donalds both winning, the South now has two Black governors

09:21 pm EST In South Carolina, Annie Andrews (D) is up 6 on Darline Graham (R) with 77% reporting.

09:21 pm EST NBC has Gina Hinojosa over Greg Abbot 56% to 42%. If that sticks, Katie bar the door. A victory by Talarcio over Paxton could be chalked up to Paxton being a horrible candidate. Abbott is not a horrible candidate

09:19 pm EST AP has called the Florida governor's race for Byron Donalds (R). That's a win for Donald Trump, in that Donalds was his guy. On the other hand, it was way closer than it should have been, 50.1% to 48.7%

09:18 pm EST CNN conforms that Keisha Lance Bottoms will be elected governor of Georgia. She is the first Black woman ever elected to be governor of a state. Huge wins by Ossoff and Bottoms means Georgia is very much a purple state

09:17 pm EST Fox is 'floored' about what is going on in South Carolina

09:16 pm EST Here is a new link for the readers' slack channel: Slack feed.

09:14 pm EST We have our first dummymander of the night. Pia Dandiya (D) has won FL-22 (redrawn to be R+4)

09:13 pm EST BIGGIE! NBC has said Keisha Lance Bottoms will be elected governor of Georgia

09:10 pm EST Byron Donalds leads David Jolly 50.0% to 48.7%

09:09 pm EST AOC was reelected. For those who were nervous.

09:09 pm EST CNN has called Wyoming for Harriet Hageman with no precincts reporting

09:08 pm EST James Talarico (D) is up 20 (wow) on Ken Paxton (R) with 41% reporting. He is outperforming Beto O'Rourke almost everywhere, in many cases by double digits. O'Rourke lost his Senate race by just 2.5 points.

09:07 pm EST CNN is reporting that Democrats are leading in the Senate races in seven GOP-held states

09:04 pm EST Several outlets have called the New York gubernatorial race for Gov. Kathy Hochul (D). Undoubtedly. A.B. in Wendell is relieved.

09:03 pm EST AP has called NM and CO for the Democrats

09:02 pm EST Democrats have flipped their first seat. NC-11 (R+5), which is currently occupied by the scandal-ridden Chuck Edwards.

08:59 pm EST Tune into Fox if you would like to see a Susan Collins impression, as the talking heads are all very concerned. Lots of talking about affordability and about how Trump may have sunk various races by holding grudges or by endorsing the wrong person. Shocker.

08:58 pm EST Democrats are leading in 60 GOP House districts; Republicans are leading in 4 Democratic districts

08:57 pm EST Annie Andrews (D) is up 9 on Darline Graham (R) with 66% reporting. We're getting close to 'the math no longer works for Graham' territory.

08:57 pm EST Amy Acton is up over Vivek Ramaswmay 56-42 with 42% reporting. It's that damn ad. Mom will NOT be pleased

08:55 pm EST Keisha Bottoms is up over Rick Jackson 58-42 and is overperforming Stacy Abrams everywhere in GA

08:54 pm EST Democrats have held two swingy red districts, FL-14 (R+4; Kathy Castor) and FL-25 (R+3; Jared Moskowitz).

08:53 pm EST ABC has called Kentucky for Andy Barr

08:52 pm EST NBC has called West Virginia for Shelley Moore Capito

08:51 pm EST AP has Adam Hamiltonn at 59^ Roger Marshall at 39% in Kansas with 11% reporting

08:50 pm EST Annie Andrews (D) is up 5% on Darline Graham (R) in South Carolina with 55% reporting. Richland County, which Kamala Harris won by 35 points, has reported no votes year.

08:45 pm EST Here are the early indicator districts we listed yesterday where a meaningful number of votes have been reported:

FL-07 (R+5): The Republican is up by 0.5% with 95% reporting
FL-13 (R+6): The Republican is up by 1% with 95% reporting
NC-01 (R+5): The Democrat is up 11% with 44% reporting
VA-01 (R+3): The Democrat is up 33% with 44% reporting
VA-02 (EVEN): The Democrat is up 4% with 58% reporting

08:43 pm EST CNN is calling NC-11 for Jamie Ager (D). Trump won this district by 10%

08:39 pm EST Annie Andrews (D) is considerably outperforming Kamala Harris in the counties in South Carolina where Democrats have to run up the score in order to have a chance at winnning statewide.

