Dem 49
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Ties 3
GOP 48
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Who Are the Most Vulnerable House Members?

Historically, the president's party loses a bunch of seats in the House, often 20-30 or more. That is somewhat less likely this time because there aren't 30 Republican-leaning seats currently occupied by a Democrat. Nevertheless, in a major red wave, Democrats in light blue seats could be swept out to sea. Roll Call has a list of the 10 most vulnerable members of the House, six Democrats and four Republicans, as follows, from most vulnerable to least vulnerable.

In a red wave, the six Democrats are likely to drown but in a blue one, it will be the Republicans. In any case, the chance that more than half of these members are back in January is quite small. (V)

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