Jeb Bush |
- Probably the most electable candidate
- Executive experience galore
- Huge battle-tested field operation
- Massive party backing and endorsements
- From the mother of all swing states
- More money than Uncle Scrooge
|
- Weak campaigner
- Grassroots hates him
- Wrong positions on immigration & Common Core
- Is going to have to defend his unpopular brother
- Married to a Latina
- Barbara Bush: "We've had enough Bushes"
- How did he earn his millions in the past 10 years?
|
Marco Rubio |
- American-dream type biography
- Young and telegenic, sort of like John Kennedy
- Very charismatic and likable
- Also from the mother of all swing states
|
- First-term senator
- Something of a lightweight on policy
- Supported Senate immigration bill before he opposed it
- Latino in a Latino-unfriendly party
|
John Kasich |
- Could be establishment fallback if Bush stumbles
- Twice elected in swing state of Ohio
- From the Midwest, which could help in Iowa caucuses
- Would win some Democrats in general election
|
- Not well known
- Running on competence not ideology
- Said St. Peter likes poor people
- Supported Medicaid expansion in Ohio
- Supports Common Core
|
Ted Cruz |
- Republican establishment hates him
- Called Mitch McConnell a liar
- Tea party darling
- Young, fiery, and very conservative
- Surprisingly good at fund raising
- Excellent speaker and debater
- Well organized in the South, site of many Super Tuesday primaries
|
- Republican establishment hates him
- First-term senator
- Masterminded the 2013 government shutdown
- Maybe too much of a firebrand for some voters
- Latino in a Latino-unfriendly party
|
Donald Trump |
- Loved by "poke-'em-in-the-eye" voters
- Extremely strong candidate so far
- Actually created thousands of jobs
- Can't be bribed by anyone
- Says things no one else dares to say
- Sort of endorsed by Sarah Palin
- Not a politician
|
- Would be crushed by Clinton
- Establishment will do anything to stop him
- Used to be fairly liberal
- Not exactly sure where the Middle East is
- Demeaned John McCain's war record
- Made sexist remark to Megyn Kelly
- His hair gets more attention than Hillary's
|
Scott Walker |
- Acceptable to all wings of the party
- Fought and beat the unions
- Actually governed as a conservative
- Won three elections in a blue state
|
- Uninspiring performer so far
- New to the national scene
- Would boost Democratic turnout in the general
- Failed to create 250,000 jobs as promised
- Weak on foreign policy
- Didn't graduate from college; is he too dumb?
- Has never faced a presidential electorate
|
Ben Carson |
- Devoted following
- Polling amazingly well so far
- A more polite version of Donald Trump
- Not a politician
- Married to the same woman for 40 years
- Allows racist voters to say they are not racist
|
- Gaffe prone
- He's black in a nearly all white party
- Never held public office
- Is unacceptable to establishment
|
Rand Paul |
- Could bring in new Republican voters
- Inherits his father's zealots
- Dislikes Big Government spying on people
|
- Doesn't like wars
- Doesn't support "Israel good, Arabs bad" policy
- More of a libertarian than a conservative
- Was cheered at UC Berkeley
- Establishment is lukewarm on him
|
Carly Fiorina |
- Ran a Fortune 500 company
- Can attack Clinton without being called sexist
- Took on liberal icon Barbara Boxer in 2010
- Self-made multimillionaire
- Could self fund in the primaries for a while
- Good knowledge of the issues and good debater
- Might attract Republican women as anti-Hillary
- Not a politician
|
- Was fired from a Fortune 500 Company
- Got $20 million severance when fired
- Was crushed by Barbara Boxer in 2010
|
Chris Christie |
- Aggressive character
- Ran the RGA well; popular with governors
- Won election twice in a blue state
- #3 with establishment after Bush and Kasich
- Would probably bring in some Democrats
|
- Polling badly in home state
- Hugged Obama
- Last fat President was William Howard Taft; but White House bathtub is bigger now
- We'll cross that bridge when we come to it--if it is open
|
Rick Perry |
- Elected governor of Texas three times
- Looks intellectual in new glasses
- Probably smarter than George W. Bush
|
- 2012 Oops! moment will follow him to the grave
- Running a very weak campaign
- I don't remember the third one
|
Mike Huckabee |
- Good sense of humor and very likable
- Ordained Baptist minister
- Southerner in a party whose base is the South
- Well known due to 2008 run and Fox show
- Economic populist
|
- As Arkansas governor raised taxes repeatedly
- Very poor fundraiser
- Did badly in 2008 against a much weaker field
- Appeals only to evangelicals
|
Bobby Jindal |
- Is great at tossing red meat to the base
- Tons of executive experience
- Might bring in some minority voters
- Can perform exorcisms when needed
|
- Disastrous SOTU reply in 2009
- Not a dynamic speaker
- Indian-American in a nearly all white party
- Still "Bobby" at 44 (but Bobby Kennedy did it)
|
Rick Santorum |
- Been around the track before
- Won Iowa caucuses in 2012
- Very strong social conservative
- Comes from a big blue state
|
- Didn't win in a much weaker 2012 field
- One-trick pony: only social conservatism
- Tends to lecture people and not likable
|
Lindsey Graham |
- Knowledgeable on foreign policy
- Retired Air Force colonel
- Talks more about Beghazi than anyone
- Kind of folksy
- From the South
|
- Base hates him
- Lifelong bachelor in family values party
- Short and dresses like a used-car salesman
|
George Pataki |
- Was elected governor of a blue state three times
|
|
Jim Gilmore |
|
- Nobody ever heard of him
- Lost 2008 Senate race to Mark Warner by 31 points
- British bookies give the ineligible Arnold Schwarzenegger better odds
|