Dem 51
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GOP 49
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Latinos Are Not Deserting the Democrats

There have been many stories of late about how "Latinos are deserting the Democrats." For example, this one about how the Democrats lost Miami-Dade County in November. It turns out, on closer inspection that things are more complicated than that. Miami-Dade County is a special case because the Latinos there are largely Cubans who fled Fidel Castro, or the descendants of those Cubans. They are very conservative and can be convinced to vote against the "socialist Democrats" fairly easily.

But in the Southwest, it is quite different. Arizona, Nevada, and New Mexico all have very large Latino populations. Arizona is 31% Latino, Nevada is 29% Latino, and New Mexico is 49% Latino. Together they have six U.S. senators. All of them are Democrats. Two of the three incoming governors are Democrats. All three secretaries of state will be Democrats. Two of the states will have a Democratic attorney general for certain and in the third one (Arizona), a Democrat is leading but there will be a recount. the U.S. House delegations are 3D, 6R in Arizona, 3D, 0R in New Mexico, and 3D, 1R in Nevada for a total of 9D, 7R. Democrats control both chambers of the state legislature in New Mexico and Nevada. In Arizona, the new state Senate is 13D, 17R and the new state House is 29D, 31R. The Latinos definitely have not tipped these Latino-heavy states to the Republicans. In Colorado, which also has many Latinos (22%) but is not usually counted as Southwest, both senators and the governor, as well all the other statewide officers, are Democrats. Democrats have majorities in the U.S. House delegation and in both chambers of the state legislature.

In other words, the Latino vote is not monolithic and varies from region to region. In Florida, they are Republicans. In the Southwest they vote Democratic. (V)



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