08:39 pm EST Talarico is leading in Tarrant and Denton counties in TX

08:37 pm EST Gina Hinojosa is up on Greg Abbott 57-42 for governor of Texas

08:36 pm EST CNN has projected that Ashley Moody will keep her job in Florida, but narrowly

08:34 pm EST Derline Graham (R) is down 5 points in South Carolina with 42% reporting.

08:32 pm EST PBS has called the Illinois governor's race for 2028 presidential aspirant Gov. JB Pritzker (D)

08:30 pm EST CNN has called North Carolina for Roy Cooper (D)

08:30 pm EST By that, we mean that Pappas will be the first gay man to serve openly. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) is gay, too.

08:28 pm EST With 94% reporting, Ashley Moody (R) is up just 2% on Angie Nixon (D) in Florida. Bad sign for the GOP.

08:26 pm EST CNN is reporting that Chris Pappas will be elected senator from NH, the first openly gay senator

08:25 pm EST CNN is reporting that Keisha Bottoms is leading Rick Jackson for governor of Georgia with 33% reporting

08:19 pm EST Ooops. Our readers predicted House: 234D, 201. Political Wire's readers predicted 237D, 198R. They seem very optimistic

08:17 pm EST Our readers predicted: Senate 54D, 46R. Political Wire's readers predicted: Senate 53D, 46R. What a bunch of pessimists over there

08:15 pm EST AP has called Illinois for Julianna Stratton

08:11 pm EST NBC says Florida is too close to call. If Florida goes blue, this will not be a good night for the GOP

08:10 pm EST Keisha Lance Bottoms leads Rick Jackson for governor of Georgia with 47% in

08:09 pm EST Amy Acton leads Vivek Ramaswamy for governor of OH 62% to 36

08:06 pm EST Fox has called New Hampshire for Chris Pappas (D)

08:06 pm EST CNN projects that Josh Shapiro has been reelected governor of Pennsylvania

08:01 pm EST Polls are closing in 16 states now: AL CT DE FL IL ME MD MA MS MO NH NJ OK PA RI TN

07:59 pm EST Fox and ABC have also called Georgia for Jon Ossoff. Looks like he's going to win

07:57 pm EST CNN also predicts Jon Ossoff will win Georgia

07:54 pm EST NBC has Annie Andrews at 50.4%, Darline Graham at 48.4% with 8% reporting

07:51 pm EST NBC has Sherrod Brown at 64%, Jon Husted at 32% with 10% of the precincts reporting

07:49 pm EST CBS is reporting that South Carolina is a toss-up

07:49 pm EST ABC is reporting Moody at 49% Nixon at 50% with 63% of the precincts reporting

07:34 pm EST CBS and NBC have called Georgia for Jon Ossoff (D)

07:03 pm EST AP has called Virginia for Mark Warner (D)

06:10 pm EST Here are the poll closing times

7:00 pm: GA IN KY SC VT VA
7:30 pm: NC OH WV
8:00 pm: AL CT DE FL IL ME MD MA MS MO NH NJ OK PA RI TN
8:30 pm: AR
9:00 pm: AZ CO IA KS LA MI MN NE NM NY ND SD TX WI WY
10:00 pm: MT NV UT
11:00 pm: CA ID OR WA
12:00 am: HI
1:00 am: AK

06:01 pm EST We are live now. But first we want to do a bit of testing with some random numbers

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If you wish to contact us, please use one of these addresses. For the first two, please include your initials and city.

• questions@electoral-vote.com    For questions about politics, civics, history, etc. to be answered on a Saturday
• comments@electoral-vote.com   For "letters to the editor" for possible publication on a Sunday
• corrections@electoral-vote.com To tell us about typos or factual errors we should fix
• items@electoral-vote.com            For general suggestions, ideas, etc.
• Guidelines for questions (Saturdays) and letters (Sundays)

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---The Votemaster and Zenger