Dem
49
Ties
1
GOP
50
Val Demings seemed like she might make a contest out of it, but not so much. Assuming she and Charlie Crist get crushed tonight, as the polls suggest they will, then Florida is officially a red state.
Our map shows that Nevada and Pennsylvania have flipped, canceling each other out. But Georgia is a tie. It is very likely to go to a runoff on Dec. 6 which will determine control of the Senate. Can you imagine $1 billion spent on a single election? We can.
On the other hand, if veteran Nevada political reporter Jon Ralston has it right and Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) holds serve, then the Senate score when today's votes (and the absentee ballots) are counted would be 50D, 49R. This will greatly reduce spending in the Georgia runoff since it won't really matter. (Z)
| State | Democrat | D % | Republican | R % | Start | End | Pollster |
| Arizona | Mark Kelly* | 51% | Blake Masters | 47% | Nov 04 | Nov 06 | Research Co. |
| California | Alex Padilla* | 53% | Mark Meuser | 37% | Nov 04 | Nov 06 | Research Co. |
| Florida | Val Demings | 44% | Marco Rubio* | 54% | Nov 04 | Nov 06 | Research Co. |
| Georgia | Raphael Warnock* | 47% | Herschel Walker | 49% | Nov 06 | Nov 06 | InsiderAdvantage |
| Georgia | Raphael Warnock* | 49% | Herschel Walker | 49% | Nov 02 | Nov 05 | East Carolina U. |
| Georgia | Raphael Warnock* | 49% | Herschel Walker | 49% | Nov 04 | Nov 06 | Research Co. |
| Illinois | Tammy Duckworth* | 58% | Kathy Salvi | 40% | Nov 04 | Nov 06 | Research Co. |
| Indiana | Thomas McDermott | 38% | Todd Young* | 49% | Nov 04 | Nov 07 | Civiqs |
| Missouri | Trudy Valentine | 40% | Eric Schmitt | 55% | Nov 04 | Nov 07 | Civiqs |
| New Hampshire | Maggie Hassan* | 48% | Don Bolduc | 45% | Nov 05 | Nov 06 | Phillips Academy |
| Nevada | Catherine Cortez_Masto* | 48% | Adam Laxalt | 49% | Nov 04 | Nov 06 | Research Co. |
| New York | Chuck Schumer* | 59% | Joe Pinion | 39% | Nov 04 | Nov 06 | Research Co. |
| Ohio | Tim Ryan | 46% | J.D. Vance | 51% | Nov 04 | Nov 07 | Civiqs |
| Ohio | Tim Ryan | 46% | J.D. Vance | 54% | Nov 04 | Nov 06 | Research Co. |
| Pennsylvania | John Fetterman | 49% | Mehmet Oz | 48% | Nov 04 | Nov 06 | Research Co. |
| Wisconsin | Mandela Barnes | 47% | Ron Johnson* | 53% | Nov 04 | Nov 06 | Research Co. |
| Wisconsin | Mandela Barnes | 49% | Ron Johnson* | 50% | Nov 04 | Nov 07 | Civiqs |